took Brose Baskets -13.5 as well
Clippers over @203.5 - the line is so sharp i think, over 202 but no more, good luck
-
I too was supposed to take Ulm ml but change last minute to Ulm -3.5, as Ulm was solid at home by a wide margin every game till now.
took Brose Baskets -13.5 as well
Clippers over @203.5 - the line is so sharp i think, over 202 but no more, good luckComment -
3/4Indiana at Miami
Miami -4.5 at first half (1 unit)
Score: 62-39 heats, no D wade, no worry
Houston at LA Clippers
The Clippers should come out with fresh leg given a two days rest, while Houston is in town for a back 2 back game.
LA Clippers -3.5 at first half (1 unit)Score: 67-55 Clip
Take over 200.5 (1 unit) Score:116-89 clip
Memphis at Minnesota
Take Minnesota ML (1 unit)
ytd: w/L record: 17-11
+2.5 unitsComment -
[ATTACH]36067[/ATTACH]Comment -
yo kob, do u think the kings playing their 3rd game in a row with all the distractions off field can hold off the injured bucks, and also your thoughts on the mavs agianst spurs - i generally dont like betting on a veteran sides that play back to back games, espically on the road, however i think spurs without manu is huuuge, they were very lucky to beat golden state - only coz curry was injured in the 3rd...
cheersComment -
only the Lakers x Portland game is open now.....
Comment -
The kings back at home will be tough for the bucks;if Bogut is still out, ??? this will be hugh for the kings, drew goodren no match against Cousins off the bench with big minutes. Also Tyrek may have a big game, as they will need to win this game as a turning point of this earlier in the season. Expect Thornton to put around 15-20 points on the board.
The Mav has yet to win one on the road but they are improving their chemistry with Lamar has yet to fit in, I thought a hugh mistake that they let JJ Barea go, so much so than Tyson Chandler.
I dont think Parker will have another good game here, it wont be easy for him to come in the lane, the Mav has to be a good match up coming to this game; they will have a good shooting in Kidd, a decent performance by Nowitzki,
the Mav's bench is a big key factor, they will win by 4 to 6 points.
And yes without Manu, that's about 10 to 15 points of swing, so this alone erase the Spurs' home court adv.
good luckComment -
LA Lakers at Portland
It is tough to win at Rose Garden, but team like Lakers is mentally tough enough to handle such environment. This will be
a playoff atmosphere, expect Portland to compete it tough, unlike LA, Portland's bench is loaded with great depth such as Jamal Crawford and Nicolas Batum.
Portland -3.5 (2 units)
Dallas at San Antonio
The Spurs was happy to just win last the game at home against GSW; without Manu, Parker had step up and took over the game, it will be tough for that encore, especially if he try to come in the lane against a bigger Dallas's defenders. The Dallas have started to show some improvement after a slow started to the season. This game will be decided by key bench players & the
Mav should have an upper hand, except one Vince carter.
Take Dallas +2.5 (1 unit)Comment -
add
Milwaukee at Sacramento
The Bucks is still without Bogut, Westphal is gone that's sad, but
expected the Kings to pull it together.
Take Sacramento +3.5 (2 units)Comment -
1/2LA Lakers at Portland
It is tough to win at Rose Garden, but team like Lakers is mentally tough enough to handle such environment. This will be
a playoff atmosphere, expect Portland to compete it tough, unlike LA, Portland's bench is loaded with great depth such as Jamal Crawford and Nicolas Batum.
Portland -3.5 (2 units)
Dallas at San Antonio
The Spurs was happy to just win last the game at home against GSW; without Manu, Parker had step up and took over the game, it will be tough for that encore, especially if he try to come in the lane against a bigger Dallas's defenders. The Dallas have started to show some improvement after a slow started to the season. This game will be decided by key bench players & the
Mav should have an upper hand, except one Vince carter.
Take Dallas +2.5 (1 unit)Comment -
[ATTACH]36111[/ATTACH]
ytd: w/L record: 19-12
+5.1 unitsComment -
hey kob you think no will beat denver even without ariza and gordon? i was going to hop on denver.Comment -
When will u give your plays for tonight?
Comment -
Memphis at Utah
The Jazz is tough at home, but the depth in Memphis is enough to steal one here today, despite Zebo is out.
