NBA Daily Picks
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kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1821Comment -
GndiasSBR MVP
- 11-23-11
- 1607
#1823that is a nice graphComment -
PR9SBR MVP
- 12-30-11
- 2813
#1824nets and wizards look so lonely with no friends. lolComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1825[ATTACH]36583[/ATTACH]
_________________________
season
ytd: w/L record: 35-35
net gain +9.75uComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1826Detroit (3-11, 1-6) at Minnesota (5-8, 3-5)
Pretty scary to see Minn -8.5 against any teams given their illustrious record in these past years. Part of the reason for such a favorite is to do with the fact that Detroit are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall; 8 of these ATS were covered with nearly double digits cushion on average to go with it.
key important factor that will put Detroit is a bad spot:
-a b2b game, about 3 hours team flight from a cold day Houston to a sub minus Minnesota's winter
-Minnesota have day off; will get some fresh leg
-J.J. Barea, shooting guard Martell Webster and center Brad Miller all took part in practice; J.J. Bareais to be activated, this will add depth to the back court with Rubio/Luke Ridnour. So handling the speed of the PG's explosive attack in the lane or can they stop live dribble in the glass area, it will be a major problem for the Pistons. They cant really use Tayshaun Prince for the defensive purpose as he is more effective guarding forward positions.
Detroit has the worst rebounds in the league 37.4, yesterday's match up against the Rockets which I had discussed in the thread yesterday, and the Rockets came out and dominated the glass as expected. Again Timberwolves's frontline unit: Kevin Love/Milicic and a physical post presence of Nikola Pekovic, is not far off from the Houston's frontline as had projected.
It's true for Minnesota:
Offensive Rebound Rate rank 10th vs Detroit at 12th
Defensive Efficiency rank 9th vs Detroit at 29th
Offensive Efficiency rank 17th vs Detroit at 29th
Again this will be most likely another double digits lost for Detroit.
Take Minnesota -8 (3 unit)
Indiana at Sacramento
Sacramento to push the ball and go upper tempo at home, remember Keith Smart, that's right, he coached Golden State last year, need i say more..
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Take Over 187.5 Points (2 unit)
Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#1827Do you like anything today in Eurohoops Kob ?Comment -
TC WoodsSBR MVP
- 12-17-11
- 1780
#1828
Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#1831Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1832Detroit (3-11, 1-6) at Minnesota (5-8, 3-5)
Pretty scary to see Minn -8.5 against any teams given their illustrious record in these past years. Part of the reason for such a favorite is to do with the fact that Detroit are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall; 8 of these ATS were covered with nearly double digits cushion on average to go with it.
key important factor that will put Detroit is a bad spot:
-a b2b game, about 3 hours team flight from a cold day Houston to a sub minus Minnesota's winter
-Minnesota have day off; will get some fresh leg
-J.J. Barea, shooting guard Martell Webster and center Brad Miller all took part in practice; J.J. Bareais to be activated, this will add depth to the back court with Rubio/Luke Ridnour. So handling the speed of the PG's explosive attack in the lane or can they stop live dribble in the glass area, it will be a major problem for the Pistons. They cant really use Tayshaun Prince for the defensive purpose as he is more effective guarding forward positions.
Detroit has the worst rebounds in the league 37.4, yesterday's match up against the Rockets which I had discussed in the thread yesterday, and the Rockets came out and dominated the glass as expected. Again Timberwolves's frontline unit: Kevin Love/Milicic and a physical post presence of Nikola Pekovic, is not far off from the Houston's frontline as had projected.
It's true for Minnesota:
Offensive Rebound Rate rank 10th vs Detroit at 12th
Defensive Efficiency rank 9th vs Detroit at 29th
Offensive Efficiency rank 17th vs Detroit at 29th
Again this will be most likely another double digits lost for Detroit.
Take Minnesota -8 (3 unit) a push 93-85 -the guy miss two free-threw -one ring out, damn
Indiana at Sacramento
Sacramento to push the ball and go upper tempo at home, remember Keith Smart, that's right, he coached Golden State last year, need i say more..
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Take Over 187.5 Points (2 unit)the pacer score only 8 points in the last qrt
_________________________
season
ytd: w/L record: 35-36
net gain +7.75uComment -
GudisSBR Hustler
- 01-18-12
- 98
#1833Love these types of infographics, thanks kobs! It would be interesting to compare the differences if strength of schedule was factored in (PHI having one of the easiest schedules so far, might over inflate their value here).Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
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nocode1SBR MVP
- 03-01-10
- 1002
#1835I love the Utah/Dallas over 184......thoughts kobstopa?
Love the thread by the wayComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1836New Orleans at Houston
A battle in the glass, plus poor FG% for NO, and another solid defensive from Dalembert & E. Okafor/C. Kaman also.
Take under 186½ (2 unit)
Dallas at Utah
Under is 8-0 in DAL last 8 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 11-1 in DAL last 12 overall.
Under is 6-2 in UTA last 8 overall.
Take under 184 (2 unit)
Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1838New Orleans at Houston
A battle in the glass, plus poor FG% for NO, and another solid defensive from Dalembert & E. Okafor/C. Kaman also.
Take under 186½ (2 unit)score: 90-88
Dallas at Utah
Under is 8-0 in DAL last 8 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 11-1 in DAL last 12 overall.
