LTA's NBA Plays

I am Happy · 02-11-12, 04:58 PM

Very nice.. Lock it in boys.. Thanks lta

edmskid · 02-11-12, 05:06 PM

http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/22748484/34800194

Varejao out indefinitely with a fractured wrist, according to CBS Sports - quoting a cavs press release.

http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/22748484/34800194

philly -7 for 1x

thx LTA - you're not just thorough and insghtful, but diplomatic. props.

alamo · 02-11-12, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by I am Happy

Varajao's X-rays were negative and he'll likely play this evening.

Please refrain from posting bogus information. Its not the first time you've done this.

jimmy007oc · 02-11-12, 05:07 PM

is Kyrie Irving play tonight guys?

I am Happy · 02-11-12, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by alamo

Please refrain from posting bogus information. Its not the first time you've done this.

Please point out another time that I have done 'this' ? I live in Cleveland and would fairly presume that I'm a little more knowledgeable about the team followings than yourself. I look forward to seeing your example. Thanks!

JM92 · 02-11-12, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by jimmy007oc

is Kyrie Irving play tonight guys?

No Jimmy

alamo · 02-11-12, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by I am Happy

Please point out another time that I have done 'this' ? I live in Cleveland and would fairly presume that I'm a little more knowledgeable about the team followings than yourself. I look forward to seeing your example. Thanks!

You know what I mean. LakerCrazy for one is one example.

As for this case the kid has a broken arm and you come in telling everyone that he is fine and there's nothing wrong with him. Im not going to pursue this anymore especially in LTA's thread. Peace out.

I am Happy · 02-11-12, 05:20 PM

Let's act like 'im not being petty in LTA's thread' yet you throw out an erroneous comment of 'doing this before'...You are apparently confused with your commenters. PM me an example then please.

As for Andy V., that's good news for the bet...that I am on as well.

burchfield · 02-11-12, 05:46 PM

I really liking the Denver OVER. I know its not popular buutttt....

burchfield · 02-11-12, 05:49 PM

There is a guy on here that does a lot of backtesting and puts all games on spreadsheet. Anyone remeber who it is? Sorry LTA to hi jack but its eating me up.

Sport_Fish · 02-11-12, 05:53 PM

Love the philly pick!

MrXYZ · 02-11-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by burchfield

There is a guy on here that does a lot of backtesting and puts all games on spreadsheet. Anyone remeber who it is? Sorry LTA to hi jack but its eating me up.

Kobstopa. Solid capper, one of the best on SBR, but hit a losing streak & hasn't posted much lately. His spreadsheets were great reference material IMO.

mikea33 · 02-11-12, 06:27 PM

Kobstoba good capper bad year so far though

Redscot · 02-11-12, 06:38 PM

Help me out here LTA. The Knicks have a really poor scoring team on the floor, Lin has been skewing the numbers of late, but I ain't buying it tonight. I think he shows some wear and won't be putting up 20+. Knicks team has their best defensive lineup with Chandler/Jeffries at the bigs to harass Love, Fields also a pesky defender. Minny has to be feeling it in the legs right now, and their guards outside shooting has been coming back to earth lately anyway. Yet and still the O/U has shot up, is there going to be that much indifference in this game to defense to overcome the total lack of offensive talent!? Help me out bro, I feel like this game is 10 points over where it should be right now

.

JM92 · 02-11-12, 06:45 PM

Hey redscott, im no LTA but here it is: although they're shooting really sucks and their defense is actually not as bad as I'd thought, both teams play really really fast. So its always a big risk going with the under in my opinion. If they heat up as both teams can from outside, they easily get over 200 tonight.

remypom · 02-11-12, 06:56 PM

Don't u think clev bet is trap

I am Happy · 02-11-12, 07:01 PM

Nope

Love The Action · 02-11-12, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Help me out here LTA. The Knicks have a really poor scoring team on the floor, Lin has been skewing the numbers of late, but I ain't buying it tonight. I think he shows some wear and won't be putting up 20+. Knicks team has their best defensive lineup with Chandler/Jeffries at the bigs to harass Love, Fields also a pesky defender. Minny has to be feeling it in the legs right now, and their guards outside shooting has been coming back to earth lately anyway. Yet and still the O/U has shot up, is there going to be that much indifference in this game to defense to overcome the total lack of offensive talent!? Help me out bro, I feel like this game is 10 points over where it should be right now

.

