Curious Season Thread

[curious]

Tuesday Dec 21 More Plays

(Already listed ?? plays, waiting on lines on these guys.)
OKC ML
OKC Spread

Sacramento ML
Sacramento Spread

Los Angeles Lakers ML
Los Angeles Lakers Spread

(My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one)
(Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.)
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 M&Ms to win 2.0 M&Ms
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 M&M to win 1.3 M&Ms

Dallas +4 -110 2.2 M&Ms to win 2 M&Ms
Dallas ML ??

Memphis -6 1/2 -110 1.1 M&Ms to win 1 M&M
Memphis ML ??

Chicago -6 1/2 -110 1.1 M&Ms to win 1 M&M
Chicago ML ??

[Goat Milk]

What do you think about the total in the nets/memphis game. New Jersey has been trying to push the tempo and get into their sets faster their last few games.

[curious]

What do you think about the total in the nets/memphis game. New Jersey has been trying to push the tempo and get into their sets faster their last few games.

I completely suck at totals. Sorry

[eddie0vedder]

(Already listed ?? plays, waiting on lines on these guys.) OKC ML OKC Spread Sacramento ML Sacramento Spread Los Angeles Lakers ML Los Angeles Lakers Spread (My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one) (Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.) Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 M&Ms to win 2.0 M&Ms Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 M&M to win 1.3 M&Ms Dallas +4 -110 2.2 M&Ms to win 2 M&Ms Dallas ML ?? Memphis -6 1/2 -110 1.1 M&Ms to win 1 M&M Memphis ML ?? Chicago -6 1/2 -110 1.1 M&Ms to win 1 M&M Chicago ML ??

i like most of em, mem im maybe 60/40 on and i have no idea how u could possibly lay a single $ on sac???

[HedBustah1]

good luck on your plays sir.

[curious]

i like most of em, mem im maybe 60/40 on and i have no idea how u could possibly lay a single $ on sac???

Because their home w/l % is 21.4% and Golden State's road w/l % is 20%. That's why. I expect Sacramento to be a dog, if they are giving away more than 2 or 3 points I am going to scratch them.

[curious]

(Only missing OKC and Lakers now, will update later)
OKC ML
OKC Spread

Sacramento -130 2.73 to win 2.1
Sacramento -2.5 -110 1.1 to win 1

Los Angeles Lakers ML
Los Angeles Lakers Spread

(My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one)
(Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.)
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 to win 2.0
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 to win 1.3

Dallas +4 -110 2.2 to win 2
Dallas ML +150 1 to win 1.5

Memphis -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved)
Memphis ML -360 7.56 to win 2.1

Chicago -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved)
Chicago ML -275 5.775 to win 2.1

[linedrivr]

Nice job last night Curious. Glad to see that i'm not the only one here with a younger wife. Mine is 16 years younger than me.

[aireent777]

[curious]

Nice job last night Curious. Glad to see that i'm not the only one here with a younger wife. Mine is 16 years younger than me.

Thanks, younger wives are GREAT!! The thing I like about my wife is she asked me to marry her. And got very upset when I was hesitating. I was just afraid of tying such a young woman down to an old fogey. But, we have a great marriage/life/relationship. What is your wife like?

[curious]

Scratch the OKC play, this line and spread are ridiculous. Scratch the Lakers, they will probably win but I don't feel like laying 10 M&Ms to win 1 M&M.
OKC ML
OKC Spread

Sacramento -130 2.73 to win 2.1
Sacramento -2.5 -110 1.1 to win 1

Los Angeles Lakers ML

(My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one)
(Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.)
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 to win 2.0
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 to win 1.3

Dallas +4 -110 2.2 to win 2
Dallas ML +150 1 to win 1.5

Memphis -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved)
Memphis ML -360 7.56 to win 2.1

Chicago -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved)
Chicago ML -275 5.775 to win 2.1

[curious]

Tuesday, Dec 21 Parlay

Let's do a parlay, this should hit.
Line on this is +120
Lakers ML -1000
Chicago ML -250
Memphis ML -235

Risking 1 M&M to win 1.2 M&M

How do you get .2 M&M? I know, put an M&M in your young wife's mouth and take .2 of it with your tongue!! YEAH BABY!!

[xxbadazxx]

Keep up the great work and thank you

[xxbadazxx]

Am a huge charlotte fan and can almost guarantee okc wins and cover big

[Dexter]

((My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one)
(Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.)

