Why Is San Antonio Favored In Memphis?

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  • BernardMadoff
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-12-09
    • 6679

    #1
    Why Is San Antonio Favored In Memphis?
    Made alot last year in playoffs fading the Spurs, they just didnt have it. Opened at pick last game and moved to -2 Memphis, now Spurs favored by 1. The Linesmaker is thinking that the bettor is thinking, ok Memphis got their big home playoff win out of the way and I just cant see the Spurs going down 3-1 to Memphis. Coming off a big emotional win, many times there is a letdown of sorts, Spurs know they were right there for the win at the end, Memphis would be in serious trouble if they allow the Spurs to sneak one at their home and possibly finish it back in San Antonio. Whats your take guys.
  • SpreadSniper
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-09
    • 6125

    #2
    What line would you have offered?
    Comment
    • BernardMadoff
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-12-09
      • 6679

      #3
      Originally posted by SpreadSniper
      What line would you have offered?
      Pk. I understand why its Spurs -1 though. Their expecting movement Memphis' way.
      Comment
      • BettingWizard
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-28-09
        • 6522

        #4
        wait for it to move to spurs -2 and above, then pound memphis ML
        Comment
        • cornhuskfan
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-22-10
          • 163

          #5
          i am riding with the spurs. When they posted them as favorites it was an indicator for me after losing heads up the last game. Their experience will show throughout the game. Best of luck.
          Comment
          • BernardMadoff
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-12-09
            • 6679

            #6
            Originally posted by cornhuskfan
            i am riding with the spurs. When they posted them as favorites it was an indicator for me after losing heads up the last game. Their experience will show throughout the game. Best of luck.
            Many waited on that last year against Phoenix.
            Comment
            • JOHON8
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-28-10
              • 7712

              #7
              going 3-1 down would pretty much end the series, so given that last game came down to a 3 pointer Spurs should be favored even though they are outmatched.
              Comment
              • BernardMadoff
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-12-09
                • 6679

                #8
                Originally posted by JOHON8
                going 3-1 down would pretty much end the series, so given that last game came down to a 3 pointer Spurs should be favored even though they are outmatched.
                Because the game came down to a 3 pointer they should be favored? That doesnt make much sense to me, Memphis covered and Spurs havent beat Memphis in Memphis all season.
                Comment
                • StanleySharp
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-20-11
                  • 645

                  #9
                  The line should be -3.5 Spurs IMO
                  Comment
                  • BernardMadoff
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-12-09
                    • 6679

                    #10
                    Originally posted by StanleySharp
                    The line should be -3.5 Spurs IMO
                    Lol, why is that?
                    Comment
                    • StanleySharp
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-20-11
                      • 645

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                      Lol, why is that?
                      Because they are the better team... and this is a pivotal road game where veterans will step up
                      Comment
                      • BernardMadoff
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-12-09
                        • 6679

                        #12
                        Originally posted by StanleySharp
                        Because they are the better team... and this is a pivotal road game where veterans will step up
                        Last game was pivotal being tied 1-1. They had pivotal games in playoffs last year and got swept. You think Spurs should be favored -3.5 this game. So what did you think the line should have been last game?
                        Comment
                        • TheDane
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-09-11
                          • 642

                          #13
                          I'm sure the public has no clue that Memphis is actually a decent team, even after their wins.
                          Comment
                          • MrXYZ
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-11
                            • 2342

                            #14
                            I might go with Spurs in this one for 1 uint, and afterwards taking the better price on the Grizz for the series win.
                            Comment
                            • Gonz312
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-11
                              • 1467

                              #15
                              Every game has come down to the wire, spurs -1 is no different than a pk imo. I think the key to the series is Parker, something just isn't right with him this series, you can even make the argument that he is the reason they lost game 1, shooting that stupid midrange jumper early in the shot clock when they were up 4. Getting to the line in the second half of game 1 is the only good he did that game. He hasn't been hitting his midrange shot all series yet keeps settling for it in crunch time...even missed a similar shot in game 2 late in the game that almost cost them, the spurs got back into last game with him on the bench. It's not very often when you can say the spurs have played better with parker on the bench.
                              Comment
                              • iQon
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-08-10
                                • 1483

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JOHON8
                                going 3-1 down would pretty much end the series, so given that last game came down to a 3 pointer Spurs should be favored even though they are outmatched.

                                3-1 means nothing when you have homecourt.
                                Comment
                                • StanleySharp
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-20-11
                                  • 645

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                  Last game was pivotal being tied 1-1. They had pivotal games in playoffs last year and got swept. You think Spurs should be favored -3.5 this game. So what did you think the line should have been last game?
                                  This thread wasn't made about the last 2 games. I gave my opinion.. which you obviously don't agree with...

                                  Comment
                                  • BernardMadoff
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-12-09
                                    • 6679

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by StanleySharp
                                    This thread wasn't made about the last 2 games. I gave my opinion.. which you obviously don't agree with...

