Kings +5.5 vs. Thunder tonight

NOREGRETS · 04-11-11, 10:05 AM

Line should move higher, at least to +6.

nickos86 · 04-11-11, 10:34 AM

I think this bet will win only because on my first glance it looks like an easy cover for OKC, considering their recent form (streak 4-0; 18-4) and record against the Kings (streak 8-9). And the fact they had trouble beating GSW with Monta Ellis injured, and David Lee giving up after getting a few bad calls from the ref.

But I am always wrong when I get a strong feeling from first glance, so Sacramento will cover.
(It doesn't matter if you pick winners or losers as long as you are consistent - then you can constantly fade yourself if required!)

nickos86 · 04-11-11, 10:37 AM

Thunder still can get 2nd seed. But possibly last two home games for Sac before ?going to Anaheim ?=motivation. Sacramento fans will surely be packed in and excited.

face · 04-11-11, 11:10 AM

over 208 seems reasonable

Mthorn · 04-11-11, 12:01 PM

Also think these last 2 games for sac gonna be good ones. They gonna play it out

yisman · 04-11-11, 12:01 PM

Sacramento is the obvious choice here. Line might move even higher. I hope so.

BamaBill67 · 04-11-11, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Discuss.

Really like SAC to cover here.

Is the thought here that OKC is in a let down spot after the LaL game ?

chargers4222 · 04-11-11, 12:41 PM

the under is extremely solid here. both teams have very similar styles of post up plays that slow the game down

blinky88 · 04-11-11, 01:06 PM

Good luck on the plays

asdfghasdfgh · 04-11-11, 01:25 PM

For what it's worth, I like the Kings plus the points as well. Hopefully the line moves to +6.

Broken-Ear Glen · 04-11-11, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by chargers4222

the under is extremely solid here. both teams have very similar styles of post up plays that slow the game down

Don't think I could've said it any better hah

ThisGuy · 04-11-11, 02:56 PM

I assume it's gonna hit 6 and I might bet it at that point. Sac is pretty deep now and OKC's bench is not great (I consider Harden a starter). Sacs only got 2 more home games so I think they might really lay it out there and get the cover, I may even put half a unit on a W as well for a big win overall.

CanuckG · 04-11-11, 02:58 PM

OKC 1-5 this season as a road fav between 3.5-6. What does OKC have to play for?

NBA_Brosuf · 04-11-11, 03:26 PM

the weather in sacramento will look like this

so what do you guys think? beautiful day for a beautiful game? should be around the lower 60s by tip off.

DemoralizdDreamr · 04-11-11, 03:32 PM

OKC is playing for the second seed with 2 games left and they are behind by 1 game. I think OKC covers here

hatemybookie · 04-11-11, 03:45 PM

Big let down for thunder

NBA_Brosuf · 04-11-11, 03:56 PM

okc is still comfortable at 4th seed if they lose. Denver is 5th seed and seems like they are somewhat lock at it. OKC has no fear about playing denver as okc beat up denver 2x in this month of April already.

This is a toss up game for okc. A win up to 2nd or 3rd will give them kudos points and a loss and sitting at 4th, they will still be smiling and drinking cool aid.

JOHON8 · 04-11-11, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

OKC is playing for the second seed with 2 games left and they are behind by 1 game. I think OKC covers here

exactly..

IMO +5.5 is a weak bet. All you're hanging on is a "let down".

This would probably be a good theory mid season, but you're talking about OKC who is playing VERY solid basketball at this point of the season and Sacramento who have nothing to play for. Why shouldn't OKC blow them out? They could if they want to.

jetsjets1028 · 04-11-11, 04:04 PM

wow thats too little for sure

NBA_Brosuf · 04-11-11, 04:15 PM

The only real let down is if sac has nothing to play for so all they can do now is play ghetto ball, something that okc has never seen before and beat them to it.

LOL

8ArIvd5 · 04-11-11, 04:17 PM

fuk all the if-then scenarios of the playoffs. okc's hot and wants to stay hot going into the playoffs. i see a lop-sided game here, with a small possibility of a back-door cover.

BamaBill67 · 04-11-11, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by JOHON8

exactly..

IMO +5.5 is a weak bet. All you're hanging on is a "let down".

This would probably be a good theory mid season, but you're talking about OKC who is playing VERY solid basketball at this point of the season and Sacramento who have nothing to play for. Why shouldn't OKC blow them out? They could if they want to.

Who says OKC is going to lose . They are taking the points to cover .

8ArIvd5 · 04-11-11, 04:19 PM

okc is NOT playing for the 2 seed. lal has to lose to sas and sac, while okc has to beat sac and mil. both situations playing out is highly unlikely.

okc is playing to maintain cohesiveness and momentum.

jsw64 · 04-11-11, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

the weather in sacramento will look like this

so what do you guys think? beautiful day for a beautiful game? should be around the lower 60s by tip off.

Huh? Are they playing outside? This is a basketball game isn't it?

JOHON8 · 04-11-11, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by 8ArIvd5

okc is NOT playing for the 2 seed. lal has to lose to sas and sac, while okc has to beat sac and mil. both situations playing out is highly unlikely.

okc is playing to maintain cohesiveness and momentum.

That alone is enough motivation at this point in the season.

8ArIvd5 · 04-11-11, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by JOHON8

That alone is enough motivation at this point in the season.

i agree. i think okc starts the game strong. i took okc -2 1q.

BettingWizard · 04-11-11, 05:06 PM

I think I would need at least 7 here.

yisman · 04-11-11, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

OKC 1-5 this season as a road fav between 3.5-6. What does OKC have to play for?

The second seed? Did you miss yesterday? Had they lost to LA, they would've had nothing to play for and I bet the line would be several points lower.

Speedy88 · 04-11-11, 05:12 PM

The more I think about it, the more I think OKC would rather have the #4 seed than the #3 seed. As the #4 seed, they still have home court advantage and match up very well against the Nuggets. Most importantly, as the #4 seed they would draw the Spurs in the 2nd round, rather than the Lakers. I think OKC would prefer the Spurs to the Lakers right now.

8ArIvd5 · 04-11-11, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by yisman

The second seed? Did you miss yesterday? Had they lost to LA, they would've had nothing to play for and I bet the line would be several points lower.

the 2nd seed? that's not even in their contol. lal has to lose out for them to have a chance at the 2nd seed. do you think lal loses out?

yisman · 04-11-11, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by 8ArIvd5

okc is NOT playing for the 2 seed.

Yes, they are. They know they still have a chance at it, so they're going for a higher seed. It's unlikely, but that's what they're going for right now.

BettingWizard · 04-11-11, 05:15 PM

I don't think the Thunder care who they face, imo.

yisman · 04-11-11, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by 8ArIvd5

the 2nd seed? that's not even in their contol. lal has to lose out for them to have a chance at the 2nd seed. do you think lal loses out?

No, I don't think LAL loses out, but there's a chance. The Lakers have been playing pretty poorly.

I can promise you OKC isn't just giving up because they think the Lakers probably won't lose.

8ArIvd5 · 04-11-11, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by yisman

No, I don't think LAL loses out, but there's a chance. The Lakers have been playing pretty poorly.

I can promise you OKC isn't just giving up because they think the Lakers probably won't lose.

i don't think okc is giving up either.

Originally posted by 8ArIvd5

okc is NOT playing for the 2 seed. lal has to lose to sas and sac, while okc has to beat sac and mil. both situations playing out is highly unlikely.

okc is playing to maintain cohesiveness and momentum.