Wonder where are the guys which said playoffs are easy money?

[dude_bg]

i had the common sense to avoid lot of games but still i am hardly above the water
i have lost
chi 1q against indy game 1 normal bet
lakers/hornets under game 1 normal bet
phili+14/ indy+17 teaser parlay in games 2 - very small bet
portland spread game 2 normal bet

got only thunder -3.5 for a big bet but we know it was the perkins basket that got it for me

So far even the greatest cappers around here are not hitting something spectacular, so i wonder how it comes that playoffs are considered as easy money?

I wanna see someone's playoff record hitting like 60 %, is

[SquareDinner]

At my local bookies, squares are winning because they are betting Dogs and following that trend till it brakes.

When Sharps loses, squares wins by default. This is the year of the Squares.

[cockblocker]

Playoffs are easy, you cant bet every game though. Gonna be some real good situations coming up. Be patient and wait for those monster plays.

[dude_bg]

it is not about my winnings , it is about the unpredictability , even great cappers like BL, SJ and LC are not hitting close to regular season numbers. I am not considering myself a good capper and i am not complaining.

[FindTheLock]

yeah squares are betting a trend that keeps on cashing. Once again squares are squares because they are winning and sharps are sharps because they are losing. I think being called a square is a compliment on this site lol

[Deep_Rest]

It'll all even out in the end....btw up the irons from L.A.!

[FindTheLock]

If LA, Chicago, San Antonio or Boston was worth as much as the oddsmakers think they are, then maybe I would agree with the balancing out theory. Until they prove they are as good as they were in previous years, I will continue to fade the heavy chalk and gladly accept the Double digit point spreads that are not only being covered, but they are almost being covered by the dog as if they were the one laying the chalk.

[AribaAriba]

most are shills on books to make u believe that gambling is profitable, dont believe on anything you read

[tullamore21]

it is not about my winnings , it is about the unpredictability , even great cappers like BL, SJ and LC are not hitting close to regular season numbers. I am not considering myself a good capper and i am not complaining.

and you say, that all those, who you named as great cappers don't hit their regular numbers after 8-10 picks they made?
don't you think that you should wait till at least second round runs... and after that make a statement...

you might are not a good capper, but you are a bad thread-opener for sure...

Good Luck with your future plays.

[face]

yea it's game two man. can't tell from a few games. i'm 5-7. doesn't mean anything.

[SquareDinner]

Looks like this year is different than any other year. The only thing that is still the same is the under play. Playoff and under goes hand in hand but only on certain games like 70% of these games.

[cockblocker]

and you say, that all those, who you named as great cappers don't hit their regular numbers after 8-10 picks they made?
don't you think that you should wait till at least second round runs... and after that make a statement...

you might are not a good capper, but you are a bad thread-opener for sure...

Good Luck with your future plays.

Well this has to a be a candidate for worst thread opener ever.

these two team is my worst my nightmare. they always end up doing opposite thing. like last game hawk beat magic and now this other way around.

[dude_bg]

the idea is that thinking playoffs are easy money seems not to be correct at all. I opened this thread to see someone post his playoff record so far and defend the easy money theory.

[Avenger]

I see a monster play in the works tomorrow. Do you see what I see?

I'm new to this Wiseguy stuff but I'm a decent capper and my square instinct's tells me something is very wrong with one of the lines.

[ThaTopMoron]

Playoffs are easy, you cant bet every game though. Gonna be some real good situations coming up. Be patient and wait for those monster plays.

Yep. Only my 2nd yr betting NBA but correct here. I did very bad to start and now I hit a couple to get back some and now I'm gonna chip away @ my losses and wait for those monster play opportunities to surface.

Lakers just are scary when they play like this... I don't even want to touch their ML tomorrow... maybe try to tease them down with Memphis small.

[Avenger]

I made a killing on Sunday but I lost 1/3 of it today.

Sunday was a good day for sharp plays. I would've layed some serious dough on some bets, just chickened out last mins. Like I said, i'm new to the wiseguy stuff, but if you saw what I saw, you banked.

[suicidekings]

the idea is that thinking playoffs are easy money seems not to be correct at all. I opened this thread to see someone post his playoff record so far and defend the easy money theory.

The playoffs are all about picking your spots and hammering them while not losing your shirt before the opportunities arise. We're not even through the second game of the first round yet... Patience.

I personally had one of (if not the most) profitable days I've ever had on Saturday and another strong one today, but none of it is publicly documented and even if it were, I doubt you could describe it as predictive of future success. When we get deeper into the series, you'll see obvious opportunity appear

[suicidekings]

I made a killing on Sunday but I lost 1/3 of it today.

