Probabilities to make the Hall of Fame....

[Goat Milk]

of guys that are active here are the list of the first 25 with the percentage next to them

Rank Player HoF Prob
1. Kobe Bryant 1.0000
2. Shaquille O'Neal 1.0000
3. Tim Duncan 0.9999
4. Kevin Garnett 0.9987
5. LeBron James 0.9925
6. Dwyane Wade 0.9910
7. Paul Pierce 0.9765
8. Dirk Nowitzki 0.9532
9. Ray Allen 0.9493
10. Jason Kidd 0.9070
11. Vince Carter 0.8567
12. Chris Paul 0.7779
13. Tracy McGrady 0.6847
14. Amare Stoudemire 0.6249
15. Pau Gasol 0.5989
16. Carmelo Anthony 0.5926
17. Tony Parker 0.5662
18. Chris Bosh 0.5352
19. Dwight Howard 0.4723
20. Grant Hill 0.4300
21. Steve Nash 0.3949
22. Gilbert Arenas 0.3449
23. Yao Ming 0.3071
24. Chauncey Billups 0.2168


I would be pretty upset if Vince Carter made the Hall of Fame and his cousin did not. Mcgrady has not really accomplished much in the post season but his numbers are phenomenal and coaches like Van Gundy that have coached him have called his talent "otherworldly."

In fact, Mcgrady's playoff numbers indicate that he is one of the greatest post season players in the history of the league, second to only michael jordan. He never was surrounded with much talent or didn't really ever play on a championship caliber team.

Does Allen Iverson make it to the HOF guaranteed? I think its not even a question. What about a guy like Chris Webber? He did things at the PF position we have not seen done before. But he also was riddled by injuries, and probably does not deserve it.

A lot of people mention Penny Hardaway, a great player, but he is no Tracy McGrady. Reggie Miller will eventually be a candidate, sometimes they will tease you and leave you off the list of candidates but with time it will come

[Goat Milk]

is there a chance mcgrady will make the hof down the line?

[Grits n' Gravy]

neither carter or mcgrady will get in. iverson will and why is nash so low? he's getting in.

[slimpickins]

The top 9 feel much more like 100% even at this point in time.
Suprising to see Nash so far down the list but NBA lifetime stats is not my thing.
Arenas should be removed, I would rather see one of the exciting young NBA players on the list then him. He stands no chance especially with the off the court stuff playing a factor.
Yao seems like a questionable choice for this list as well.

[8ArIvd5]

Is this your list GM? Or a copy and paste?

I agree top 9 should be 100%.

Dwight Howard should be higher on the list because of his defense.

[Bradyd]

Top 7 will 100% make it. After that, the we get into the 99%...