Capping and discussion, games of Tuesday 3/28

**imgv94** · 03-28-06, 01:02 AM

I love Sea +8.5

**Jay Edgar** · 03-28-06, 01:08 AM

I love Chris Wilcox.
I think they are a different team with him.

Fully expect SEA to play well Tuesday night -- only cause for hesitation for me is how solid defensively Memphis is, especially at home. They have their way with weaker teams there.

I think SEA still cares, and they will make us all some money over the next 3 weeks (as they have over the last 3 weeks).

This will be a good test for them. Can they dictate tempo on the home court of a quaity "under" team? Can they compete into the 48th minute if they can't play the way they want?

Very interested in what the rest of the brotherhood has to say.

**Jay Edgar** · 03-28-06, 01:32 AM

I like the Pistons. Not a numbers play or a system play -- a gut play.

It is down from 5.5 to 5. While 5 -103 is damn tempting, something like 4 -108 tomorrow afternoon would be a much better play IMO.

If you like DET, are you waiting? Or is this one of those fake moves and I'll go to bed only to find -6 across the board in the morning?

====
Answer:

the latter

**isetcap** · 03-28-06, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by Jay Edgar

seemed to work OK last night . . .

NBA Tuesday

DET (#8) by 3.1 over DAL (#5)
CHA (#21) by 5.7 over ATL (#25)
MIL (#15) by 3.1 over PHX (#19)
MEM (#3) by 6.5 over SEA (#16)
CHI (#18) by 1.6 over ORL (#13)
SAC (#14) by 7.8 over WAS (#6)
LAC (#9) by 1.4 over SAN (#4)

I'm not touching any Phoenix lines right now so...

Looks like tonight's teaser is:
Orlando+10
LAC+6.5

**gunslinger** · 03-28-06, 02:08 PM

Sac/ Washington over 205

**Razz** · 03-28-06, 02:42 PM

PLAYS:

2* North Carolina women -3.5
I hate this - and in men's basketball I would be worried about some kind of trap - but this line is about 7 points too low. I know that Tennessee has a nice history, but they aren't in North Carolina's league this season. North Carolina is 32-1, and their only loss came in OT to Maryland, who is in the Final Four already. Tennessee has a really good player in Candace Parker, but there aren't any other Vols talented enough to play for the Heels.
UNC and Tennessee have two common opponents - Vanderbilt and Duke. Tennessee beat Vanderbilt by 3 and 12 in their two meetings; Carolina beat them by 20. Tennessee lost by 22 at Duke; UNC beat them by 4 at Cameron and by 12 at home.

1* Louisville +2
Simply impossible to ignore that South Carolina has been playing above their heads, and they are capable of winning this game, but I don't think it is very likely. Louisville has the best player on the court, and they are better inside. Maybe it was the Nova meltdown against Florida that has people convinced a middle of the pack SEC team is better than a middle of the pack Big East team, but that's simply not the case. Pitino finally has his team playing well, and they should not be getting points in this one.

1* Spurs -1.5
Well, it's rare that I take a road favorite, and especially since I know the line should be pk or LAC -1... but, the Spurs aren't losing this game. I took the Clippers +2.5 the last time these teams met (just thought I'd throw that in there), because it was a beautiful situation. I think the play is the Spurs this time, and honestly, it's just a gut call, though the situation is much more favorable, especially since the Spurs know they can't just show up and beat LA.

OPINIONS:

Old Dominion pk
It's pretty simple to me. The public is infatuated with Michigan here, and the line is moving strongly the other way. That's enough for me, but ODU's conference has a team in the final four, while the mighty Big 10 didn't even have anyone make the Sweet 16.

Detroit -5.5
Phoenix -6
Both of those are just gut calls, with no basis whatsoever for my leans, other than I think both bounce back well off disturbing losses.

Orlando +5.5
Chicago isn't a great home team, and Orlando is chronically undervalued in my opinion. The public looks at this line and wants to take Chicago, but I think it would be a mistake.

Sacramento -8
This one I like a lot. It is what I refer to as a "triangle game." By that I mean Golden St. just went to Sacramento and won. Washington then went to Golden St. and won. Now, Sacramento faces Washington, and a Kings cover would "complete the triangle." I use this concept a lot, but am not crazy about the big number, so I'm laying off.

**Jay Edgar** · 03-28-06, 03:30 PM

great stuff Razz, and, damn you, now I'm going to play a WNCAA game again . . .

**imgv94** · 03-28-06, 07:22 PM

great stuff Razz!! You are the bomb dude!

**Razz** · 03-28-06, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by Razz

PLAYS:
1* Spurs -1.5
Well, it's rare that I take a road favorite, and especially since I know the line should be pk or LAC -1... but, the Spurs aren't losing this game. I took the Clippers +2.5 the last time these teams met (just thought I'd throw that in there), because it was a beautiful situation. I think the play is the Spurs this time, and honestly, it's just a gut call, though the situation is much more favorable, especially since the Spurs know they can't just show up and beat LA.

Glad to hear that Tony Parker's not playing.