Game 3 discussion

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  • lunchbawks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-10
    • 12873

    #1
    Game 3 discussion
    Miami just shot themselves in the face, I do not believe the Heat can steal a game in Dallas. Dallas got lucky g2, and it might cost the Heat the Championship.

    2* Mavs -4 +126
  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #2
    Originally posted by lunchbawks
    Miami just shot themselves in the face, I do not believe the Heat can steal a game in Dallas. Dallas got lucky g2, and it might cost the Heat the Championship.

    2* Mavs -4 +126
    Not really lucky. The Mavs were down 15 largely due to sloppy play and poor shot selection early in the 4Q. They did it to themselves, and when they started making their shots, they caught back up while the Heat lost their composure at both ends.

    I booked the Mavs -2.5 (-109) right after the game. Seems like a winner to me.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      I think the Mavs likely win Game 3, and the Heat respond in Game 4.

      Role players will make a difference in this one. They'll play much better at home than on the road. Mavs won't turn the ball over nearly as much, and the crowd will energize the guys who were ghosts in Games 1 and 2 for Dallas.
      Comment
      • housecloud
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-01-11
        • 558

        #4
        Hey guys, I'm new here.. First post.. Anyhow, I really hope the Mavs win this series, and I'm extremely happy they won here tonight. However, keep in mind that this is FAR FROM OVER. I really believe that the Mavs will win 2 out of 3 at home.. and they will just need to win either game 6 or 7 on the road at Miami to win the championship...and it wont be easy. Injuries are piling up and it took a huge come-back/blow up from Miami to do it tonight.. Let's go MAVS!
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by housecloud
          Hey guys, I'm new here.. First post.. Anyhow, I really hope the Mavs win this series, and I'm extremely happy they won here tonight. However, keep in mind that this is FAR FROM OVER. I really believe that the Mavs will win 2 out of 3 at home.. and they will just need to win either game 6 or 7 on the road at Miami to win the championship...and it wont be easy. Injuries are piling up and it took a huge come-back/blow up from Miami to do it tonight.. Let's go MAVS!
          I think it'll be 2-2 heading into Game 5, which is going to be the make-or-breaker.
          Comment
          • lunchbawks
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-31-10
            • 12873

            #6
            Originally posted by suicidekings
            Not really lucky. The Mavs were down 15 largely due to sloppy play and poor shot selection early in the 4Q. They did it to themselves, and when they started making their shots, they caught back up while the Heat lost their composure at both ends.

            I booked the Mavs -2.5 (-109) right after the game. Seems like a winner to me.
            Miami was playing defensively in the 4th. Heat waited out the shotclock instead of burying the Mavs. Lebron doesn't even need to pass to ball, he can drive and atleast draw a foul on most possessions. The guy waits until there's 3 left on the shotclock to shoot a contested 3 pointer. It makes no sense...the best player in the NBA has no business chucking late in clutch games.

            You got a good line, the books know we will hammer the Mavs... The spread has to move in our favor, if it doesn't there's no stopping me. Mavs will win and cover G3.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by lunchbawks
              Miami was playing defensively in the 4th. Heat waited out the shotclock instead of burying the Mavs.
              That's on Spoelstra.
              Comment
              • JOHON8
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-28-10
                • 7712

                #8
                I think game 2 was a big blow to their egos, how many times did they bash their wrists and moan needlessly? Now they go into Dallas with a sense of disappointment that could affect their confidence when they shoot and the energy they had in games 1 and 2.
                Comment
                • Thehusker
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-27-11
                  • 415

                  #9
                  Spoelstra looks imbred, brother cousin combo---just saying
                  Comment
                  • lunchbawks
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-31-10
                    • 12873

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    That's on Spoelstra.
                    Not really, the big 3 should know how to close out games (atleast the fundamentals) These are 3 men that would get max contracts anywhere but Miami. I have never been so embarrassed for the Heat, they had the series in the bag
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by lunchbawks
                      Not really, the big 3 should know how to close out games (atleast the fundamentals) These are 3 men that would get max contracts anywhere but Miami. I have never been so embarrassed for the Heat, they had the series in the bag
                      They're still players though. Spoelstra needed to stop the bleeding and keep the momentum from taking such a violent shift. Ultimately, that's a coach's responsibility, and ultimately, the loss falls on his shoulders -- much like it did with Brooks after OKC's choke job late against Dallas.
                      Comment
                      • NBA_Brosuf
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-14-11
                        • 2489

                        #12
                        mavs still good with ATS, no matter which house they are in.

