Miami just shot themselves in the face, I do not believe the Heat can steal a game in Dallas. Dallas got lucky g2, and it might cost the Heat the Championship.
2* Mavs -4 +126
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#2
Originally posted by lunchbawks
Miami just shot themselves in the face, I do not believe the Heat can steal a game in Dallas. Dallas got lucky g2, and it might cost the Heat the Championship.
2* Mavs -4 +126
Not really lucky. The Mavs were down 15 largely due to sloppy play and poor shot selection early in the 4Q. They did it to themselves, and when they started making their shots, they caught back up while the Heat lost their composure at both ends.
I booked the Mavs -2.5 (-109) right after the game. Seems like a winner to me.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#3
I think the Mavs likely win Game 3, and the Heat respond in Game 4.
Role players will make a difference in this one. They'll play much better at home than on the road. Mavs won't turn the ball over nearly as much, and the crowd will energize the guys who were ghosts in Games 1 and 2 for Dallas.
Comment
housecloud
SBR Wise Guy
06-01-11
558
#4
Hey guys, I'm new here.. First post.. Anyhow, I really hope the Mavs win this series, and I'm extremely happy they won here tonight. However, keep in mind that this is FAR FROM OVER. I really believe that the Mavs will win 2 out of 3 at home.. and they will just need to win either game 6 or 7 on the road at Miami to win the championship...and it wont be easy. Injuries are piling up and it took a huge come-back/blow up from Miami to do it tonight.. Let's go MAVS!
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5
Originally posted by housecloud
Hey guys, I'm new here.. First post.. Anyhow, I really hope the Mavs win this series, and I'm extremely happy they won here tonight. However, keep in mind that this is FAR FROM OVER. I really believe that the Mavs will win 2 out of 3 at home.. and they will just need to win either game 6 or 7 on the road at Miami to win the championship...and it wont be easy. Injuries are piling up and it took a huge come-back/blow up from Miami to do it tonight.. Let's go MAVS!
I think it'll be 2-2 heading into Game 5, which is going to be the make-or-breaker.
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#6
Originally posted by suicidekings
Not really lucky. The Mavs were down 15 largely due to sloppy play and poor shot selection early in the 4Q. They did it to themselves, and when they started making their shots, they caught back up while the Heat lost their composure at both ends.
I booked the Mavs -2.5 (-109) right after the game. Seems like a winner to me.
Miami was playing defensively in the 4th. Heat waited out the shotclock instead of burying the Mavs. Lebron doesn't even need to pass to ball, he can drive and atleast draw a foul on most possessions. The guy waits until there's 3 left on the shotclock to shoot a contested 3 pointer. It makes no sense...the best player in the NBA has no business chucking late in clutch games.
You got a good line, the books know we will hammer the Mavs... The spread has to move in our favor, if it doesn't there's no stopping me. Mavs will win and cover G3.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#7
Originally posted by lunchbawks
Miami was playing defensively in the 4th. Heat waited out the shotclock instead of burying the Mavs.
That's on Spoelstra.
Comment
JOHON8
SBR Hall of Famer
01-28-10
7712
#8
I think game 2 was a big blow to their egos, how many times did they bash their wrists and moan needlessly? Now they go into Dallas with a sense of disappointment that could affect their confidence when they shoot and the energy they had in games 1 and 2.
Not really, the big 3 should know how to close out games (atleast the fundamentals) These are 3 men that would get max contracts anywhere but Miami. I have never been so embarrassed for the Heat, they had the series in the bag
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#11
Originally posted by lunchbawks
Not really, the big 3 should know how to close out games (atleast the fundamentals) These are 3 men that would get max contracts anywhere but Miami. I have never been so embarrassed for the Heat, they had the series in the bag
They're still players though. Spoelstra needed to stop the bleeding and keep the momentum from taking such a violent shift. Ultimately, that's a coach's responsibility, and ultimately, the loss falls on his shoulders -- much like it did with Brooks after OKC's choke job late against Dallas.
Comment
NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#12
mavs still good with ATS, no matter which house they are in.
Mavs got lucky tonight indeed but mavs is a 1 dimension struggler. Even with dirk not putting out his near 30+ points, they are still in the game, thanks to heat choking it up at the last stretch.
If you play props, play dirk in his own house for the over with his scoring totals. Looks like his broken finger is a non factor and only looks good on paper.
Glad heat lost game 2. I really hate it when a team is playing the clock down and brick. That is what them biatches in miami gets for playing stupid. You don't play that foolish game with a good closure in the Dallas squad.
It was nothing tonight on espn but miami's highlights with dunks and wade/lebron taking turns dunking and shooting ridiculous and 1 shots and giving high fives to each other plus bosh opening up his mouth after the dunk, lebron too and yet, you still lose. That is miami's all time low for real.
It is just as stupid as people playing 1 quarter and starting counting their money but ended up losing the game.
I will tell you now. It is hard for history to repeat itself in one sitting. If miami wins, they will cover the spread and some because they take this loss here with a vengeance.
The only way you play the clock down is when you know you are not the better team and resort is calling it a night at the early stages of the game. In the NFL, I can see this can be done with a sense of control but this is the NBA where momentum can switches at any moment and them x-0 runs are not that uncommon.
Someone always say they need to play 48 minutes of basketball but obviously tonight, the heat only played a fraction of that.
