NBA Daily Picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • kobstopa
    SBR MVP
    • 02-21-11
    • 2965

    #1821
    Originally posted by SaffaCappa
    Nice shooting Kob
    tx pro
    Comment
    • kobstopa
      SBR MVP
      • 02-21-11
      • 2965

      #1822
      for those who interested, below is an excellent representation of teams performance plot from current season stat

      Philly is top elite such as Chicago & Heats etc.
      East teams in blue, Red -western conference

      Click image for larger version

Name:	wchart4.GIF
Views:	1
Size:	12.7 KB
ID:	29111789
      Comment
      • Gndias
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-11
        • 1607

        #1823
        that is a nice graph
        Comment
        • PR9
          SBR MVP
          • 12-30-11
          • 2813

          #1824
          nets and wizards look so lonely with no friends. lol
          Comment
          • kobstopa
            SBR MVP
            • 02-21-11
            • 2965

            #1825
            [ATTACH]36583[/ATTACH]

            _________________________
            season
            ytd: w/L record: 35-35
            net gain +9.75u
            Comment
            • kobstopa
              SBR MVP
              • 02-21-11
              • 2965

              #1826
              Detroit (3-11, 1-6) at Minnesota (5-8, 3-5)
              Pretty scary to see Minn -8.5 against any teams given their illustrious record in these past years. Part of the reason for such a favorite is to do with the fact that Detroit are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall; 8 of these ATS were covered with nearly double digits cushion on average to go with it.

              key important factor that will put Detroit is a bad spot:
              -a b2b game, about 3 hours team flight from a cold day Houston to a sub minus Minnesota's winter
              -Minnesota have day off; will get some fresh leg
              -J.J. Barea, shooting guard Martell Webster and center Brad Miller all took part in practice; J.J. Bareais to be activated, this will add depth to the back court with Rubio/Luke Ridnour. So handling the speed of the PG's explosive attack in the lane or can they stop live dribble in the glass area, it will be a major problem for the Pistons. They cant really use Tayshaun Prince for the defensive purpose as he is more effective guarding forward positions.


              Detroit has the worst rebounds in the league 37.4, yesterday's match up against the Rockets which I had discussed in the thread yesterday, and the Rockets came out and dominated the glass as expected. Again Timberwolves's frontline unit: Kevin Love/Milicic and a physical post presence of Nikola Pekovic, is not far off from the Houston's frontline as had projected.

              It's true for Minnesota:

              Offensive Rebound Rate rank 10th vs Detroit at 12th
              Defensive Efficiency rank 9th vs Detroit at 29th
              Offensive Efficiency rank 17th vs Detroit at 29th

              Again this will be most likely another double digits lost for Detroit.

              Take Minnesota -8 (3 unit)

              Indiana at Sacramento
              Sacramento to push the ball and go upper tempo at home, remember Keith Smart, that's right, he coached Golden State last year, need i say more..

              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road

              Take Over 187.5 Points (2 unit)
              Comment
              • alamo
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-09
                • 7131

                #1827
                Do you like anything today in Eurohoops Kob ?
                Comment
                • TC Woods
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-17-11
                  • 1780

                  #1828
                  Originally posted by kobstopa
                  for those who interested, below is an excellent representation of teams performance plot from current season stat

                  Philly is top elite such as Chicago & Heats etc.
                  East teams in blue, Red -western conference

                  [ATTACH]36573[/ATTACH]
                  What is the source? A web site or?? I'd like to get a larger version so I can print out and hang on wall

                  Comment
                  • kobstopa
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-21-11
                    • 2965

                    #1829
                    Originally posted by alamo
                    Do you like anything today in Eurohoops Kob ?
                    no time, man
                    NBA has a lot info and reading material to do as it is. tough schedule for me too now.
                    Comment
                    • kobstopa
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-21-11
                      • 2965

                      #1830
                      Originally posted by TC Woods
                      What is the source? A web site or?? I'd like to get a larger version so I can print out and hang on wall

                      nbastuffer.com
                      Comment
                      • alamo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 7131

                        #1831
                        Originally posted by kobstopa
                        no time, man NBA has a lot info and reading material to do as it is. tough schedule for me too now.
                        No worries. My favourite over team REAL MADRID are in action tonight so thought you might be looking at these but obviously not. No worries and best of luck on NBA
                        Comment
                        • kobstopa
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-21-11
                          • 2965

                          #1832
                          Originally posted by kobstopa
                          Detroit (3-11, 1-6) at Minnesota (5-8, 3-5)
                          Pretty scary to see Minn -8.5 against any teams given their illustrious record in these past years. Part of the reason for such a favorite is to do with the fact that Detroit are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall; 8 of these ATS were covered with nearly double digits cushion on average to go with it.