                        Mavs got lucky tonight indeed but mavs is a 1 dimension struggler. Even with dirk not putting out his near 30+ points, they are still in the game, thanks to heat choking it up at the last stretch.

                        If you play props, play dirk in his own house for the over with his scoring totals. Looks like his broken finger is a non factor and only looks good on paper.

                        Glad heat lost game 2. I really hate it when a team is playing the clock down and brick. That is what them biatches in miami gets for playing stupid. You don't play that foolish game with a good closure in the Dallas squad.

                        It was nothing tonight on espn but miami's highlights with dunks and wade/lebron taking turns dunking and shooting ridiculous and 1 shots and giving high fives to each other plus bosh opening up his mouth after the dunk, lebron too and yet, you still lose. That is miami's all time low for real.

                        It is just as stupid as people playing 1 quarter and starting counting their money but ended up losing the game.

                        I will tell you now. It is hard for history to repeat itself in one sitting. If miami wins, they will cover the spread and some because they take this loss here with a vengeance.

                        The only way you play the clock down is when you know you are not the better team and resort is calling it a night at the early stages of the game. In the NFL, I can see this can be done with a sense of control but this is the NBA where momentum can switches at any moment and them x-0 runs are not that uncommon.

                        Someone always say they need to play 48 minutes of basketball but obviously tonight, the heat only played a fraction of that.

                        Fawk heat but only in this game 2. This NBA final ratings just shot up another level. This game 2 here will be talked upon and laughed about until Sunday.
                        Comment
                        • NYSportsGuy210
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-07-09
                          • 11347

                          #13
                          Neither team will get swept these next three games and Miami can easily win 2 out of 3 in Dallas as the Mavs can win 2 out of 3 in games 3,4,5 of this series.
                          Comment
                          • aznjeff07
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-22-09
                            • 1295

                            #14
                            i'd have to lean miami. Can't see lebron letting up at all after what happened in game 2
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #15
                              Originally posted by aznjeff07
                              i'd have to lean miami. Can't see lebron letting up at all after what happened in game 2
                              By that same token, the Mavs just stole a road game. Do you see them giving it back right away?
                              Comment
                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-14-11
                                • 2489

                                #16
                                Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series.

                                Plus the revenge factor.

                                Plus the trio are taking turns getting their 30+ points for a single guy which cancel out the destruction by Dirk

                                I know one thing for sure. Whatever the public is on, ride the other way because the bookie knows that the previous game is good for a public's perception. Tonight's game, the public will be jaded about something and will all flood one way. Bet the other way to rid yourself of the obvious.
                                Comment
                                • NBA_Brosuf
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-14-11
                                  • 2489

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                                  By that same token, the Mavs just stole a road game. Do you see them giving it back right away?
                                  Good point

                                  Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.

                                  Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.
                                  Comment
                                  • top310
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-17-10
                                    • 615

                                    #18
                                    Dallas ML big , expect more production from Barrea, Peja,
                                    n Terry
                                    Comment
                                    • suicidekings
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-09
                                      • 9962

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
                                      Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series.

                                      Plus the revenge factor.

                                      Plus the trio are taking turns getting their 30+ points for a single guy which cancel out the destruction by Dirk

                                      I know one thing for sure. Whatever the public is on, ride the other way because the bookie knows that the previous game is good for a public's perception. Tonight's game, the public will be jaded about something and will all flood one way. Bet the other way to rid yourself of the obvious.
                                      This concept has a lot less merit in the NBA Final. In a situation like this, there is sharp money on both sides and Miami is a team that always gets much heavier public action than Dallas.
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

                                        Good point

                                        Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.

