In Honor of NC-low scoring 1q=game over

[Love The Action]

So what do you guys think...37 points in all first quarter and over 20 in the first three minutes of the second quarter. NoCoin's theory says that first quarter's that are really low scoring end up going over. I am hoping he is wrong since I am on the under. What do you guy's think?

[Ca$hfloW]

I am hoping he is wrong as well but if this keeps up it's going over

[Love The Action]

We're ok...I really have no doubt. As long as they don't hit 100 in this first half, we should cash. The 2h should be rather slow, especially the fourth quarter.

[Ca$hfloW]

90 points, almost exactly half, Vegas is crazy

[suicidekings]

We're ok...I really have no doubt. As long as they don't hit 100 in this first half, we should cash. The 2h should be rather slow, especially the fourth quarter.

In Miami, the 3Q will likely be the lower scoring quarter. I have U180. It's unfortunate that little burst happened in the first few minutes of the 2Q to undo the nice low scoring 1Q, but I'm feeling pretty good about the Under cashing.

[No coincidences]

It's happening again.

I wouldn't feel comfortable with the under at this point.

Just a coincidence I'm sure.

If this game were 28-27 at the end of the 1st, it'd still somehow manage to be 46-44 at half.

[No coincidences]

In Miami, the 3Q will likely be the lower scoring quarter. I have U180. It's unfortunate that little burst happened in the first few minutes of the 2Q to undo the nice low scoring 1Q, but I'm feeling pretty good about the Under cashing.

I'm sure it'll come down to the last possession or two.

Those "sharp" NBA totals.

[No coincidences]

3Q under, 2H over would be my play.

[No coincidences]

Pinny:

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
05/23 13:28 178 -106 / 178 -104
05/23 16:28 178½ -107 / 178½ -103
05/23 19:36 178½ -110 / 178½ +100
05/23 23:06 178½ -108 / 178½ -102
05/24 12:30 178½ -110 / 178½ +100
05/24 12:55 178½ -111 / 178½ +101
05/24 13:09 178½ -116 / 178½ +105
05/24 13:11 178½ -113 / 178½ +102
05/24 13:32 178½ -117 / 178½ +106
05/24 13:37 179 -111 / 179 +101
05/24 13:44 179 -110 / 179 +100
05/24 14:22 179 -109 / 179 -101
05/24 14:38 179 -111 / 179 +101
05/24 15:01 179 -112 / 179 +102
05/24 15:05 179 -113 / 179 +102
05/24 15:41 179½ -108 / 179½ -102
05/24 16:36 179½ -109 / 179½ -101
05/24 20:03 179½ -107 / 179½ -103
05/24 20:27 179½ -109 / 179½ -101
05/24 20:33 179½ -110 / 179½ +100
05/24 20:34 179½ -108 / 179½ -102
05/24 20:38 179½ -111 / 179½ +101

Just a coincidence I'm sure.

[king9]

do you have software that grabs pinny lines or is there a site where you get that info?

[No coincidences]

do you have software that grabs pinny lines or is there a site where you get that info?

SBRodds or Covers.com

[NBA_Brosuf]

I'm not even watching the game. I'm glued to the shot clock and would like for both teams to stop doing fast break desperation show off and just milk about half of that shot clock be good.

Oh and 3's in the 2nd were cashing. Lets stop that and play awful basketball shall we?

[Love The Action]

Yeah...I wasn't particularly happy with the line movement today. First time I haven't beaten a closer in a long time. However, I still think we see the under cash. Once this game becomes more of a half-court game and the Heat adjust to limit the Bulls transition scoring, I think we see both teams slow down and shoot some bricks. The wild card is the fouls. We need the fouls to stay under 50 total attempts.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Pinny:

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
05/23 13:28 178 -106 / 178 -104
05/23 16:28 178½ -107 / 178½ -103
05/23 19:36 178½ -110 / 178½ +100
05/23 23:06 178½ -108 / 178½ -102
05/24 12:30 178½ -110 / 178½ +100
05/24 12:55 178½ -111 / 178½ +101
05/24 13:09 178½ -116 / 178½ +105
05/24 13:11 178½ -113 / 178½ +102
05/24 13:32 178½ -117 / 178½ +106
05/24 13:37 179 -111 / 179 +101
05/24 13:44 179 -110 / 179 +100
05/24 14:22 179 -109 / 179 -101
05/24 14:38 179 -111 / 179 +101
05/24 15:01 179 -112 / 179 +102
05/24 15:05 179 -113 / 179 +102
05/24 15:41 179½ -108 / 179½ -102
05/24 16:36 179½ -109 / 179½ -101
05/24 20:03 179½ -107 / 179½ -103
05/24 20:27 179½ -109 / 179½ -101
05/24 20:33 179½ -110 / 179½ +100
05/24 20:34 179½ -108 / 179½ -102
05/24 20:38 179½ -111 / 179½ +101

Just a coincidence I'm sure.

analyze and contrast this for the learners if you can

[suicidekings]

Just a coincidence I'm sure.

The thing about SBR Odds, is that their record of line movements is incomplete... There's more to that line history than is shown in your post. It was released at:

Over 179.5 (+100)
Under 179.5 (-110)

It dropped to 179 and then directly to 178 before stabilizing. Half point jumps don't mean a lot in totals. Full point jumps are significant.

[Love The Action]

We just need collective shooting percentage to stay 45% and under, along with 50 ft attempts at a 75% hit rate and we should be fine.

[Love The Action]

The thing about SBR Odds, is that their record of line movements is incomplete... There's more to that line history than is shown in your post. It was released at:

Over 179.5 (+100)
Under 179.5 (-110)

It dropped to 179 and then directly to 178 before stabilizing. Half point jumps don't mean a lot in totals. Full point jumps are significant.

This. And I would add this is especially true during the playoffs when you are getting a lot more money on the games.

[suicidekings]

We just need collective shooting percentage to stay 45% and under, along with 50 ft attempts at a 75% hit rate and we should be fine.

And a few more 24 second calls...

[Love The Action]

Exactly...especially by the Heat..I have a .5x parlay on the Bulls ML and under that pays out a little over 2x. Would make for a really nice night...

[Ca$hfloW]

ya the past few minutes have been good for the under

[suicidekings]

Exactly...especially by the Heat..I have a .5x parlay on the Bulls ML and under that pays out a little over 2x. Would make for a really nice night...

I have a 3tm roundrobin parlay with the Bulls ML, U179.5, and Canucks PL. A total of 1u risked to win a little over 7u. Just a little for fun.

[Love The Action]

Good luck on the round robin. How are the Canucks looking?

[suicidekings]

1-1 halfway through the 2nd. The 3rd period has been Vancouver's real strength this year though. Here's hoping...

[Love The Action]

1-1 halfway through the 2nd. The 3rd period has been Vancouver's real strength this year though. Here's hoping...

Good luck! And I have a 47 point cushion and you have a 48 point cushion for the fourth quarter...

[suicidekings]

Good luck! And I have a 47 point cushion and you have a 48 point cushion for the fourth quarter...

Live line being offered at the end of the 3Q was only 174.5. Comforting.

[Love The Action]

Are freeking kidding me Miller...wtf

[Love The Action]

Once again an over 2:1 ration in free throw attempts in favor of the Heat. I understand the whole "superstar" argument that Lebron and Wade should get calls - fine - however, my issue lies in Rose not getting calls and phanton offensive calls being called on the Bulls.

However, I don't see how engineering a Miami sweep is good for the league. Chicago is clearly the larger market and you would think they want as long a series as possible. That is why I do not believe in the "fix."

[clippernation]

What do you think about the live line now? It's at 171.5? Over/under?

[suicidekings]

What do you think about the live line now? It's at 171.5? Over/under?

The U179/180 is looking great, but you never know. Tons of fouls down the stretch or OT could kill it just like that.

[Love The Action]

James just took three extra steps

[The Special One]

OT.

[Love The Action]

Sickening.

[merikson]

Lost the under and a Bosh prop because of OT and the Bulls M/L. I'm sticking with baseball.

[alamo]

Great call NoCoin. I played the over based on your theory after the 1st Qtr

[Love The Action]

Great call NoCoin. I played the over based on your theory after the 1st Qtr

It was a good call in the sense that it cashed. However, in all actuality, it was a very bad call as it should not have won. There was still a 9 point cushion for the under when it went into OT...that's not a good call .