Memphis +1.5 (1 unit)
Cleveland at Minnesota
Take Minnesota -3.5 at 1st Half (1 unit)
Take Over 199.5 Points (1 unit)
Portland at Phoenix
Portland catch team plan straight after LA game, again they are in full form to play another day against .600 team but against a struggling Phoenix (2-4, 1-2 home) it's no brainer here. This team will be a force in the west.
There some health issue with Phoenix Marcin Gortat and Steve Nash are not 100%, they may need someone else to step up and it's aint gonna be any.
Portland -2.5 (2 unit)
New Jersey at Toronto
The Craptor is playing some good basketball of late, they won at MSG and held Cleveland to 77 points at home.
currently they are best in the league in held opponents to 39.8 percent shooting.
Andrea Bargnani and DeMar DeRozan are healthy, they are in full form to play another solid game at home. The Nets will be without their productive players in Kris Humphries and Deron Williams. they will depend on one leg MarShon Brooks and Jordan Farmar.
Take Toronto -6.5 (1 unit)
Comment -
Denver at San Antonio
Take Under 198.5 Points (1 unit)
Utah at Golden State
Golden State -1.5 at 1st Half (1 unit)
New Orleans at Dallas
Take Over 178.5 Points (1 unit)
ytd: w/L record: 19-17
-.9 unitsComment -
LOL No worries man , you deserve it. I see you hustling on here. Long season baby , let's get it.Comment -
ytd: w/L record: 19-20
-3.9 unitsComment -
ytd: w/L record: 19-20
-3.9 unitsComment -
Minnesota at Washington
The Wizards had players only meeting, in the next game they had a strong performance offensive output, but yet lost to NYK still.
Building a winning team is not an easy task, it takes combination of pieces from free agency to good GM, from strong core of vet players to players whom come to play the game, not just showing up for the paycheck. With only 0-7, they are concerned for a worse yet to come. Last year, Cleveland Cavaliers had lost 24 games in a row. So I wouldnt be surprised that the Wizards will go 0-15 before a win.
We should see another double-double from Kevin Love, and it's a good thing that Beasley is out, as the gem of rookies; Derrick Williams will put some clinic in this game. Ridnour/Rubio = 15 pts & 12 assist will be enough for a good win Minnesota.
Take Minnesota -2.5 (2 units)
Orlando at Sacramento
Orlando will find it tough to win at Sacramento with current back court, but Howard should have another dominant
game as a 80% Chuck Hayes/Hickson & Cousins won't be enough in the post. It's either Orlando win by 5 or Sacramento's
parameter game can pull an upset at home. IMO the best play is Sacramento +6.5
San Antonio at Oklahoma City
B2b games for two contenders but the edge will go to OKC for playing at home and they have a prime scorer in KD.
Perkins is probably out, but Nazr Mohammed/Serge Ibaka should cover the front-line against aging Duncan.
The Spurs has yet to win on road this season. They had both lost to a fresh leg teams with young players at home by
avg 14 pts ppg. OKC to win by 4.
Cleveland at Portland
Embarrass lost at Phx sun, but back at home Portland should bounce back from a poor shooting performance .
But one has to notice that Cleveland have played well on road recently.
Take Portland (-5.5) at first half (2 units)Comment -
Hi kobstopa,
I realized that I might have done the biggest misstake in a long time by placing my biggest bet this nba season on washington wizard +2 against Minnesota.
I mean you are a great capper and going against you doesn´t fell good at all. Now I don´t know what to do. I have to make a decision to hedge out, stay with the bet or hedge out and follow your great bet.
I was thinking stupidly that perhaps washington wizard finnaly might have a chance to cover the spread or even win their first game tonight home. But who am I going against such a prominent capper like kobstopa with all his great write ups and really good thread. I don´t know 10% of how much you do regarding nba, the games and the players.
Thanks for a good thread and good luck today!
Comment -
Hi kobstopa,
I realized that I might have done the biggest misstake in a long time by placing my biggest bet this nba season on washington wizard +2 against Minnesota.
I mean you are a great capper and going against you doesn´t fell good at all. Now I don´t know what to do. I have to make a decision to hedge out, stay with the bet or hedge out and follow your great bet.
I was thinking stupidly that perhaps washington wizard finnaly might have a chance to cover the spread or even win their first game tonight home. But who am I going against such a prominent capper like kobstopa with all his great write ups and really good thread. I don´t know 10% of how much you do regarding nba, the games and the players.