One word....PACE....these two teams play too fast for the under imho. It will only take a .420 fg% collectively to cash the over at their average pace. It could cash but I don't see a big edge. With that said, however, if you have it 10 points less, you should play it. Gotta trust yourself. GL

bleedtoledo · 02-11-12, 07:13 PM

Why hasn't 6ers line moved after varejao confirmed out?

Speedy88 · 02-11-12, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by bleedtoledo

Why hasn't 6ers line moved after varejao confirmed out?

my guess is the line was made assuming varejo was already out.

WhyTheFace · 02-11-12, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Kobstopa. Solid capper, one of the best on SBR, but hit a losing streak & hasn't posted much lately. His spreadsheets were great reference material IMO.

Kobstopa is a solid capper indeed. Hope to see him back again.

There was also another fellah that posted some stats on LTAs thread about percentage of overs and under hit in this season so far. Would love to see an update on that

Love The Action · 02-11-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by bleedtoledo

Why hasn't 6ers line moved after varejao confirmed out?

It did...from -7 to -7.5. The bigger question is what you think a player like varaejao is worth. He is definitely not worthy of a full point.

Redscot · 02-11-12, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

One word....PACE....these two teams play too fast for the under imho. It will only take a .420 fg% collectively to cash the over at their average pace. It could cash but I don't see a big edge. With that said, however, if you have it 10 points less, you should play it. Gotta trust yourself. GL

Thanks bro, I appreciate the pace aspect, Minny went to 105 pace or something yesterday and committed 27 or so turnovers. Kinda feel like they will have some pull back/discipline as well as tired legs. Knicks are a team that can't hit the broad side of a barn , yet Lin has them looking like an offensive juggernaut. End of the day though, I ask because I am not capping the game, and obviously if the line is shooting up and you also feel it is justified I am most likely off (my 10 point number is merely from the gut

), a gut that has grown while my bankroll has diminished following it at times

.

Looking forward to the rest of your plays tonight, riding Philly with you.

Love The Action · 02-11-12, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Thanks bro, I appreciate the pace aspect, Minny went to 105 pace or something yesterday and committed 27 or so turnovers. Kinda feel like they will have some pull back/discipline as well as tired legs. Knicks are a team that can't hit the broad side of a barn , yet Lin has them looking like an offensive juggernaut. End of the day though, I ask because I am not capping the game, and obviously if the line is shooting up and you also feel it is justified I am most likely off (my 10 point number is merely from the gut

), a gut that has grown while my bankroll has diminished following it at times

.

Looking forward to the rest of your plays tonight, riding Philly with you.

I have it at 197, so 197.5 on the under looks interesting. I think you like it so you should follow that growing gut of yours

Good luck buddy

Catchn_Picks · 02-11-12, 08:18 PM

On a -8 cover after the 1st quarter...lol.

Let's go Philly...you owe us from last night.

Catchn_Picks · 02-11-12, 08:24 PM

What a second quarter so far for Philly!!

Redscot · 02-11-12, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

I have it at 197, so 197.5 on the under looks interesting. I think you like it so you should follow that growing gut of yours

Good luck buddy

Holy pace batman! Glad I reached out for info on this one

Hw101 · 02-11-12, 08:30 PM

Philly going nuts. 2nd qtr. I love it

pokerwhiz90 · 02-11-12, 08:32 PM

took philly 1stH - GGGGGG!

JM92 · 02-11-12, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Holy pace batman! Glad I reached out for info on this one

You can check the avg pace by team here Redscott. Only started lookin' more at these advanced stats after starting to tail this thread, and I've been using them with great effect. http://www.basketball-reference.com/.../NBA_2012.html

Hw101 · 02-11-12, 08:38 PM

Gratz

Catchn_Picks · 02-11-12, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by pokerwhiz90

took philly 1stH - GGGGGG!

That was sweet!

pokerwhiz90 · 02-11-12, 09:04 PM

am i the only one who took knicks ml? none of you guys are into linsanity?

Redscot · 02-11-12, 09:06 PM

Originally posted by JM92

You can check the avg pace by team here Redscott. Only started lookin' more at these advanced stats after starting to tail this thread, and I've been using them with great effect. http://www.basketball-reference.com/.../NBA_2012.html

Thanks bud

. That is a great resource, they are also really good for baseball. The pace was pretty much expected tonight but the shooting percentage is what has surprised me most.

In the game that counts Philly doing work

remypom · 02-11-12, 09:09 PM

How u like phx tonIght