LTA's NBA Plays

[Rolo1984]

It's stated on the very first post of this thread. Odds are -110 unless noted otherwise. Therefore, if it doesn't see the odds, you can assume -110.

Sorry dumb question. Have look at your first post so many times but always missed that

[JM92]

Always nice to see my thoughts on a certain game go along with yours. How 'bout that Heat game, lookin' into them? If it goes down to - 3.0 I'll be all over it, or the ML.

[Love The Action]

Books opening awfully high at 188 for Utah/Memphis. Last game opened and closed around 186 and ended at 179, yet they open today at 188? Hmmm.....

[NYSportsGuy210]

Any thoughts on the second half OVER -UNDER 89 points in he Lakers vs Raptors game LTA?

[Roto97]

Rose is out. I still like the over.

[Les_Nuts]

line now at 171.5

[mikea33]

Potential play mmmmmhm

[NYSportsGuy210]

Veltics ML is the play today along with Houston Rockets ML

[alkoholik]

Rose is out. I still like the over.

Hmm i thought he was game time decision. Where did you get your info?

[SlickRick1382]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/12/2012 Play #1 Bulls/Celtics over (173) 1x (Locked) I generally love unders in the 170's, but I think the books and market are both overreacting to the news surrounding Rose. Whether Rose plays or not, I expect both teams score between 85 and 92 points today. I have this game at 177 and even though I think we see a slow pace, the Bulls are the 2nd most efficient offense in the NBA and I expect improved play from the Celtics on the offensive end after being limited in its last two games. I think we see a bit of a bounceback from this Celtics team which will be facing its old assistant coach today. I think guard play will be really important and I think we see Allen and Rondo breakout. As long as the Celts get the typical solid game from Pierce and Garnett, I think that 85 point range is reachable. On the other side, if Rose does not play, the Bulls generally play at a faster pace with Watson behind the wheel. Regardless, with or without Rose, 85+ points is possible in this game. The Celtics are 3-0 in favor of the over on day games, which may surprise some. Common sense would think that it would take longer for those old bones to warm up, but I think the fact that we see such low totals for the Celtics during day games provides a little extra value on the over. Both teams are excellent defensively, ranked top 5 in the league in most advanced statistical categories, and I expect a solid defensive game today. However, this is a pure value play. The oddsmakers and market moved a little too far to the under here and I'm going to buy now at 173, which gives us 4 points of variance between that number and my quantitative number of 177. The refs are Willard, Goble and Poole. Willard is a very solid over leaning ref, while Goble and Poole are relatively neutral (if not slightly under leaning). I like the value here and I'm going to roll with the over for 1x. Good luck. Play #2 Rockets/Warriors over (204) 1x (Locked) The Warriors are starting to take on their old form as they heal up from injuries and Jackson loosens up on the noose around his players' necks. I think he realizes he needs to let these guys play at their naturally fast pace in order to win. The Warriors have worked themselves up from one of the slowest teams, to a team now ranked #7 in PACE. Without Houston at full health, I expect a fast game tonight. Houston is ranked #10 in PACE and there's no reason to slow down tonight, especially when you consider that both teams are also ranked top 10 in possessions per game and field goal attempts per game (with Houston #1 in that category). Neither team plays particularly well on defense, with Houston improving but still more likely to fall into shootout type basketball. Both teams are very weak defensively in the paint, while Houston loves to score down low. In addition, with Houston ranked 5th in ORB% and 7th in extra scoring chances per game, while the Warriors relatively lax on the boards, I think we see quite a few easy scoring opportunities for Houston down low. I think this is going to be a very competitive game and there's not much edge on the side with it possibly coming down to the last possession. Therefore, we could see some late fouling put this one over the top. The refs are not great for an over with Mauer, Collins and Roe, but they are all pretty much average with respect to fouls per game. I have this game set at 208.5 and I'm rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Bulls line dropped all the way down to 171.5 on my book. You seeing this too LTA?

[inn_keeper]

Hmm i thought he was game time decision. Where did you get your info?

http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nba/1476/derrick-rose

[bleedtoledo]

I think I speak on behalf of "Joe Public" when I say, "come on, 171½? I've never seen a total so low."

[TC Woods]

Hope LTA is on his game today, just got more at 171 1/2 to go with my 173's

[alkoholik]

thanks inkeeper....Im liking the over more LOL

[SlickRick1382]

I need some sort of application to remind me to bet certain games. I wanted to bet more on this game at 171.5 but wanted to do some numbers. Got tied up and missed the deadline....

Anyone know of any such software or have any ideas?

[bleedtoledo]

Alarm clock app

[Kurtz]

I need some sort of application to remind me to bet certain games. I wanted to bet more on this game at 171.5 but wanted to do some numbers. Got tied up and missed the deadline....

Anyone know of any such software or have any ideas?

ScoreMobile sends you a reminder 15 minutes before the start of the game.

[Hw101]

Good pace for te celts game

[SlickRick1382]

ScoreMobile sends you a reminder 15 minutes before the start of the game.

Thanks. I used to have it installed in my blackberry and forgot to reinstall it on my new one, although never knew it had that feature.

Does it remind you for every game or just for games you set to remind you for?

[JM92]

My bookie that had the total on the Warriors @ 205 all day just lowered it to 203.5, damn! If this one stays at 204 im gonna be so pissed!

[absolutkaos]

Thanks. I used to have it installed in my blackberry and forgot to reinstall it on my new one, although never knew it had that feature.

Does it remind you for every game or just for games you set to remind you for?

every game is customizable. if you want prior to start, tip off, each quarter, each half, close game, or final score you can select each or all. i dont find it works 100% of the time, but it's pretty damn good.

[SlickRick1382]

Anyone considering doing some middling with the half time total of 85.5?

[bleedtoledo]

I will play a live under if they get off to a hot start in the 3rd & I like the #

[Bbobbi]

I will play a live under if they get off to a hot start in the 3rd & I like the #

yep I already did that 1h got it at 179 hoping to catch that number again

[SlickRick1382]

yep I already did that 1h got it at 179 hoping to catch that number again

You guys using bodog or 5dimes for the live plays on this game?

[bleedtoledo]

My site is 1betvegas.

[Hw101]

Betonline does the same thing also

[JM92]

10 points ahead on Pace after 3. Lets cash this one guys!

[Roto97]

Hmm i thought he was game time decision. Where did you get your info?

What innkeeper said.

[Catchn_Picks]

Real close 175 pace. I wish it were closer for free throws.

[Roto97]

Can somebody put the ball into that cylindrical looking thing please?

[Catchn_Picks]

I love you Chicago...never say die baby!!!!

What a late run!

[Roto97]

Thank you watson and threes next basket covers.

[Donnie Brasco]

Nice lick LTA! Now lets get warriors!

[bleedtoledo]

Good call, LTA!

Let's hit that rocket/warrior over