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What's today plays?Comment -
Fade Det pistons C plus 1 unit since we skip B betComment -
Sorry im out of town can someone handle this until monday than you guys we are pend on fade atlB fade clippersA fadePor AComment -
You need to be more clear than that. I know how this shit works and you confused me, some newer people will have no idea what that means, or why you are waiting til 6:30 to post it.
Play Detroit for the amount a normal C bet would cost, since we skipped the B bet. If you are playing 1-1-1-1, then tonights bet will be for 4.41 units. If you are playing 7/5, your bet tonight will be for 12 units, no need to bet the 12.7 as a normal loss would cost, since we had no B bet juice. Why do I feel I am doing more to help your system than you are? And by the looks of it, your backtest may have been cut a little short.Comment -
Sorry, this whole thread is getting frustrating, and really, I don't know why! And it's actually not rude, it is an epidemic on every thread in this forum. I realize you said you were in a time crunch, but honestly, what takes longer, reading what's already posted, or sitting by your computer constantly hitting refresh hoping someone will post it again. I believe option 2 takes longer. Except for this one instance, when I happened to log in at the same time. Normally questions in this thread go days before they're answered, and with that, we arrive at problem #2.Comment -
Sac is the play for tonight?Comment -
I'm on my iPhone a simple
Reply of here's the play for tonight is quicker thanks I will
Read this thread later
Fade Detroit? So imma play sacoComment -
Just sent you a PM with my results. They can also be found on post #204 of the thread. I noted series and their results that would have started from a game ending with exactly 80 points as you requested, but those series are not included in the posted record of each season.Comment -
2009-2010 backtest results
Under 80 71-3
A 33-41
B 18-23
C 14-9
D 6-3
Series lost start date
3/26/10 Mil
10/28/09 Char First game of season
03/19/10 Port
Playing games that scored at 80 exactly added these series records
A 7-6
B 2-4
C 1-3
D 1-2
Series lost at 80 pts
12/05/09 ATL
03/03/10 Char
Looks like far fewer games in this season than in the older ones Limit posted. Wallco is this a trend that shows in 2010-2011 with teams scoring more points?Comment -
I will compose a graph of several bet scenarios and pin it up. Nice work both of you. Is someone doing 2008-09, or should I do that as well?Comment -
Outside of the fact that Sacramento shit the bed, it's been a rather productive evening.Comment -
I nominate the ship guy to run the thread. He seemed to have his act together. Sorry for just calling you ship, but I don't feel like scrolling back several pages to locate your last post. But you get my vote, if you want it.Comment -
Good work Cleveland and yeah it seems you have half as many series as I did in my seasons. This is why I encouraged Cobra to finish his 2006 backtest as well, just to be sure they match up, because its odd that the # of series varies that much. The results for your season are also much more pleasing than mine were. Very odd indeed.Comment -
Limit It looks like in your tests when a game pushed you treated it like a loss and moved on to the next bet. ex. in 04-05 season you list
A:70-73-3
B: 33-42-1
Thats 76 B bets. In Wallcos post with the guidelines he writes this:
Don't forget, all games are ATS, this is a four game chase, skip game that are pushes, and treat them as if the game was never played, unless it is the game that qualifies the team for a play, then use it.
I took this to mean when a team plays their next game after a push to keep the game at the same level thus treating it as if it was never played. It appears to me you counted the push and moved to the next level. Am I looking at this correctly or was I incorrect in my interpretation? Those added free games may help the results. Wallco Thoughts?Comment -
Good catch Cleveland, you're correct. Though I did not treat a push as a loss I did play the game afterwords at the next bet level ie if an A bet pushed I counted the 2nd game as still a B bet. I guess that skews my results a little bit. I knew something wasn't right. Though really I don't recall any series losses becoming wins using this way of play either. In fact I noted to myself that only once in my entire backtest did a loss happen that pushed on an earlier level. It's possible that loss could become a win, but that's only 1 loss of 3 seasons. Still I suppose it's worth rechecking. When I find more time I can go back into 2004-5 and 2005-6, and just let Cobra do 2006-7, since he was on it already.Comment -
Would labbying this system be as effective rather than martingale?Comment -
Tonight we have:
Fade Atlanta (B bet)
Fade Portland (A bet)
Fade Clippers (A bet)
Atlanta will play against Portland. @Walco: what do we do? I don't play the A bets. So, shall I fade Atlanta on their B bet or shall I skip Atlanta and follow the one that loses their bet?Comment -
Hey Wallco and thelimit... I know you guys are always looking out for moneymaking systems. I have come across a new one on another thread here on SBR a few weeks back. It has been cashing basically every night. Its not a chase system like you guys normally play, rather its just a flat bet system... but the results seem to be unreal. It is more difficult to backtest then some of these other systems, but I think it would definitely be worth it. Based on a two yr backtest, its hitting approx. 70% on just flat betting (which you know is crazy!). I still plan to backtest 5+ years when I get a free minute, but for now I have just been playing it based on its recent results... you should check it out:
So far this season it is 76-26 ATS (74.5 %), and last year it was 131-65-6 ATS (66.8%).
It is a tough system to follow bc all of the bets have to be placed live and within a 5 minute window... but if its gonna hit close to 70%, its well worth it to me to stay alert for when these occasions arise...
You should check it out and see what you think.Comment -
looking goodComment -
Looks great and if its tried and true through the years it would be an awesome supplement to JM or whatever else. Unfortunately between Pato's backtest and an MLB backtest I'm working on I don't really have the time to go back for that system. Still I am very interested in the results of that system, if you can get the results for another few years please let me know!!!Hey Wallco and thelimit... I know you guys are always looking out for moneymaking systems. I have come across a new one on another thread here on SBR a few weeks back. It has been cashing basically every night. Its not a chase system like you guys normally play, rather its just a flat bet system... but the results seem to be unreal. It is more difficult to backtest then some of these other systems, but I think it would definitely be worth it. Based on a two yr backtest, its hitting approx. 70% on just flat betting (which you know is crazy!). I still plan to backtest 5+ years when I get a free minute, but for now I have just been playing it based on its recent results... you should check it out:
So far this season it is 76-26 ATS (74.5 %), and last year it was 131-65-6 ATS (66.8%).
It is a tough system to follow bc all of the bets have to be placed live and within a 5 minute window... but if its gonna hit close to 70%, its well worth it to me to stay alert for when these occasions arise...
You should check it out and see what you think.Comment
