How can anyone watch the end of NBA games not think something is up?

[BigDofBA]

I haven't really bet on the NBA much this year because quite frankly, it's my worst sport to cap. I always seem to have the worst beats.

I had the Bulls ML against the Heat last year and they blew a 15 point lead with five minutes to go.

I also had the Thunder ML against the Mavericks in the playoffs and they blew a 15 point lead with UNDER five minutes to go.

Christmas day I watched the Celtics come from 20 back on the road to cover.

Last night the Nets were down like 30-7 yet they came back and won straight up.

Just tonight, I saw the Celtics come from way down to cover by 1 point. The Celtics were down big all game and then suddenly in the final 5 minutes they cover.

Same thing happened in the Bucks/T'Wolves game. The Bucks led by as many as 17 and were up 11 with 4 minutes to play yet the T'Wolves miraculously covered.

How is it that these road underdogs always come from way down and miraculously cover in the final minutes???? This type of thing always seems to happen.

In the NBA, your team could be up 25 points and you will still have to sweat it out. I didn't have action on any of these games tonight but I would have been pulling my hair out. How in the hell do you cap this shit?

[sweepem]

How in the hell do you cap this shit?

Take the points, especially when it's 5+.

[2daBank]

easy to let down when you get a big lead, dont think it fishy just human nature (not to mention it usually takes really hot shooting that is hard to sustain to build huge leads )..heat love taking 4th qrtrs off, that why i play their asses 1st half a lot..

[BernardMadoff]

Like that in all sports, with leads teams put in backups for a while and play to SUSTAIN the lead mostly, not fighting to increase the lead as before, while the team down is fighting to get back in the game. When the team catches up, they now have the momentum while the leading team is looking at the clock, the team behind now believes it can win while the team leading is hoping to hold on. Sometimes a good way to cap is what team has the better chance of getting a decent lead, keeping a decent lead and what team has a better chance of coming back when down. Usually bad teams dont come back to win while better teams do.

[lunchbawks]

Always been partial to 1H bets myself. Who knows what a bunch of tired players are going to do late in games??

[BigDofBA]

The logic makes sense but how do you explain teams suddenly turning the ball over and missing free throws?

How do you explain teams blowing 15 points leads with 4 minutes to go and blowing the cover by 1 point??

I didn't bet any of the games tonight. I just did a small square parlay with Bucks, Lakers, and Blazers. That being said, just watching these games makes me wonder. Miraculous things always seem to happen.

[2daBank]

i remember a port/utah gm a while back where i was on one of them (forget which) they had like a 27 point 3 qtr lead and lost fell asleep happy woke up pissed

[BigDofBA]

i remember a port/utah gm a while back where i was on one of them (forget which) they had like a 27 point 3 qtr lead and lost fell asleep happy woke up pissed

Happens all the time.

[BernardMadoff]

The logic makes sense but how do you explain teams suddenly turning the ball over and missing free throws?

How do you explain teams blowing 15 points leads with 4 minutes to go and blowing the cover by 1 point??

I didn't bet any of the games tonight. I just did a small square parlay with Bucks, Lakers, and Blazers. That being said, just watching these games makes me wonder. Miraculous things always seem to happen.

15 points really isnt nothing over the course of a game, that team ahead isnt as dialed in and focused usually as the team behind, who knows they cant make mistakes in order to get back in the game, its all psychological. When youre 15 or 20 ahead, the game, in your mind, is a win at that point.

[2daBank]

Happens all the time.

i dont know, in nba i dont see to many 2nd half leads that big lose outright (only reason i still remember that one), not cover sure but lose outright is unusual..still like i said i dont think there anything fishy about it..in college hoops i cringe whenever the team i am on jumps out to a big early lead cause you just know other team gonna make a push..

[baazigar]

def been taking a beating so far. like college ball fvk that

[texhooper]

well, in the game tonight, the celtics did not exactly come back randomly in the last 5 minutes and cover. they really started chipping away in the third and were 8 down going into the 4th, which is the final margin. the heat had a mini-run early in the 4th when the celtics switched back to man to man after stifling their offense with the zone in the third. they went back to the zone and started forcing more turnovers, and they got finally were able to get some key baskets. they actually really should have been in a much better position to win as they had numerous chances to get within 10 in the 3rd before they finally did right before the 4th. also lebron did his usual disappearing act in the fourth. mentally i think he will always be about 17. i bet it chapped him and wade's ass when the crowd was chanting mvp when cole was at the line at the end of the game after hitting the key shots for the heat down the stretch.

[BernardMadoff]

i dont know, in nba i dont see to many 2nd half leads that big lose outright (only reason i still remember that one), not cover sure but lose outright is unusual..still like i said i dont think there anything fishy about it..in college hoops i cringe whenever the team i am on jumps out to a big early lead cause you just know other team gonna make a push..

Which is why, in all sports, I like betting on teams with some semblance of a defense, teams that dont have good defenses, the opposing teams, even if not as good offensively, usually get back in the game.

[2daBank]

Which is why, in all sports, I like betting on teams with some semblance of a defense, teams that dont have good defenses, the opposing teams, even if not as good offensively, usually get back in the game.

i love defense

[Goat Milk]

15 points really isnt nothing over the course of a game, that team ahead isnt as dialed in and focused usually as the team behind, who knows they cant make mistakes in order to get back in the game, its all psychological. When youre 15 or 20 ahead, the game, in your mind, is a win at that point.

[LP™]

I would say your on to something if I didn't watch the C's/Heat game last night. Doc Rivers is great at 2nd half adjustments and when they finally switched to a zone defense, the Heat didn't know what to do with themselves. I think there was one point where there was a large time frame where the heat only scored 2 points when the Celtics switched to zone. That's why you have to pay attention to coaching as well as other variables. And yeah, the Heat are known for this as stated.