                          key important factor that will put Detroit is a bad spot:
                          -a b2b game, about 3 hours team flight from a cold day Houston to a sub minus Minnesota's winter
                          -Minnesota have day off; will get some fresh leg
                          -J.J. Barea, shooting guard Martell Webster and center Brad Miller all took part in practice; J.J. Bareais to be activated, this will add depth to the back court with Rubio/Luke Ridnour. So handling the speed of the PG's explosive attack in the lane or can they stop live dribble in the glass area, it will be a major problem for the Pistons. They cant really use Tayshaun Prince for the defensive purpose as he is more effective guarding forward positions.


                          Detroit has the worst rebounds in the league 37.4, yesterday's match up against the Rockets which I had discussed in the thread yesterday, and the Rockets came out and dominated the glass as expected. Again Timberwolves's frontline unit: Kevin Love/Milicic and a physical post presence of Nikola Pekovic, is not far off from the Houston's frontline as had projected.

                          It's true for Minnesota:

                          Offensive Rebound Rate rank 10th vs Detroit at 12th
                          Defensive Efficiency rank 9th vs Detroit at 29th
                          Offensive Efficiency rank 17th vs Detroit at 29th

                          Again this will be most likely another double digits lost for Detroit.

                          Take Minnesota -8 (3 unit) a push 93-85 -the guy miss two free-threw -one ring out, damn

                          Indiana at Sacramento
                          Sacramento to push the ball and go upper tempo at home, remember Keith Smart, that's right, he coached Golden State last year, need i say more..

                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road

                          Take Over 187.5 Points (2 unit)
                          the pacer score only 8 points in the last qrt
                          -2u
                          _________________________
                          season
                          ytd: w/L record: 35-36
                          net gain +7.75u
                          Comment
                          • Gudis
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 01-18-12
                            • 98

                            #1833
                            Originally posted by kobstopa
                            for those who interested, below is an excellent representation of teams performance plot from current season stat

                            Philly is top elite such as Chicago & Heats etc.
                            East teams in blue, Red -western conference

                            [ATTACH]36573[/ATTACH]
                            Love these types of infographics, thanks kobs! It would be interesting to compare the differences if strength of schedule was factored in (PHI having one of the easiest schedules so far, might over inflate their value here).
                            Comment
                            • kobstopa
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-21-11
                              • 2965

                              #1834
                              Originally posted by Gudis
                              Love these types of infographics, thanks kobs! It would be interesting to compare the differences if strength of schedule was factored in (PHI having one of the easiest schedules so far, might over inflate their value here).
                              cool
                              Comment
                              • nocode1
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-01-10
                                • 1002

                                #1835
                                I love the Utah/Dallas over 184......thoughts kobstopa?

                                Love the thread by the way
                                Comment
                                • kobstopa
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-21-11
                                  • 2965

                                  #1836
                                  New Orleans at Houston
                                  A battle in the glass, plus poor FG% for NO, and another solid defensive from Dalembert & E. Okafor/C. Kaman also.
                                  Take under 186½ (2 unit)

                                  Dallas at Utah
                                  Under is 8-0 in DAL last 8 vs. Western Conference.
                                  Under is 11-1 in DAL last 12 overall.
                                  Under is 6-2 in UTA last 8 overall.
                                  Take under 184 (2 unit)
                                  Comment
                                  • kobstopa
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-21-11
                                    • 2965

                                    #1837
                                    Originally posted by nocode1
                                    I love the Utah/Dallas over 184......thoughts kobstopa?

