Seems like everyone's waiting for LeBron's status and trying to squeeze a bet in on this game. Why?
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What the hell do you mean why?Comment -
agree, I gather you are also staying away from the TNT 1h autobet?Comment -
I'm on the Hawks. If it loses, it loses. Oh well, atleast I feel like its the correct play. I'm on it for 7 units.Comment -
What angle are you seeing to this game? Line's all over the place, no one knows LeBron's status....just find a different game.Originally posted by demensComment -
because betting on injured teams in the NBA is +EV
There's no way both wade and lebron playComment -
I'm staying away altogether yes.Originally posted by hawleyComment -
Line just jumped from -1.5 to -3.5
Wish I locked it in sooner, but bought points to go down back to -1.5Comment -
Line just jumped to -3.5 in favor of the hawks and I got the hawks ML -120 120 to win a 100!!Comment -
Got the Hawks at +110 and +115. Should I hedge?Comment -
why would u hedge that? It makes no sense to give back to the house when you beat their numbers...Originally posted by H1CypherComment -
you're sitting on a -175 ML with great odds! Why would u hedge that it doesn't make any sense to me...Comment -
Heat or nothing now.
If you take ATL at -4 or whatever, you're really rolling the dice.Comment -
So even hedging the Heat at +155 is a mistake?Originally posted by FindTheLock
I'm only 1/6 everytime I 'beat the house' suffering some terrible beats this month.Comment -
Originally posted by No coincidences
You still feel that way with LBJ, Wade, Curry, and Miller all out?Comment -
if you think heat have value then hedge.Comment -
You won't win all of your bets when you gamble, but to hedge that bet when you beat the odds by that margin is not a good idea. You're going to end up playing a risk free bet if you hedge sure, but your profit is going to take a serious hit in the long run bailing out of good bets like that. bail out if you took the heat, but not in this situation where u have the hawks with greats odds.Originally posted by H1CypherComment -
Yeah, i think i'm ok with rolling the dice with 2 of the NBAs top 5 players out due to injury. With all the injured star 50/50 gimicky theories you can throw at me, i'll take my chances.Comment -
Lebron is outComment -
perfect spot for the Hawks to shit the bed and prove why they are pretenders.
That being said I can't see them losing this gameComment -
As long as the Hawks dont have to shoot free throws they win and cover.Comment -
50/50Originally posted by demens
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Well not everyone has the discipline to lay off games...esp since many people are going to watch this game (although maybe not as much if Lebron truly is out). But still, its a very interesting game, with Miami getting their first lost at home and now have a chance for revenge.
Im going with Miami +4 for a small amount - partly to get some action, partly because of the revenge factor, and partly because Miami still has 'decent' talent, all of whom are going to be mentally prepared to give it their all, knowing that alot is expected from the with Wade + LBJ out.Comment -
Good luck.Originally posted by demens
I think Atlanta wins by less than 4.Comment -
I was just thinking the same thing. Laying -4 when you could have had even -1 half an hour ago should just lead to the conclusion that you missed an opportunity. It doesn't mean that -4 is a good bet.Originally posted by No coincidences
Unfortunately I was on Heat -2 prior to the news and at this point it makes a lot more sense to just let it play out than compound my error. Perhaps live betting will offer a graceful exit from the wager.Comment -
Im taking heat ML as close to gametime as i can without bron and wade... chris bosh will have a monster game and heat win by 2Comment -
Heat +4.5 at Bovada now.Comment -
Who cares, they get rolled. Books are covering themselvesComment -
show me stats that prove otherwise.Originally posted by BettingWizard50/50
For once. will someone, anyone back anything one of these looney theories with a fact. just once. and i dont mean 1 game, i mean define what a "star" player, define the situational circumstances and show me 100 games that fit the criteria. Then we can all have a nice, even if its at my expense. I'd love to see someone prove something for once.
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Wade and LeBron confirmed out as well as Miller.
I'm really thinking of hitting the TT of Under 94.5 for the Heat. NoCo any thoughts?
My book has Miami +4 but left TT at 94.5 for Miami and 93 for ATLComment -
I dont really see it that way. Half an hour ago you could have taken Atl +2 and 10 minutes ago Ira could have tweeted that Lebron took some pain killers and is ready to go. -4 with 2 of them confirmed 100% out is worth the shot for me.Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
I suspect that long term, if you were to examine plays with significant line movement because of injuries, wtv, you would probably not be profitable taking the worst available line...Originally posted by demensComment -
It might move another .5 so i could end up beating the closer
Either way, i know the Heat can step up and win, not saying anything is a lock or making any guarantees. Just like my chances on this one, thats all.
(gonna get burried by the Kings closer though)Comment -
Love the title of this thread....this is a board full of degenerates who will bet on just about anything
seriously thought Atlanta ML now up to -190 wow....when i went to take it at 6pm it was -120...insane line movement even with the lineups...Comment -
Listen its simple...Miami back to back. there 2 best players and whole team out.......Atlanta playing excellent coming off a game in which they dominated Bulls for 3 and a half quarters by 25 points.....and losing......? Hate to be over confident but its hard when i got it at a pick em BIG.......not to mention line moved 10 points even though public was near 70% on heat....................shows something.Comment