Under is 6-2 in UTA last 8 overall.
Take under 184 (2 unit)
one more to comeComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1839-.3u for the day
season
ytd: w/L record: 36-37
net gain +7.45uComment -
nocode1SBR MVP
- 03-01-10
- 1002
#1840Unlucky with the Utah under kobstopa......very lucky 3 at the end for meComment -
sharlataansSBR MVP
- 08-13-10
- 1927
#1842Dallas line was sharp and to me kob was more on point. just bad luckComment -
Bazz27SBR High Roller
- 02-21-09
- 196
#1843Had the 3 games multi on all unders today with last leg dall/utah (u/184.5 plus a seperate +2.5 teaser on utah - that 0.01 sec 3 pointer sunk me both endsbig time.... 94 - 91
painful but its all on again tomorrow..Comment -
nocode1SBR MVP
- 03-01-10
- 1002
#1844
Philly/hawks over 184 I like.....sixers can always hit at least 95 at home if not more and the hawks should be able to get close to that, sixers do not do well against better teams.
I'm sure your already know this, just thought I'd give my point of view.....thoughts?Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1845We have all been there before kob and it sucks......onto tomorrow I guess.
Philly/hawks over 184 I like.....sixers can always hit at least 95 at home if not more and the hawks should be able to get close to that, sixers do not do well against better teams.
I'm sure your already know this, just thought I'd give my point of view.....thoughts?
IND 96-86 (W) with gameline -7/185.5 just two weeks ago, thus they give the Atl +6.5 &
the following is true:
Under is 20-8 in ATL last 28 road games.
PHI are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games
Under is 10-3 in PHI last 13 home games.
injuries between these 2 teams level plan field abit: Al Horford/Spencer Hawk
This is like a playoff conference match up in the east's first round type of game; last year sixers didnt
survived the Heats in first round, the same for Atl, lost to the Bulls in round 2
need to look into it more ....Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1846[ATTACH]36671[/ATTACH]
season
ytd: w/L record: 36-37
net gain +7.45uComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1847notice above projection is for 20th jan 2011 - cut & past wrong date.Comment -
jay0212SBR Rookie
- 01-18-12
- 46
#18481 20 12
denver minus 7.5
portland minus 7Comment -
NielsioSBR High Roller
- 04-25-11
- 117
#1849Wainting for my local book to open the lines for tonight. Picks include Knicks under, Nuggets, Grizzlies & Pacers over. Good luck to allComment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1850Memphis at Detroit:
Records: Grizzlies 7-6; Pistons 3-12.
undervalue Memphis is coming home to Detroit, a great matchup from 5 to PG; it's sad that they cant use Hamed Haddadi
yet. As season progress the Grizzlies is steadily improve, hustle and unselfish play has this team moving in a positive direction, at least should put a dominant performance against most sub .500 teams such as the Piston.
Some key fact:
MEM are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. and 4-0 ATS in their last 4
DET are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
FG, rebounding and overall defensive stops (top 10 efficiency vs Detroit's at 29th rank) are most significant edge that Memphis will have over Detroit. Although Detroit will have only a slight edge with shooting 3's and their brightest spot is Greg Monroe.
Lineups
Grizzlies: Mike Conley, 6-1, Tony Allen, 6-4, Rudy Gay, 6-8, Marreese Speights, 6-10, Marc Gasol, 7-1.
Pistons: Brandon Knight, 6-3, Ben Gordon, 6-3, Tayshaun Prince, 6-9, Ben Wallace, 6-9, Greg Monroe, 6-11.
It's not a walk in the park but Memphis should win by at least 9 points.
Take Memphis -3.5 (3 unit)Comment -
kobstopaSBR MVP
- 02-21-11
- 2965
#1851Memphis at Detroit:
Records: Grizzlies 7-6; Pistons 3-12.
undervalue Memphis is coming home to Detroit, a great matchup from 5 to PG; it's sad that they cant use Hamed Haddadi
yet. As season progress the Grizzlies is steadily improve, hustle and unselfish play has this team moving in a positive direction, at least should put a dominant performance against most sub .500 teams such as the Piston.
Some key fact:
MEM are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. and 4-0 ATS in their last 4
DET are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
FG, rebounding and overall defensive stops (top 10 efficiency vs Detroit's at 29th rank) are most significant edge that Memphis will have over Detroit. Although Detroit will have only a slight edge with shooting 3's and their brightest spot is Greg Monroe.
Lineups
Grizzlies: Mike Conley, 6-1, Tony Allen, 6-4, Rudy Gay, 6-8, Marreese Speights, 6-10, Marc Gasol, 7-1.
Pistons: Brandon Knight, 6-3, Ben Gordon, 6-3, Tayshaun Prince, 6-9, Ben Wallace, 6-9, Greg Monroe, 6-11.
It's not a walk in the park but Memphis should win by at least 9 points.
Take Memphis -3.5 (3 unit)
+2.7u
season
ytd: w/L record: 37-37
net gain +10.15uComment -
jay0212SBR Rookie
- 01-18-12
- 46
#18521 21 12
portland -6.5
dallas-5.5
okla city-7.5
atl-7.5
denver-2.5
chi - alot!
i got a good recordComment -
yoman456SBR Hustler
- 01-19-12
- 75
#1855what're your picks
Comment
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