LTA's NBA Plays

[dlunc3]

I jumped on my the char/wash over at 184 (down from 185.5) earlier... now its down to 183 good call on that LTA.. as you suggested, im debating adding some more if it gets down to 182

[YouHave2outs]

^^ my local opened at 9.5 and adjusted to 9 pretty quickly, guess that makes it even more suspicious

and what i meant by more suspicious was not that my book has anything to do with setting anything to do with the market, but that it was odd that some places were opening even higher than 9 if you thought 9 was weird

[No coincidences]

I'm not a pro or anything, but how often does vegas do this? Where they supposedly try to "fake out" the sharps?

No idea. Just a hunch. I'm a Pistons fan and I don't see it at all -- especially after last night.

[kl06ty]

Wiz/Cats game going better than expected...all offense no defense WOO!

[Dave88]

I apologize for this being completely off topic... but you are amazing at typing from your phone

[riffraff24]

Wiz/Cats game going better than expected...all offense no defense WOO!

A long way to go. Game is never over until it's over!

[aussieH]

I agree. Genius

[kl06ty]

A long way to go. Game is never over until it's over!

I know...I am just loving the pace. They may hit a cold streak, but the pace for the over can't look any better.

[jabro21]

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset" class=alt2>Originally Posted by Love The Action
Why is Utah -9 on a 2nd of a b2b against a well-rested Kings team. Well, one of the reasons is that Jefferson is back and Thornton is out for Sac-town. Really like Utah here and the books look to be begging for Kings money.
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>the utah line is -9 cause jefferson is back, sac is without thornton, utah lost last night, is at home where they have one of the strongest hca's in the league and ppl know it, and sac has issues in general

[burchfield]

Sometimes I think I could jinx the best cappers in the world.

[Cruizer]

LTA thanks for a preatty smooth ride to the over victory!

[Catchn_Picks]

Unreal breakdown of the Wiz/Bobcat game LTA.

Your writeup was spot on. Muti unit to boot.

Superb job.

Congrats.

[M.W.]

Great call on the Wash over.

[inn_keeper]

Looks like everyone cashes the over regardless of what number you got it at!

[GChild]

Nice job buddy

[Donnie Brasco]

Gosh LTA, the game only went over by like 20 pts. U freaking blow dude! Wink wink! Great job. Now lets get utah!

[dlunc3]

Unreal breakdown of the Wiz/Bobcat game LTA.

Your writeup was spot on. Muti unit to boot.

Superb job.

Congrats.

[alamo]

Looks like everyone cashes the over regardless of what number you got it at!

I missed out, I got over 202 just before tip off.

Solid as a rock LTA

[Catchn_Picks]

Yea, things just work out better with 20 point covers. LOL

[Catchn_Picks]

Utah in position to cover as well.

Here comes the critical 4th quarter.

[Donnie Brasco]

Utah blows!

[Catchn_Picks]

Unreal that Utah was in position to just blow them out and choose to play it safe.

[Love The Action]

Utah earned for me early in the season. Not so trustworthy right now blowing an 11 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Damn. Could have been a really nice day. Still profitable though, so I'll take it.

[alamo]

I read earlier in the week (somewhere on SBR) that Utah seem to be a team this year that just cant put away teams. Really had this game in hand but seemed intent on leaving the kings in it to the last seconds.

Positive night nonetheless...

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/28/2012 Recap

1 - 1 = +0.9x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

51 - 45 = +4.95x

Easy win with the Wiz/Cats over putting us at 3-1 on the year on 2x or more plays. Disappointing meltdown by the Jazz, but welcome to the NBA. Looking forward to Sunday. Just locked in the first play....GL

[TC Woods]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/28/2012 Recap

1 - 1 = +0.9x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

51 - 45 = +4.95x

Easy win with the Wiz/Cats over putting us at 3-1 on the year on 2x or more plays. Disappointing meltdown by the Jazz, but welcome to the NBA. Looking forward to Sunday. Just locked in the first play....GL

First play????

[brucethebear]

Cheers for the Wiz overs LTA. Stellar write up as always.

[brucethebear]

double post

[Donnie Brasco]

Whats that play for tomorrow bro?

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/28/2012

Play #1

Bulls (+5) 1x (Locked)

This game is reminiscent of the recent Bulls/Pacers game in which the Pacers won. The reason the Pacers won was (1) better defense, (2) more toughness and (3) it meant more to them. In this game, I think all three of those factors favor the Bulls. First, although it's very difficult to stop the "big 3", the Bulls' defensive scheme is one of the few in the league that can give Miami fits. The Bulls' ability to play great team defense with pinpoint rotations on and off the ball, can force Miami into taking low percentage shots. The Bulls will need to play that tough team defense, especially without Deng who played Lebron as tough as anyone in the league. However, even though I am operating under the assumption that Deng is out, I'm now hearing that Deng might make a go of it tomorrow. Apparently, Deng is telling some guys in Chicago sports media (one of my buddies works for a Chicago sports talk radio station) that he is going to try to play because the doctors told him that the ligament is torn, can't get any worse and it's basically just a swelling/pain tolerance issue. The injury is to his non-shooting hand so it's possible. Although, you have to think his offense would be limited. Now all of this could just be bravado and the team would still have to clear him, but based on what I have heard out of Bulls camp about how important this game is to them, I would not be surprised to see Deng try to give it a go. This game is very important to the Bulls. Uniformly as a team, each one of them have said that they have had this game circled on the schedule since day 1. Much like the Pacers beat the Bulls at least partly because of revenge from last season's playoff series, I think the Bulls keep this one within the number based on their desire to seek revenge. This is especially true for Derrick Rose who does not take losing well and tends to file away losses in his memory, only to exact his revenge in the next matchup. Even though Miami will approach this as a big game, I think this game will mean more to the Bulls as the loser of last season's EC Finals. Quantitatively, this matchup is very tight. Both teams have their strengths, yet I think a few of the Bulls' strengths maches up well with Miami's stronger areas. As we know, Miami likes to win with the transition game and aggressive drives to the hoop in hopes of drawing fouls. However, the Bulls are ranked #2 in TOV% showing that they don't turn the ball over very often. In addition, the Bulls rank #1 in OFT/FGA, telling us that they are great at playing tough D without incurring a ton of fouls and putting their opponent on the FT line. Based on the stats as a whole, this is a very tight matchup and I feel as though the books are giving Miami too much credit because they playing at home. The Bulls bench will really help them in this game as their depth is the key to this matchup. CJ Watson, Asik and Gibson are going to have to come up big tomorrow and I expect them to play well against a thin Miami bench. I have this game set at +3 and I will take the bucket of value here. I'm not entirely convinced the Bulls win this game, but I am convince that this will be a great game, very competitive and come down to the last minute and perhaps the last shot to determine a winner. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the Bulls for 1x. Good luck.

[m11chen]

I had Miami based on their dominance in the playoffs last year. Since then, Miami's improved their depth and Chicago's playing without their best wing defender in Deng. Plus LeBron is one a few guys in the league who can legitimately slow down DRose.

All that being said, this isn't the playoffs yet, and LTA's excellent write-up just caused me to buy out of my bet. I'll deal with losing the juice as I think this is just too close to call. BOL to anyone else!

[jimmy007oc]

This is the 2nd time in this week Utah blow out the lead and can't cover the spread

[ultrasouth]

Miami -4.5 @ pinny

[innn]

also miami -**

[nbafanatic2012]

Lta u have great analysis...much respect.....but u need better picks