                                        Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.
                                        Personally, I like taking strong home teams in Games 1 & 3 of a playoff series, unless I have a strong reason to bet the other way. These are key situations where you're going to see the best a team has to offer most of the time.
                                        Comment
                                        • skers11
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-05-10
                                          • 662

                                          #21
                                          u niggas is crazy! nba is fake as ****
                                          Comment
                                          • barcelonafc
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-16-11
                                            • 428

                                            #22
                                            hope the mavs do it, but cant bet on them for some reason
                                            Comment
                                            • skers11
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-05-10
                                              • 662

                                              #23
                                              i hope lebron dont get a ring cuz of all u ignorant mf'ers who say lebron is better than mj despite not even winning 1 ring? lbj aint even the best in the game today let alone best of all time.
                                              Comment
                                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-14-11
                                                • 2489

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                This concept has a lot less merit in the NBA Final. In a situation like this, there is sharp money on both sides and Miami is a team that always gets much heavier public action than Dallas.
                                                oh hot dayam.

                                                thanks for the sharing.

                                                Good to know and good for the sharing. Thank you so much.
                                                Comment
                                                • mvp123
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-24-06
                                                  • 1736

                                                  #25
                                                  mavs must win this next game which i think they will.what a great game that was tonite
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NYSportsGuy210
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                    • 11347

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
                                                    Good point

                                                    Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.

                                                    Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.

                                                    Just like Miami was 10-0 at home coming into tonight.....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                      • 11347

                                                      #27
                                                      I like Heat to win games 3 and 4 and Dallas to take game 5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • twelvejewelz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-29-11
                                                        • 2388

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
                                                        Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series. Plus the revenge factor.
                                                        Miami hasn't lost a game at home besides tonight for the entire playoffs this helps that back to back record.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • suicidekings
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-23-09
                                                          • 9962

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                          I like Heat to win games 3 and 4 and Dallas to take game 5.
                                                          The odds are not in your favour. If you take the available odds as a fair line for the 3 games in Dallas, Miami has about a 35% chance of winning 2+ games in Dallas. I would place it at more like 28%.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • QuikNZ
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 04-03-11
                                                            • 49

                                                            #30
                                                            In the history of the NBA finals series being in the 2-3-2 format, the team that has won game three after a split of 1-1 in the first two games has gone on to win the NBA trophy 11 out of 11 times.

                                                            Food for thought if you believe the Mavs will win game 3 and want to lay a series bet.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • housecloud
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 06-01-11
                                                              • 558

                                                              #31
                                                              My money is going on the Mavs to win the series RIGHT NOW at +120.. GET IT IN NOW FELLAS!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Goat Milk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 25850

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings

                                                                The odds are not in your favour. If you take the available odds as a fair line for the 3 games in Dallas, Miami has about a 35% chance of winning 2+ games in Dallas. I would place it at more like 28%.
                                                                rethink it.

                                                                Johon, stop bringing egos into this. Its all about adjustments. Miami is a veteran team just like Dallas- just remember that. In fact, Miami has even more experience. Paco should have taken Dallas game 2 instead
                                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lunchbawks
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-31-10
                                                                  • 12873

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Line dropping. could be at -2 by tonight
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sunde91
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 8325

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                    rethink it. Johon, stop bringing egos into this. Its all about adjustments. Miami is a veteran team just like Dallas- just remember that. In fact, Miami has even more experience. Paco should have taken Dallas game 2 instead
                                                                    Coaches make adjustments. Miami has one of the worst in the league who adjusted nothing in final minutes last night but the pants he shit. Compared to Carlisle who led another epic comeback http://nbaplaybook.com/2011/06/03/th...llas-comeback/ (link from another here)

                                                                    No chance you can even begin to go about explaining how Miami has more experience than Dallas. Just a very stupid comment.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lunchbawks
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-31-10
                                                                      • 12873

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Bosh needs to score 20+ every night or else Miami has no chance imo.
                                                                      Comment
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