LTA's NBA Plays

[blaze4g]

Thanks for the research and time you put in LTA, you have taught me to make investments instead of gambles in this business.

Keep up the solid work

x2

[Trivial]

Thanks for the research and time you put in LTA, you have taught me to make investments instead of gambles in this business.

Keep up the solid work

Definitely agree.

[r1kkie]

Hey LTA, pinny has it at 187.5 now, still a go or should I wait and see if the line increase, otherwise no go?

[rdkjglsk]

187.5 @ 5Dimes as well. Not sure I'm comfortable with that number. A bit low

[m3junkie]

bol today, lta!

[Jay Harry]

bet365 has it at 186.5

[Love The Action]

Hey LTA, pinny has it at 187.5 now, still a go or should I wait and see if the line increase, otherwise no go?

187.5 @ 5Dimes as well. Not sure I'm comfortable with that number. A bit low

Guys, that's only a decision you can make. I provided you with my analysis and projected total. You must decide from there if you can't get my number. Please refer to post #870. Thanks and good luck

[Love The Action]

Hmm, 5dimes line is at 189.5 now also. But I'm not too sure about this one..

Out of the three home games for the Blazers only one ended up with a total below 189.5 (against the Kings), with the Blazers playing b2b after having played Philly the night before. The other two went way over the current line (Denver and Philly). Now I know these two teams can not be compared with the current Lakers, who twice went under the total in away games scoring 189 and 191 points , but I still feel this one is set a bit to low.

I feel safer betting the spread (-3 Portland) with the Lakers not covering their previous away matches and Portland covering two out of three as home favs (the other one pushed). Any insight?

Follow your gut....I also lean portland, but I like the under much more. The market seems to agree with my assessment that the under is the play with the total plummeting to 186.5. I am very happy with my under play at the moment. GL on whatever you decide

[Love The Action]

bet365 has it at 186.5

Awesome

[Kadinni]

Hmm, 5dimes line is at 189.5 now also. But I'm not too sure about this one..

Out of the three home games for the Blazers only one ended up with a total below 189.5 (against the Kings), with the Blazers playing b2b after having played Philly the night before. The other two went way over the current line (Denver and Philly). Now I know these two teams can not be compared with the current Lakers, who twice went under the total in away games scoring 189 and 191 points , but I still feel this one is set a bit to low.

I feel safer betting the spread (-3 Portland) with the Lakers not covering their previous away matches and Portland covering two out of three as home favs (the other one pushed). Any insight?

the line is at 186.5, with that logic people get burned in the long haul just saying. Under was the play, but like an idiot, i thought it would have gone up with the public betting away on the under. I wake up and its down about 5 points. I do like this Portland bet alot though, lets get it

[r1kkie]

Guys, that's only a decision you can make. I provided you with my analysis and projected total. You must decide from there if you can't get my number. Please refer to post #870. Thanks and good luck

Thanks LTA! I think I will stay away from this games totals unless I see som drastic changes. Good luck on your play!

[jas19illini]

Hey LTA, pinny has it at 187.5 now, still a go or should I wait and see if the line increase, otherwise no go?

Someone just responded to this type of post the other day. LTA puts the number that he thinks the game should be capped at, in this case 187. So whatever line you're able to get (in this case 187.5) then becomes your own choice whether to bet the game or not. LTA puts his capped total in his writeups everytime. People need to start making their own decisions about plays based on what kind of number their book is currently at.

[Donnie Brasco]

Someone just responded to this type of post the other day. LTA puts the number that he thinks the game should be capped at, in this case 187. So whatever line you're able to get (in this case 187.5) then becomes your own choice whether to bet the game or not. LTA puts his capped total in his writeups everytime. People need to start making their own decisions about plays based on what kind of number their book is currently at.

DITTO

[Trivial]

Someone just responded to this type of post the other day. LTA puts the number that he thinks the game should be capped at, in this case 187. So whatever line you're able to get (in this case 187.5) then becomes your own choice whether to bet the game or not. LTA puts his capped total in his writeups everytime. People need to start making their own decisions about plays based on what kind of number their book is currently at.

Amen and Amen.

[NOREGRETS]

This number has shot down like a rock. However, I am seeing most plays / cash on the over??? Is this a prime case of RLM? If so, I would still pound the current number for he under.

[Donnie Brasco]

I like a portland under tease at this point

[doin]

About andrew bogut

Bogut To Miss Game In Sacramento, Kings Counter By Agreeing To Suck (http://aroyalpain.com/2012/01/05/)

NBA star Andrew Bogut expects to return to the court in the coming days after taking leave to deal with a personal issue. (http://www.theage.com.au/sport/baske...105-1pmvi.html)

[southpaw74]

Wow...186.5 now. I didn't get it early enough so I'm just going to cheer for you guys.