                                    Love the thread by the way
                                    it's one of my play for tomorrow,
                                    plenty of half court basketball, good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • kobstopa
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-21-11
                                      • 2965

                                      #1838
                                      Originally posted by kobstopa
                                      New Orleans at Houston
                                      A battle in the glass, plus poor FG% for NO, and another solid defensive from Dalembert & E. Okafor/C. Kaman also.
                                      Take under 186½ (2 unit) score: 90-88

                                      Dallas at Utah
                                      Under is 8-0 in DAL last 8 vs. Western Conference.
                                      Under is 11-1 in DAL last 12 overall.
                                      Under is 6-2 in UTA last 8 overall.
                                      Take under 184 (2 unit)
                                      +1.7u
                                      one more to come
                                      Comment
                                      • kobstopa
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-21-11
                                        • 2965

                                        #1839
                                        -.3u for the day
                                        season
                                        ytd: w/L record: 36-37
                                        net gain +7.45u
                                        Comment
                                        • nocode1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-01-10
                                          • 1002

                                          #1840
                                          Unlucky with the Utah under kobstopa......very lucky 3 at the end for me
                                          Comment
                                          • kobstopa
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-21-11
                                            • 2965

                                            #1841
                                            Originally posted by nocode1
                                            Unlucky with the Utah under kobstopa......very lucky 3 at the end for me
                                            2nd day in a row either a push or lost by 1 point, but it didnt bother me.
                                            Comment
                                            • sharlataans
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-13-10
                                              • 1927

                                              #1842
                                              Dallas line was sharp and to me kob was more on point. just bad luck
                                              Comment
                                              • Bazz27
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-21-09
                                                • 196

                                                #1843
                                                Had the 3 games multi on all unders today with last leg dall/utah (u/184.5 plus a seperate +2.5 teaser on utah - that 0.01 sec 3 pointer sunk me both ends big time.... 94 - 91
                                                painful but its all on again tomorrow..
                                                Comment
                                                • nocode1
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-01-10
                                                  • 1002

                                                  #1844
                                                  Originally posted by kobstopa
                                                  2nd day in a row either a push or lost by 1 point, but it didnt bother me.
                                                  We have all been there before kob and it sucks......onto tomorrow I guess.
                                                  Philly/hawks over 184 I like.....sixers can always hit at least 95 at home if not more and the hawks should be able to get close to that, sixers do not do well against better teams.
                                                  I'm sure your already know this, just thought I'd give my point of view.....thoughts?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kobstopa
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-21-11
                                                    • 2965

                                                    #1845
                                                    Originally posted by nocode1
                                                    We have all been there before kob and it sucks......onto tomorrow I guess.
                                                    Philly/hawks over 184 I like.....sixers can always hit at least 95 at home if not more and the hawks should be able to get close to that, sixers do not do well against better teams.
                                                    I'm sure your already know this, just thought I'd give my point of view.....thoughts?
                                                    sixers had dealt against with quality team, for instant
                                                    IND 96-86 (W) with gameline -7/185.5 just two weeks ago, thus they give the Atl +6.5 &
                                                    the following is true:

                                                    Under is 20-8 in ATL last 28 road games.
                                                    PHI are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games
                                                    Under is 10-3 in PHI last 13 home games.

                                                    injuries between these 2 teams level plan field abit: Al Horford/Spencer Hawk

                                                    This is like a playoff conference match up in the east's first round type of game; last year sixers didnt
                                                    survived the Heats in first round, the same for Atl, lost to the Bulls in round 2
                                                    need to look into it more ....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kobstopa
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-21-11
                                                      • 2965

                                                      #1846
                                                      [ATTACH]36671[/ATTACH]

                                                      season
                                                      ytd: w/L record: 36-37
                                                      net gain +7.45u
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kobstopa
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-21-11
                                                        • 2965

                                                        #1847
                                                        notice above projection is for 20th jan 2011 - cut & past wrong date.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jay0212
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 01-18-12
                                                          • 46

                                                          #1848
                                                          1 20 12

                                                          denver minus 7.5
                                                          portland minus 7
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Nielsio
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 04-25-11
                                                            • 117

                                                            #1849
                                                            Wainting for my local book to open the lines for tonight. Picks include Knicks under, Nuggets, Grizzlies & Pacers over. Good luck to all
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kobstopa
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-21-11
                                                              • 2965

                                                              #1850
                                                              Memphis at Detroit:
                                                              Records: Grizzlies 7-6; Pistons 3-12.