Thanks for a good thread and good luck today!
Comment -
Originally Posted by kobstopa
Minnesota at Washington
The Wizards had players only meeting, in the next game they had a strong performance offensive output, but yet lost to NYK still.
Building a winning team is not an easy task, it takes combination of pieces from free agency to good GM, from strong core of vet players to players whom come to play the game, not just showing up for the paycheck. With only 0-7, they are concerned for a worse yet to come. Last year, Cleveland Cavaliers had lost 24 games in a row. So I wouldnt be surprised that the Wizards will go 0-15 before a win.
We should see another double-double from Kevin Love, and it's a good thing that Beasley is out, as the gem of rookies; Derrick Williams will put some clinic in this game. Ridnour/Rubio = 15 pts & 12 assist will be enough for a good win Minnesota.
Take Minnesota -2.5 (2 units)
score: 93-72 Minnesota
Orlando at Sacramento
Orlando will find it tough to win at Sacramento with current back court, but Howard should have another dominant game as a 80% Chuck Hayes/Hickson & Cousins won't be enough in the post. It's either Orlando win by 5 or Sacramento'sparameter game can pull an upset at home. IMO the best play is Sacramento +6.5
San Antonio at Oklahoma City
B2b games for two contenders but the edge will go to OKC for playing at home and they have a prime scorer in KD.
Perkins is probably out, but Nazr Mohammed/Serge Ibaka should cover the front-line against aging Duncan. The Spurs has yet to win on road this season. They had both lost to a fresh leg teams with young players at home by
avg 14 pts ppg. OKC to win by 4.
Cleveland at Portland
Embarrass lost at Phx sun, but back at home Portland should bounce back from a poor shooting performance .
But one has to notice that Cleveland have played well on road recently.
Take Portland (-5.5) at first half (2 units) score: 35-42 Portland
+3.6 units
ytd: w/L record: 21-20
-.3 unitsComment -
ytd: w/L record: 21-20
-.3 unitsComment -
Minnesota at Toronto
A new improve Timberwolves had just shown that they come to play; another two double-doubles between Rubio and Kevin Love. Despite a back-to-back-to-back games, they are in good form to win a back to back on road. Play defense is one of their strong key; their opponents allowed just average of 87 ppg with 40.6% FG in last five games.
Minnesota +3.5 (1 unit)
New Orleans at Denver
The Nug is 16 of their last 17 at Pepsi Center (more than half of which with Carmelo) this included a 6 games winning streak carry forward from last season, after that major trade.
The Hornets is injuries plague most likely without guard Eric Gordon (bruised right knee) and forward Trevor Ariza (groin strain), and with Road Record 1-3 and a total 2-6 record, after appeared to be a strong started at season opening.
A quick conclusion here is obvious that Denver will win at home, it's question by how much & in what form ?
analysis:
Denver last 10: covered ATS at home 4-0; included 2 games with a wide spread -11.5 & -12.5;both covered with extra avg 7 points cushion, last one against SAC 110-83 (W) at 1/4/12. Denver shot 60.5% FG while held Sacramento Kings to just 32.3% FG & 2-21 from downtown, important to note that this game was just before they fired Coach Paul Westphal . On average a good game at home for Denver is a shooting 52 to 54 % FG with about avg 105 ppg. They play with high energy with a fast pace transiton, once the confident is up; the jumpshoot and the layup will kick in.
New Orleans could be heading down the same path of Cleveland cavaliers after lebron james had left, despite had a good
returned trade for Chris Paul. The major issue for them now is chemistry/rhythm out of sync with injuries affected players rotation. This is where more minutes will go to their last reserve Greivis Vasquez, and Al-Farouq Aminu whom should clock some points on the board.
Take Denver -12.5 (1 unit)
Like it or not, Denver will push enough high scoring that should drag New Orleans along for a ride.
Take Over 191.5 Points (1 unit)
Comment -
Charlotte at New York
Take under 202.5 Points (1 unit)Comment -
Atlanta and Philly should cover..... how about them?Comment -
they may,
The Pacers is appeared in good form, they had won at Boston & their defense is no fluke
the nets had a good history in containing Josh Smith, despite a short hands these guys can randomly wake up
at home and a play solid game. imo i dont want to touch these two games, but I like the over nets/atl game. glComment