[southpaw74]

Heat is the only line that has moved up...all the rest dropping. Any thoughts on the heat over 188.5?

[alamo]

I missed this line unfortunately so going to pass as well. Good luck with the play folks.

[Trivial]

Yikes, the line has moved a lot. Still getting used to these basketball lines.

(PS - I still can't bring myself to watch a full game, as I'm not into the sport, but I have no issue making money on it by tailing).

[Creepingdoom]

5Dimes has it at 189 now, interesting...

[djpremier36]

I really don't like being on the other side of you, but I'm on the over 186.5 for the POR/LAL game. Hopefully there is a middle of 187-189.

Good luck bro!

[blaze4g]

I really don't like being on the other side of you, but I'm on the over 186.5 for the POR/LAL game. Hopefully there is a middle of 187-189.

Good luck bro!

i hate being on the other side too because usually my side is the losing side
im gonna do a small 3 team parlay, bucks under 188.5, heats -1.5, blazers -3.5

[NOREGRETS]

The Sacramento Kings fired coach Paul Westphal Thursday, hours after the team suffered a 27-point loss to the Denver Nuggets and just four days after the coach openly feuded with center DeMarcus Cousins.
Kings assistant Keith Smart will coach the team in Thursday’s home game against the Milwaukee Bucks.
More From Marc J. Spears

• Eric Gordon says Clippers lied to him about trade Jan 4, 2012
• Rose held firm by his Chicago roots Dec 30, 2011

The Kings fired coach Paul Westphal just days after he banished DeMarcus Cousins for one game.
(AP)

In what could ultimately be the franchise’s final season in Sacramento, the Kings have opened with a 2-5 record, worst in the Western Conference. All but one of the losses have been by at least 17 points.
Westphal’s firing comes four days after he banished Cousins from the team for one game, saying the young center demanded a trade. Kings general manager Geoff Petrie and co-owner Joe Maloof had said they supported Westphal’s decision, but also said they have no intention of trading Cousins.
Cousins returned to the Kings on Monday and played in their past two games, but didn’t start.
Westphal was 51-120 in two-plus seasons as coach of the Kings. “Unfortunately, the overall performance level of the team has not approached what we felt was reasonable to expect,” Petrie said in a statement released by the team.
“I would like to thank the Maloof family for the incredible opportunity they gave me to participate in the attempt to bring the Sacramento Kings back to prominence,” Westphal said in a statement. “While the job is far from finished, I am proud of the strides we were able to make.”

[alamo]

Generally in Europe (Soccer, Rugby etc) a trend I see is that when a team's head coach is fired you get a big performance from that team immediately afterwards. I'd imagine its sport generally. I remember Wade Philips getting sacked 2 years ago and the Cowboys winning their next couple of games. Anyone like to throw some light if they feel the Kings might come out and give some extra effort tonight now that Westphal is gone.

[NOREGRETS]

Generally in Europe (Soccer, Rugby etc) a trend I see is that when a team's head coach is fired you get a big performance from that team immediately afterwards. I'd imagine its sport generally. I remember Wade Philips getting sacked 2 years ago and the Cowboys winning their next couple of games. Anyone like to throw some light if they feel the Kings might come out and give some extra effort tonight now that Westphal is gone.

I am not playing the Kings tonight, however, I do agree with teams performing at a high level, after a coach firing. Many believe the other way and lose their a$$.

[gtboy]

u got a good line u190. the books r keeping this shit under that # for a reason. I can't get under 190 with out too much juice so I will tease the under and Lakers to +10. gl

[NOREGRETS]

...and back down to 187. An extremely volatile total.

[TC Woods]

I didn't bet my a$$ but I did put a few coins on a parlay with the Kings

Kings +3 and > 187 1/2

[MrShrink]

Good call on that HOU/LAL over the other night, LTA. GL tonight.

[absolutkaos]

is this your final card for the night LTA? Having a tough time deciding about the Heat/Hawks match-up....the under at 187.5 seems possible if Wade & LBJ are both out tonight?

has anyone heard if LBJ is in or out?

[inn_keeper]

is this your final card for the night LTA? Having a tough time deciding about the Heat/Hawks match-up....the under at 187.5 seems possible if Wade & LBJ are both out tonight?

has anyone heard if LBJ is in or out?

Rotoworld saying game time decision, on the court testing the ankle now.

[absolutkaos]

Rotoworld saying game time decision, on the court testing the ankle now.

thanks man!

[shift_knob]

I am not playing the Kings tonight, however, I do agree with teams performing at a high level, after a coach firing. Many believe the other way and lose their a$$.

happened twice this year in nfl. miami came out huge and also kc beating gb!