                                                              undervalue Memphis is coming home to Detroit, a great matchup from 5 to PG; it's sad that they cant use Hamed Haddadi
                                                              yet. As season progress the Grizzlies is steadily improve, hustle and unselfish play has this team moving in a positive direction, at least should put a dominant performance against most sub .500 teams such as the Piston.

                                                              Some key fact:
                                                              MEM are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. and 4-0 ATS in their last 4
                                                              DET are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

                                                              FG, rebounding and overall defensive stops (top 10 efficiency vs Detroit's at 29th rank) are most significant edge that Memphis will have over Detroit. Although Detroit will have only a slight edge with shooting 3's and their brightest spot is Greg Monroe.

                                                              Lineups
                                                              Grizzlies: Mike Conley, 6-1, Tony Allen, 6-4, Rudy Gay, 6-8, Marreese Speights, 6-10, Marc Gasol, 7-1.
                                                              Pistons: Brandon Knight, 6-3, Ben Gordon, 6-3, Tayshaun Prince, 6-9, Ben Wallace, 6-9, Greg Monroe, 6-11.

                                                              It's not a walk in the park but Memphis should win by at least 9 points.

                                                              Take Memphis -3.5 (3 unit)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kobstopa
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-21-11
                                                                • 2965

                                                                #1851
                                                                Originally posted by kobstopa
                                                                Memphis at Detroit:
                                                                Records: Grizzlies 7-6; Pistons 3-12.

                                                                undervalue Memphis is coming home to Detroit, a great matchup from 5 to PG; it's sad that they cant use Hamed Haddadi
                                                                yet. As season progress the Grizzlies is steadily improve, hustle and unselfish play has this team moving in a positive direction, at least should put a dominant performance against most sub .500 teams such as the Piston.

                                                                Some key fact:
                                                                MEM are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. and 4-0 ATS in their last 4
                                                                DET are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

                                                                FG, rebounding and overall defensive stops (top 10 efficiency vs Detroit's at 29th rank) are most significant edge that Memphis will have over Detroit. Although Detroit will have only a slight edge with shooting 3's and their brightest spot is Greg Monroe.

                                                                Lineups
                                                                Grizzlies: Mike Conley, 6-1, Tony Allen, 6-4, Rudy Gay, 6-8, Marreese Speights, 6-10, Marc Gasol, 7-1.
                                                                Pistons: Brandon Knight, 6-3, Ben Gordon, 6-3, Tayshaun Prince, 6-9, Ben Wallace, 6-9, Greg Monroe, 6-11.

                                                                It's not a walk in the park but Memphis should win by at least 9 points.

                                                                Take Memphis -3.5 (3 unit)
                                                                score: 98-81
                                                                +2.7u

                                                                season
                                                                ytd: w/L record: 37-37
                                                                net gain +10.15u
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jay0212
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 01-18-12
                                                                  • 46

                                                                  #1852
                                                                  1 21 12

                                                                  portland -6.5
                                                                  dallas-5.5
                                                                  okla city-7.5
                                                                  atl-7.5
                                                                  denver-2.5
                                                                  chi - alot!

                                                                  i got a good record
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kobstopa
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-21-11
                                                                    • 2965

                                                                    #1853
                                                                    Originally posted by jay0212
                                                                    portland -6.5
                                                                    dallas-5.5
                                                                    okla city-7.5
                                                                    atl-7.5
                                                                    denver-2.5
                                                                    chi - alot!

                                                                    i got a good record
                                                                    good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kobstopa
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-21-11
                                                                      • 2965

                                                                      #1854
                                                                      Click image for larger version

Name:	w1s.GIF
Views:	1
Size:	21.0 KB
ID:	29111830

                                                                      ytd: w/L record: 37-37
                                                                      net gain +10.15u
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • yoman456
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 01-19-12
                                                                        • 75

                                                                        #1855
                                                                        what're your picks
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...