                                    With no reasoning behind it, Spurs were never favored against Memphis in Memphis during the season either. If you were an oddsmaker you would be fired for hanging a -3.5 with the Spurs for this game.
                                    Comment
                                    • HoulihansTX
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-12-09
                                      • 30566

                                      #19
                                      Memphis is 7-0 ATS this year against the Spurs.

                                      You guys go ahead and over-think it.
                                      Comment
                                      • StanleySharp
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-20-11
                                        • 645

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                        With no reasoning behind it, Spurs were never favored against Memphis in Memphis during the season either. If you were an oddsmaker you would be fired for hanging a -3.5 with the Spurs for this game.
                                        So when they win by 10+ tomorrow, what will you say then?
                                        Comment
                                        • BernardMadoff
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-12-09
                                          • 6679

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by StanleySharp
                                          So when they win by 10+ tomorrow, what will you say then?
                                          Thats not the point, if you hang -3.5, the number would have to be taking down and put back up again because there would be serious unbalanced action.
                                          Comment
                                          • StanleySharp
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-20-11
                                            • 645

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                            Thats not the point, if you hang -3.5, the number would have to be taking down and put back up again because there would be serious unbalanced action.

                                            I somewhat agree... but it doesn't matter either way... I think the line will move to -3 before tip-off anyways.
                                            Comment
                                            • Avenger
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-15-11
                                              • 2119

                                              #23
                                              Yeah, a big Spurs fan myself, it hurts to say this, but Spurs can't close, they're a horrible match for Grizzlies. If their bench was hot, if Parker was hot and Conley cold, Spurs may have won in 7... but the bball god has not been kind to the Spurs, Ginobili is not 100%.
                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by StanleySharp
                                                I somewhat agree... but it doesn't matter either way... I think the line will move to -3 before tip-off anyways.
                                                So who is INJ for the Grizzlies?
                                                Comment
                                                • Avenger
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-15-11
                                                  • 2119

                                                  #25
                                                  It depends who you think "public" is... personally, I think this board is the public, especially on the weekdays with a team like the Spurs. If you asked this board, I think 75% would pick Griz over Spurs, especially with Ginobili's arm.

                                                  -3 is generous, just imho.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BettingWizard
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-28-09
                                                    • 6522

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                                    If you were an oddsmaker you would be fired for hanging a -3.5 with the Spurs for this game.




                                                    cant believe people are still looking for reasons to bet the bulls and spurs lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BettingWizard
                                                      cant believe people are still looking for reasons to bet the bulls and spurs lol
                                                      People cant help themselves.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • forzuto13
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-27-11
                                                        • 522

                                                        #28
                                                        I'm always a fan of small point (+2 or less) home dogs. I almost always side with the home dogs getting points and will even play them straight up too. Perfect case was Atlanta +2 today. I loaded up on both the spread and ML.

                                                        I don't see anything different with the Memphis/S.A. game. Both the home dogs have the advantage ATS in prior matchups and both teams (Hawks and Grizzlies) know how to fluster their "superior" opponents and have done so all season. Spurs are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings and Magic are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings.

                                                        San Antonio is the over-rated "best in the league" team and even Charles Barkley is right in saying this. They are too old, Manu is gimped out, and they don't match up to the length of Memphis.

                                                        And if Tim Duncan is correct in his recent comments alleging that the Grizzlies purposely tanked the final two games of the season in an attempt to get a first round matchup with the Spurs, then that means that Memphis knows the Spurs are "not all that."

                                                        I'm taking Memphis every game here on out in this series. +2 and ML at home is tasty. Bring it!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Avenger
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-15-11
                                                          • 2119

                                                          #29
                                                          It's Timmay's birthday tomorrow!

                                                          Happy Birthday Dunkster!

                                                          Comment
                                                          • NardVa
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-02-07
                                                            • 8325

                                                            #30
                                                            Memphis was the fav in game 3 and people thought the line was incorrect. Memphis should be the fav in game 4. It's seems crazy but Memphis is the better team.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • asjulian
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-21-11
                                                              • 200

                                                              #31
                                                              Memphis is gonna blow them out this time, spurs are garbage
                                                              Comment
                                                              • forzuto13
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-27-11
                                                                • 522

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by NardVa
                                                                Memphis was the fav in game 3 and people thought the line was incorrect. Memphis should be the fav in game 4. It's seems crazy but Memphis is the better team.

                                                                Yeah, I took it at -2 and I was seriously sweating out the final seconds. I'll gladly tale a couple points now and have a little insurance. But I am taking a little on the line too since I feel Memphis can win this game at home again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TGHMak
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-25-09
                                                                  • 658

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I think the Lakers and Spurs would love to have switched places right now.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LucyTheApe
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 05-17-10
                                                                    • 130

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by TGHMak
                                                                    I think the Lakers and Spurs would love to have switched places right now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 11347

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Spurs need a win badly tomorrow.
                                                                      Comment
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