LTA's NBA Plays

burchfield · 01-23-12, 07:14 PM

Lakers scorched my bankroll last night. doubling up on GSW and Philly -12.5 tonight.

Donnie Brasco · 01-23-12, 07:44 PM

Atl/Mil line is all over the place!

mikea33 · 01-23-12, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Atl/Mil line is all over the place!

STAY AWAY

Donnie Brasco · 01-23-12, 07:48 PM

I am, just crazy movement. I am on jersey, wash, new orleans and detroit for 0.5 x each and gsw for 1x.

Love The Action · 01-23-12, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 1/23/2012

Play #1

Warriors (-1.5) 1x (Locked)

No time for a full writeup. GS has very similar numbers offensively to Memphis, but is not as good defensively. However, GS is coming off 2 days of rest while Memphis is in a fatigue spot playing their third game in four nights with a look-ahead game tomorrow against Portland. I suspect we see max effort from the warriors, but a bit less than max from the tired grizz. From a line reading perspective, the grizz have been road faves for the last three games against hornets, detroit and sac town and covered in each. Yet in this game they are underdogs against the warriors who are not much better than those three teams. Hmmm...the books begging for memphis money here and are getting 70%+ of the action on the grizz yet the line movement so far supports the warriors. Based on an even offensive matchup and the tired legs of memphis, plus the look ahead spot, this is a great situational spot to back the warriors and i'm rolling with them for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Hawks ML (-115) 1x (Locked)

Locked this one up this afternoon, but haven't had a chance to post. We have a Bucks team on a big high after beating the Knicks and Miami in consecutive game and they could be in for a bit of a let down spot on this b2b against the superior Hawks (at least statistically). According to the season stats, Atlanta dominates on both offensive and defense according to the advanced stats, whether in OEFF, DEFF, EFG%,OEFG%, total rebounding, turnovers, etc. Both teams are in a fatigue spot playing 3 in 4 nights, but Atlanta rested last night while the Bucks exerted their energy defeating the Heat and then had to travel home. With the quantitative factors clearly in favor of the Hawks and the qualitative factors leaning that way as well, I can't lay off the publicly-loved Hawks at this short price. You can still get the ML for -120 or lay the -1.5. I think either are safe, but you avoid the loss if they win by one point. I have Atlanta set at -2.5 in this spot and I'm rolling with the Hawks for 1x. Good luck.

burchfield · 01-23-12, 08:05 PM

Dangit, my local kinda picky about anything after 7:45. They close up at 8, but I still can tail the play at 5D for .5u, the roll is little low online. But I on it with ya LTA. Lets bag 2 tonight.(edit: nevermind got it in.. Thanks a lot LTA now lets make some money)

Love The Action · 01-23-12, 08:24 PM

Had a pretty strong lean on the Rockets/Twolves under and the Bulls/Nets under that I didn't play. Will be interested to see how those end up.

Still looking at one more play for the night.

Love The Action · 01-23-12, 08:48 PM

Card is final. Good luck.

Andrewsurf · 01-23-12, 09:06 PM

MIL are +1 at half at my book for anyone who missed LTA's ML play on MIL earlier! Lets all cash this thing, BOL LTA~!!!

burchfield · 01-23-12, 10:12 PM

LTA on the Hawks

SoxSide Irish · 01-23-12, 10:18 PM

Atlanta making free throws down the stretch??

Andrewsurf · 01-23-12, 10:20 PM

Originally posted by burchfield

LTA on the Hawks

I can't read, good way to burn money

Congrats on the cash LTA

riffraff24 · 01-23-12, 10:20 PM

Thanks for the Hawks pick! I missed it earlier so I took them -1 second half after being tied at the half.

Lets get this GS!!!

CheeseHead · 01-23-12, 10:21 PM

You need Twitter LTA so we can catch these plays quicker

Good job on another win!

h23jdmlude · 01-23-12, 10:45 PM

Great picks LTA. I took Hawks -1 earlier in the day. Great to see you recommended them also. Lets go GS!

pokerwhiz90 · 01-23-12, 11:41 PM

i also took golden state +1.5 at the half - i think memphis might throw the towel in early if gs gets on a 15-3 run or something

dlunc3 · 01-23-12, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by pokerwhiz90

i also took golden state +1.5 at the half - i think memphis might throw the towel in early if gs gets on a 15-3 run or something

I feel the opposite.. didnt like how that half ended... I didnt touch any half bets though

I hope you are right, wouldnt mind being stress free the rest of the night

jas19illini · 01-24-12, 12:36 AM

Man, GS is really trying to screw the pooch late here. Grrrr.

apurvaas · 01-24-12, 12:41 AM

Nice calls

cashed in 3u TY LTA! You rock

Love The Action · 01-24-12, 12:41 AM

Stephen Curry just got stripped like 5 times for about 10 points in the last 4 minutes of the game. You would think he would try to take care of the ball in the most important part of the game.

This guy is really trying to ruin this for us, plus a Memphis win tonight changes everything for tomorrow. Really need this GS win to set things up as I planned.

Moneyliner7 · 01-24-12, 12:42 AM

8 min ago gs was up 20.... Now up 1... Omg.... Unreal

Andrewsurf · 01-24-12, 12:43 AM

unreal, disgusted to call this my team.

Love The Action · 01-24-12, 12:43 AM

What a brutal beat. Can't believe how GS self destructed here.

Love The Action · 01-24-12, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by apurvaas

Nice calls

cashed in 3u TY LTA! You rock

Come on dude...try waiting for the game to end....

Love The Action · 01-24-12, 12:46 AM

Stephen Curry is a straight up piece of shit.

dlunc3 · 01-24-12, 12:46 AM

disgusting... how do you lose 29-7 in 6 minutes time... wow

Andrewsurf · 01-24-12, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

What a brutal beat. Can't believe how GS self destructed here.

Horrific.

pokerwhiz90 · 01-24-12, 12:47 AM

wow

jas19illini · 01-24-12, 12:48 AM

Simply pathetic, espec on their home court. fukkin GS....

apurvaas · 01-24-12, 12:49 AM

damn! lost 1U for GS! Nice calls by d way! plus 1.9u! GS blew 20pt lead

Andrewsurf · 01-24-12, 12:49 AM

Read your play wrong earlier LTA, bet on MIL. I think I gotta take a break from this shit when making mistakes like that, even if it was a tiny bet. Bet big on GS because they are my home team, thought this was a great spot for them as well. Live to fight another day, feel your pain.

apurvaas · 01-24-12, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Come on dude...try waiting for the game to end....

was mentioning about ATL game! sorry bro!

Love The Action · 01-24-12, 12:50 AM

Was going to back Memphis tomorrow, assuming they lost tonight. Wow, that was a tough one. One of the worst beats on the year so far. Killed the closer, up by 15 points with 6 minutes left in the 4th quarter and they fukin lose. Can't believe I stayed up for that bullshit.

dlunc3 · 01-24-12, 12:50 AM

22 pt lead blown in the 4th... been awhile since ive seen that happen.. wow

PolishSensation · 01-24-12, 12:50 AM

WTF!!! Can't believe that just happened.