The current series line on the Spurs is -129. Based on the current odds for game 4 the Spurs are about -400 favorites to win one of the remaining games in Memphis (assuming there's one more after game 4). Then, also based on the current odds the Spurs will be around -400 favorites to win game 5 and game 7 at home (assuming those are necessary).
So, the series price for the Spurs should be about the same as a parlay of three -400 bets and that comes out to about -105, am I right? That means Memphis should actually be approximately a -115 favorite for the series. Therefore, +109 is a good value on Memphis, right or wrong?
So, the series price for the Spurs should be about the same as a parlay of three -400 bets and that comes out to about -105, am I right? That means Memphis should actually be approximately a -115 favorite for the series. Therefore, +109 is a good value on Memphis, right or wrong?
I am just a little bit confused about that one 
However, I think your analysis is reasonable, Grizzlies probably is the value side to win the series, but I predict Spurs to win tonight and win the series in 7th game or in Memphis. good luck anyway 
