Pound Miami - 4.5

BrewVegas · 04-20-11, 11:14 PM

The problem is every single person in the world sees the exact same things you just mentioned, yet why is the line only -4.5 then?

brahmabull117 · 04-20-11, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by BrewVegas

The problem is every single person in the world sees the exact same things you just mentioned, yet why is the line only -4.5 then?

why would it be any more??

it's a 2-7 matchup, no way would the home underdog get any more than 5 points

I really think this is gonna be a sweep here. Philly has been completely dominated in 7 out of 8 quarters (basically the entirety of 2 games with the exception of a quarter a half or so)

they just don't have the talent to compete with Miami as the heat are seemingly locked in (carry over effect from strong finish to the regular season)

politicin · 04-20-11, 11:18 PM

I agree with this line, fell in love with all the road teams actually

spongerat · 04-20-11, 11:19 PM

ya fine they might cover but playoffs are so different from reg season that you can't assume it'll be the same result

brahmabull117 · 04-20-11, 11:21 PM

Originally posted by spongerat

ya fine they might cover but playoffs are so different from reg season that you can't assume it'll be the same result

and both games so far have been miami wins by 8+ points

they would have won game 1 by 15+ points if not for a late game collapse after getting a huge lead

I don't think this is certainly a lock, but it's the safest play of the next couple of days. I don't really like any of the other plays

politicin · 04-20-11, 11:22 PM

I think this is a no brainer really

BrewVegas · 04-20-11, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by politicin

I think this is a no brainer really

I think it's a good play too, but it worries me that it seems so obvious. I would have expected a line more like -7 here.

brahmabull117 · 04-20-11, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by BrewVegas

I think it's a good play too, but it worries me that it seems so obvious. I would have expected a line more like -7 here.

for a home dog in the playoffs? that's crazy talk

BrewVegas · 04-20-11, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

for a home dog in the playoffs? that's crazy talk

Not at all. Philly never truly had a chance in either game despite an off night from both Wade and Lebron in game 1.

ThaTopMoron · 04-20-11, 11:36 PM

I have Miami +3.5 ...how can it lose? who knows... that team in game 2 looked down and out, like they just know it is pointless to even give it their all vs Miami... like after their best effort in game 1 coming up short by almost 10, that they will be swept out by the Talents of South Beach.

Pacers scare me, I dunno... got the Bulls +3.5 as well, might have to hedge my big stupid bet with the Pacers ML and maybe hit both lol nah not me... worst luck ever.

At least with betting, watching the NBA is entertaining for 8 weeks

syy211 · 04-20-11, 11:57 PM

like heat. gl to all tomorrow.

goblinburner · 04-21-11, 12:02 AM

like heat as well but most of my money is on indiana plus 4.5

Avenger · 04-21-11, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by BrewVegas

The problem is every single person in the world sees the exact same things you just mentioned, yet why is the line only -4.5 then?

Zig zag effect! 76ers gotta bounce back after their loss. It extends their series. More games means more $$$

I didn't make this up. There's articles on it.

St8Ca$homie · 04-21-11, 12:11 AM

What about Magic -1 ?

BrewVegas · 04-21-11, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by Avenger

Zig zag effect! 76ers gotta bounce back after their loss. It extends their series. More games means more $$$

I didn't make this up. There's articles on it.

There will be no zigzag in this series. Philly simply cannot put up enough points against a tough Miami defense.

Avenger · 04-21-11, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by BrewVegas

There will be no zigzag in this series. Philly simply cannot put up enough points against a tough Miami defense.

??? Not sure myself... but if I use the logic that the Big 3 bring in lots of people... I wouldn't be surprised if every Heat series goes to 7 games. Just a thought.... I have no idea who I'm putting $$ on yet.

BrewVegas · 04-21-11, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by Avenger

??? Not sure myself... but if I use the logic that the Big 3 bring in lots of people... I wouldn't be surprised if every Heat series goes to 7 games. Just a thought.... I have no idea who I'm putting $$ on yet.

The Heat don't want to waste any time finishing off this series. The Big 3 need their rest and the team would like to have more time to hopefully work Haslem back into the rotation between series.

breathmints · 04-21-11, 01:02 AM

i remember when allen iverson was playing last year against the lakers they were getting -6..still didnt cover.. they didnt cover against lakers this year and now miami is 5-0 against this team..same thing.. this team reminds me of orlando vs hawks of last year.. who will get swept.. a team like hawks beating boston all season last year

SquareDinner · 04-21-11, 01:09 AM

Miami with a low spread like that is an easy one. When you are down 2-0 and lost big time in game 2, might as well throw in the towel and just give up.

frostno98 · 04-21-11, 01:12 AM

The obvious plays has been covering the entire week, Vegas not be able to make a proper adjustment until the 2nd round. So betting on an obvious line like this might be the way to go, but I tend to do the opposite. Worked great in the regular season, but killing me in the early rounds so far.

yassen28 · 04-21-11, 01:31 AM

Heat by 8 - 10 .

Git Lo · 04-21-11, 01:40 AM

This is one of those big unit plays. Miami is just a superior team, yeah the both have an equal opportunity but Miami is just superior.

LT Profits · 04-21-11, 01:46 AM

Tread lightly - 83% of the bets are on Miami through nearly 10.000 bets, and yet the line has not nudged off of -4.5.

MrXYZ · 04-21-11, 01:58 AM

It's a big public play & everyone's jumping on it, with 90% already at Sportsbook Spy. The books would have known this was gonna happen at -4.5, this line doesn't make sense if you look at it from their business standpoint.

DemoralizdDreamr · 04-21-11, 02:21 AM

bodog -5
SI -5.5 so its moving on shitty sites.
pinny -4.5 (-103)

gregm · 04-21-11, 02:23 AM

-5.5 at sports interaction,

-4.5 +100 at pinnacle

-4.5 -103 at 5 dimes

Styles · 04-21-11, 02:27 AM

I like Miami also but I wouldnt bet the house on this game!

gregm · 04-21-11, 02:27 AM

changing at pinnacle by the minute, should be a great line to watch

tcmoody99 · 04-21-11, 02:28 AM

lets go heat. thunder were money tonight

DemoralizdDreamr · 04-21-11, 02:29 AM

Philly ML looks like the play.
+175

marcoloco · 04-21-11, 02:36 AM

i like the line. go heat

gregm · 04-21-11, 02:50 AM

I would try to update the line , but of course don best lines on a mac! Having to log into my pc. I know some people hate rx on here but sports options is just so much better than don best at this point

CanuckG · 04-21-11, 02:59 AM

+4.5 looks tasty

suicidekings · 04-21-11, 03:16 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

It's a big public play & everyone's jumping on it, with 90% already at Sportsbook Spy. The books would have known this was gonna happen at -4.5, this line doesn't make sense if you look at it from their business standpoint.

You could say that about all three games for Thursday. The lines for all three road teams are pretty tempting