Fawk heat but only in this game 2. This NBA final ratings just shot up another level. This game 2 here will be talked upon and laughed about until Sunday.
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#13
Neither team will get swept these next three games and Miami can easily win 2 out of 3 in Dallas as the Mavs can win 2 out of 3 in games 3,4,5 of this series.
Comment
aznjeff07
SBR MVP
05-22-09
1295
#14
i'd have to lean miami. Can't see lebron letting up at all after what happened in game 2
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#15
Originally posted by aznjeff07
i'd have to lean miami. Can't see lebron letting up at all after what happened in game 2
By that same token, the Mavs just stole a road game. Do you see them giving it back right away?
Comment
NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#16
Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series.
Plus the revenge factor.
Plus the trio are taking turns getting their 30+ points for a single guy which cancel out the destruction by Dirk
I know one thing for sure. Whatever the public is on, ride the other way because the bookie knows that the previous game is good for a public's perception. Tonight's game, the public will be jaded about something and will all flood one way. Bet the other way to rid yourself of the obvious.
Comment
NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#17
Originally posted by suicidekings
By that same token, the Mavs just stole a road game. Do you see them giving it back right away?
Good point
Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.
Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.
Comment
top310
SBR Wise Guy
07-17-10
615
#18
Dallas ML big , expect more production from Barrea, Peja,
n Terry
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#19
Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series.
Plus the revenge factor.
Plus the trio are taking turns getting their 30+ points for a single guy which cancel out the destruction by Dirk
I know one thing for sure. Whatever the public is on, ride the other way because the bookie knows that the previous game is good for a public's perception. Tonight's game, the public will be jaded about something and will all flood one way. Bet the other way to rid yourself of the obvious.
This concept has a lot less merit in the NBA Final. In a situation like this, there is sharp money on both sides and Miami is a team that always gets much heavier public action than Dallas.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#20
Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Good point
Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.
Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.
Personally, I like taking strong home teams in Games 1 & 3 of a playoff series, unless I have a strong reason to bet the other way. These are key situations where you're going to see the best a team has to offer most of the time.
Comment
skers11
SBR Wise Guy
10-05-10
662
#21
u niggas is crazy! nba is fake as ****
Comment
barcelonafc
SBR Sharp
02-16-11
428
#22
hope the mavs do it, but cant bet on them for some reason
Comment
skers11
SBR Wise Guy
10-05-10
662
#23
i hope lebron dont get a ring cuz of all u ignorant mf'ers who say lebron is better than mj despite not even winning 1 ring? lbj aint even the best in the game today let alone best of all time.
Comment
NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#24
Originally posted by suicidekings
This concept has a lot less merit in the NBA Final. In a situation like this, there is sharp money on both sides and Miami is a team that always gets much heavier public action than Dallas.
oh hot dayam.
thanks for the sharing.
Good to know and good for the sharing. Thank you so much.
Comment
mvp123
SBR MVP
07-24-06
1736
#25
mavs must win this next game which i think they will.what a great game that was tonite
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#26
Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Good point
Dallas is 7-1 at home in the playoff.
Now that is a stats that is good to bank upon if you have a system play.
Just like Miami was 10-0 at home coming into tonight.....
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#27
I like Heat to win games 3 and 4 and Dallas to take game 5.
Comment
twelvejewelz
SBR MVP
01-29-11
2388
#28
Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Stats show that Miami has not lost a back to back in this playoff series. Plus the revenge factor.
Miami hasn't lost a game at home besides tonight for the entire playoffs this helps that back to back record.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#29
Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
I like Heat to win games 3 and 4 and Dallas to take game 5.
The odds are not in your favour. If you take the available odds as a fair line for the 3 games in Dallas, Miami has about a 35% chance of winning 2+ games in Dallas. I would place it at more like 28%.
Comment
QuikNZ
SBR Rookie
04-03-11
49
#30
In the history of the NBA finals series being in the 2-3-2 format, the team that has won game three after a split of 1-1 in the first two games has gone on to win the NBA trophy 11 out of 11 times.
Food for thought if you believe the Mavs will win game 3 and want to lay a series bet.
Comment
housecloud
SBR Wise Guy
06-01-11
558
#31
My money is going on the Mavs to win the series RIGHT NOW at +120.. GET IT IN NOW FELLAS!
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#32
Originally posted by suicidekings
The odds are not in your favour. If you take the available odds as a fair line for the 3 games in Dallas, Miami has about a 35% chance of winning 2+ games in Dallas. I would place it at more like 28%.
rethink it.
Johon, stop bringing egos into this. Its all about adjustments. Miami is a veteran team just like Dallas- just remember that. In fact, Miami has even more experience. Paco should have taken Dallas game 2 instead
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#33
Line dropping. could be at -2 by tonight
Comment
Sunde91
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
8325
#34
Originally posted by Goat Milk
rethink it. Johon, stop bringing egos into this. Its all about adjustments. Miami is a veteran team just like Dallas- just remember that. In fact, Miami has even more experience. Paco should have taken Dallas game 2 instead
Coaches make adjustments. Miami has one of the worst in the league who adjusted nothing in final minutes last night but the pants he shit. Compared to Carlisle who led another epic comeback http://nbaplaybook.com/2011/06/03/th...llas-comeback/ (link from another here)
No chance you can even begin to go about explaining how Miami has more experience than Dallas. Just a very stupid comment.
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#35
Bosh needs to score 20+ every night or else Miami has no chance imo.