[curious]

Am a huge charlotte fan and can almost guarantee okc wins and cover big

Okay,
2 pick parlay -108 $1080 to win $1000
OKC ML -265
Memphis ML -250

[balman]

plays for tonight

Curious,
i agree with your Dallas play spread n ML
like memphis ML n spread -6
i like okc ML n spread -6
i'm not sure about Bulls without Noah..

when i break down the games i look at 3 things
1. overall win %
2. road vs home win %
3. last 10 games win %
i have a spreadsheet that pulls the league standings every day, from nba.com, then breaks out the % for each team... and ofcourse i keep any eye on injuries, back to back nights.

so lets look at tonights games..
note:
O=overall win %
R=road win %
H=home win %
L10=last ten game win %;
total%= is sum of diff between overall+road vs home+last10

i only bet teams that have a higher winning % in all 3 categories

for tonight here are the teams with > win % in all 3 categories

Dall vs Orl 0=82-59;r90-h69;L10=90-30 total%=103 for Dallas Play ML n Spread

okc vs char O=68-35;r69-h50,L10=70-30 total%=94% for OKC Play Ml n spread

NJ vs Mem O=29-43,r14-h62,L10=20-40 total%=82% for Mem play ML n spread

phi vs chic O=41-64,r23-h77,L10=70-70 total%=77% for Chic (note last 10 is a push at 70 each) small play

mil vs lakers O=39-75,r23-83,L10=40-80 total%=137% for LA no play to high ML n Spread but use them in parlay

for tonight teams without > win % in all 3 categories

GS vs Sac O=33-20,r20-h21,L10=10-10 total%= -12% no play

so here are my plays for tonight
Dall +3.5 R2.2U W2U ML R1U W1.4U
OKC/Mem ML parlay R2U W1.85U
OKC/Mem teaser -5 R1.1 W1
Parlay Lakers/Bulls/boise state(CFB) R2U w1.5U

best of luck
cheers

[SpreadSniper]

Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 M&Ms to win 2.0 M&Ms
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 M&M to win 1.3 M&Ms

LOL - too funny.

Glad to see you are still around...

BOL

[curious]

Wed Dec 22

This post is for Wednesday's lineup. No lines yet, I'll update this when lines post.

All games will have two bets, one on the ML and one +/- the points. For favs the bet on the ML will be to win double the spread amount, for dogs, the bet size will on the spread amount will be to win double the ML mount. Obviously.

Atlanta
Washington
Toronto
Boston
OKC
New Orleans
Utah
San Antonio
LA Clippers

[curious]

Let's do a parlay, this should hit.
Line on this is +120
Lakers ML -1000
Chicago ML -250
Memphis ML -235

Risking 1 M&M to win 1.2 M&M

How do you get .2 M&M? I know, put an M&M in your young wife's mouth and take .2 of it with your tongue!! YEAH BABY!!

Loss 1 M&M

[curious]

Okay,
2 pick parlay -108 $1080 to win $1000
OKC ML -265
Memphis ML -250

Loss 1.08 M&M

(I am switching to betting M&Ms because some crackheads were harassing me over posting $$ amounts bet. Freaking crackheads).

[curious]

Scratch the OKC play, this line and spread are ridiculous. Scratch the Lakers, they will probably win but I don't feel like laying 10 M&Ms to win 1 M&M.
OKC ML
OKC Spread

Sacramento -130 2.73 to win 2.1
Sacramento -2.5 -110 1.1 to win 1

Los Angeles Lakers ML

(My wife is getting a Ph.D. at this school so I have to bet this, be careful on this one)
(Definite play or my wife won't be naked much any more, no I won't send you pictures, my wife is drop dead gorgeous though, and 18 years younger than me. Crackheads.)
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)+3 2.2 to win 2.0 Push
Southern Mississippi (NCAAF) +130 1 to win 1.3 Loss -1

Dallas +4 -110 2.2 to win 2 Win +2
Dallas ML +150 1 to win 1.5 Win +1.5

Memphis -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved) Loss -1.1
Memphis ML -360 7.56 to win 2.1 Loss -7.56

Chicago -6 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1 (I took this early, the ML moved) Win +1
Chicago ML -275 5.775 to win 2.1 Win +2.1

Also lost 2 parlays:
Lakers Chicago Memphis Loss -1
OKC Memphis Loss -1.1

Well, I thought I was going to close this all out before going to bed and then freaking Sacramento lets Golden State tie the game. Crackheads.

As of right now I am down 5.16 units tonight. If Sacramento wins and covers I will be down 2 units. If Sacramento loses straight up I will be down 9 units. I hate gambling.

Till tomorrow.

[curious]

Wed Dec 22

I have all the lines except Toronto, I will update this later.

Atlanta -10 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1
Atlanta ML -525 11.025 to win 2.1

Washington +2 -110 3.3 to win 3

Toronto (no line yet)

Boston -10 -110 1.1 to win 1
Boston ML -500 10.5 to win 2.1

OKC +1 -105 3.15 to win 3

New Orleans -9 -110 1.1 to win 1
New Orleans ML -450 9.45 to win 2.1

Utah -6 -110 1.1 to win 1
Utah ML -255 5.35 to win 2.1

San Antonio -7 -110 1.1 to win 1
San Antonio ML -310 6.51 to win 2.1

LA Clippers +1 -110 3.3 to win 3

[curious]

YTD Record

I think the record is +10.75. Wow did Sacramento self destruct. They go from being up 84-70 to losing by 8.