Sunday was a good day for sharp plays. I would've layed some serious dough on some bets, just chickened out last mins. Like I said, i'm new to the wiseguy stuff, but if you saw what I saw, you banked.

What do you mean by wiseguy stuff?

[Avenger]

99% sure Lakers ML will hit tomorrow, but what's the payout -11,000.

Way I saw it on Sunday, too many sharps jumped on the Lakers ML + Spurs ML parlay (probably because of a popular thread on Covers, which I was dumb enough to contribute). Sharps put heavy money parlaying Lakers ML and/or Spurs ML with their other bets. If they parlayed it with two other favs later on the night, the payout would be great. Not because of the parlay hitting, it wouldn't, but because the hedge would be so juicy.

Example: Parlay Spurs ML + Lakers ML + Thunder ML + Phillies RL (this was my pick, btw, but stroke of luck never placed it)
If you won in the morning, you had a juicy hedge for the Nuggets ML, which was around +200. AND of course, there was the chance the four team parlay would hit (it would've) so whatever the outcome of the Thunder/Nuggets game, you would've banked by the end of the night.

Unfortunately, too many sharps must've seen this angle and played it. Therefore sharp + sharp = square.

THAT'S WHY YOU NEVER POST YOUR PICKS ON THE INTERNET!!! GRRR.... my fault too, as I contributed.

Vegas doesn't want to pay out sharp's 4 team parlays, so it must've been cheaper to pay everyone's Griz ML bets, which were very juicy.

[suicidekings]

Vegas doesn't want to pay out sharp's 4 team parlays, so it must've been cheaper to pay everyone's Griz ML bets, which were very juicy.

So in your mind this is all scripted like pro wrestling?

[Avenger]

by 2H of the Lakers/Hornets game, there was only one way Vegas would profit from the game, that was if the Lakers lost the game.

don't remember the exact numbers, but 2H Lakers + points would've had Lakers win. So you had to go BIG 2H Hornets.

That's why every game after, one team jacked up the 1H score. Vegas must've lost big on the sharp's cashing in on 2H Hornets.

[Avenger]

Suicideking, why are you here???

[dude_bg]

i am playing thunder tonight, but like mem +9 (buy the hook)

[FindTheLock]

by 2H of the Lakers/Hornets game, there was only one way Vegas would profit from the game, that was if the Lakers lost the game.

don't remember the exact numbers, but 2H Lakers + points would've had Lakers win. So you had to go BIG 2H Hornets.

That's why every game after, one team jacked up the 1H score. Vegas must've lost big on the sharp's cashing in on 2H Hornets.

I know the games have referee influence, but come on man the kind of system you're talking about would be absolutely impossible for a 3 man crew to successfully implement without getting busted. You're talking about sharp's playing -1100 ML's in parlays. That isn't a sharp move. Sharps look for weak lines to hop on, they don't parlay multiple -1100 ML's with a few heavy chalk baseball games. Parlays are in fact a sucker bet over the long haul. It is a mathematical fact. Billy Walters (sharpest of the sharps) jumps on single game spreads by pinpointing weak vegas lines that pop out to his multiple assistants that are crunching numbers on the games for him. Not by parlaying -1100 Money lines! Your angle might be working for now, but it won't continue for long. The idea that you posting your play would actually impact the outcome is paranoid. That wasn't what cost you the win.

[Rolo1984]

it is not about my winnings , it is about the unpredictability , even great cappers like BL, SJ and LC are not hitting close to regular season numbers. I am not considering myself a good capper and i am not complaining.

ever heart about variance?

Dont make a topic after 7/8 bets or so

[politicin]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/1037034-politicin-playoffs.html

10-3

[demens]

At my local bookies, squares are winning because they are betting Dogs and following that trend till it brakes.

When Sharps loses, squares wins by default. This is the year of the Squares.

Thas so funny considering the link posted right above,

[Avenger]

I know the games have referee influence, but come on man the kind of system you're talking about would be absolutely impossible for a 3 man crew to successfully implement without getting busted. You're talking about sharp's playing -1100 ML's in parlays. That isn't a sharp move. Sharps look for weak lines to hop on, they don't parlay multiple -1100 ML's with a few heavy chalk baseball games. Parlays are in fact a sucker bet over the long haul. It is a mathematical fact. Billy Walters (sharpest of the sharps) jumps on single game spreads by pinpointing weak vegas lines that pop out to his multiple assistants that are crunching numbers on the games for him. Not by parlaying -1100 Money lines! Your angle might be working for now, but it won't continue for long. The idea that you posting your play would actually impact the outcome is paranoid. That wasn't what cost you the win.

You're right, I did lose all my bets last night. Squares are estimated to win 50% of the time.
With so much scrutiny on the refs this season, I don't think any more games will be rigged.
BOL