TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Oklahoma City/ Portland over 195:WINNER +3.0 units Really unusual to see a Portland team that averages over 100 ppg, but that's what we have this year so far. Last time out Portland did put up just 88 points vs the Clipps, but in their first 3 games of the year they put up 106.3 ppg. Tonight the Blazers get to face an OKC team that has allowed 97.2 ppg overall and 99.7 ppg in their last 3 games. The Thunder has really scored well at home this year as they have averaged 102.7 ppg on an impressive 52.8% shooting there, plus a solid 45.5% from long range. The Blazers have played solid defense this year (94.2 ppg), but not sure it's gonna matter tonight vs this good Thunder team. This should be a tight game and FT's will be important as well and both teams hit 80%+ of their FT's. This should be an exciting game and I see both teams in the 100's here. KEY TREND--- OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 OVER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. 3 UNIT PLAYS
Lakers/ Houston Over 191.5: Without Yao the Rockets have turned to more of a running team that last year plus and they have been pretty good on offense this year as they have averaged 97 ppg on a solid 46% shooting. On defense the Rockets have played pretty well at home, but in their 2 road games they have allowed 108.5 ppg. The Rockets have allowed 54.6% shooting on the road this year, while overall they have allowed 47.3%, which is 28th in the league and that should help out this struggling Lakers offense to get back on track. The Lakers have played pretty good defense this year (88.2 ppg), but are off 2 games in which they allowed 94 ppg. 94 points would be good here as the Lakers should get at least 98 of their own. This should be an uptempo game with around 200 points being scored.
5 POINT TEASER--- Lakers -2 & Milwaukee/ Utah Over 180.5 LOSER-3.3 units
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAY
Charlotte/ Cleveland Under 189: LOSER -2.2 unitsThe Bobcats have had problems scoring this year as they are 24th in points (90 ppg) and 24th in shooting (41.4%) and they have to face a Cleveland team that has allowed just 93.2 ppg overall and 89.6 ppg in their last 3 games, despite one of those games going to OT. The Cavs do average 97.5 ppg on the year and will be going up against a the worst defensive team in the league, but still neither team likes to run and that will keep the overall total points down. I look for a game in the low 180's 2 UNIT PLAY
1 UNIT PLAY