No more parlays.

I'll be adding Q and H plays as soon as things settle down a bit. It's CHRISTMAS. I love Christmas.

Hopefully Wednesday will be a good day.

[vyomguy]

Good luck curious...looking forward to your model plays for Qs and Hs...not a big fan of playing ML's in NBA.

[curious]

Wed Dec 22 Quarters and Halves

This is where I make my money.

I only play these on the ML, if you can't get money lines you are on your own.

All plays are risking 1 unit if + line, to win 1 unit if - line.

I'll post the lines once I get them. I may not post all of the 2Q, 3Q, 1H, and 2H lines before they play. I will be very busy until after Jan 1. I am glad to post the picks, it is up to you to follow the lines. I'll post the results after the games are over.

DO NOT play spreads on these, you will get killed.

1Q
Washington
Boston
New Orleans
Minnesota
San Antonio

2Q
Atlanta
Chicago
Detroit
Minnesota
San Antonio
LA Clippers

3Q
Atlanta
Washington
Toronto
Boston
New Orleans
Utah
San Antonio
LA Clipper

4Q
Chicago
Toronto
OKC
Utah
Houston

1H
Atlanta
Boston
New Orleans
Minnesota
San Antonio

2H
Atlanta
Washington
Toronto
Boston
New Orleans
Utah
San Antonio

[curious]

NOTE on Q and H plays.

Every year that I have played these Q and H plays my W/L was > 70%. One year it was > 80%. I know the crackheads will call me liar but the years that I posted these plays on SBR the records are there to see. A lot of people on here know me so ask around if you care about this.

People asked how I can lay $10K or more in one day, this is why. Multiple seasons with this kind of Win rate.

Now of course this year I'll get killed. LOL

[tenbas]

curious, you play your Q&H games at The Greek?
also, you are the only one I've ever tailed on sbr, just made +8% of bankroll. You are not real, shiiit

[eddie0vedder]

This is where I make my money. I only play these on the ML, if you can't get money lines you are on your own. All plays are risking 1 unit if + line, to win 1 unit if - line. I'll post the lines once I get them. I may not post all of the 2Q, 3Q, 1H, and 2H lines before they play. I will be very busy until after Jan 1. I am glad to post the picks, it is up to you to follow the lines. I'll post the results after the games are over. DO NOT play spreads on these, you will get killed. 1Q Washington Boston New Orleans Minnesota San Antonio 2Q Atlanta Chicago Detroit Minnesota San Antonio LA Clippers 3Q Atlanta Washington Toronto Boston New Orleans Utah San Antonio LA Clipper 4Q Chicago Toronto OKC Utah Houston 1H Atlanta Boston New Orleans Minnesota San Antonio 2H Atlanta Washington Toronto Boston New Orleans Utah San Antonio

this looks a little crazy to me, how can u just blindly play later quarters without the score influencing the decision. this will be interesting to watch.

[curious]

this looks a little crazy to me, how can u just blindly play later quarters without the score influencing the decision. this will be interesting to watch.

There is another thing that we do, but I don't have time to do it right now. If you throw out the really horrible teams, Minnesota and Sacramento and maybe 1 or 2 others, and then look at each game by Q, you will find that each team wins at least 1Q every game. So, each game you look at who wins the 1Q and then you bet the other team for each remaining Q until they win. If you are risk adverse and the team is getting + points you can take the points, otherwise take the ML. We always used a martingale on these. For example, let's say that Boston is playing Philly and Boston wins the 1Q, then you bet Philly to win the 2Q, if Philly loses you double the Philly bet on the 3Q, if they lose that you double that bet on the 4Q. We did this a couple of years and it paid off great IF you threw out the scrub teams, I don't remember which teams those were but it is easy enough to find out this year.

[eddie0vedder]

There is another thing that we do, but I don't have time to do it right now. If you throw out the really horrible teams, Minnesota and Sacramento and maybe 1 or 2 others, and then look at each game by Q, you will find that each team wins at least 1Q every game. So, each game you look at who wins the 1Q and then you bet the other team for each remaining Q until they win. If you are risk adverse and the team is getting + points you can take the points, otherwise take the ML. We always used a martingale on these. For example, let's say that Boston is playing Philly and Boston wins the 1Q, then you bet Philly to win the 2Q, if Philly loses you double the Philly bet on the 3Q, if they lose that you double that bet on the 4Q. We did this a couple of years and it paid off great IF you threw out the scrub teams, I don't remember which teams those were but it is easy enough to find out this year.

i have thought about chasing Q's too but at the moment i am chasing halves and its going pretty well so i will leave it for now. I tracked back 5 weeks of solid teams v terrible teams, betting on the good team to cover the 1st half, if not bet the 2H to cover losses and win the unit. i stop the chase there as i have played roulette with the martingale system and i know what its capable of. Anyways it was 70% over 100 plays so i am rolling with that at the moment. 6-0 so far since actually betting it. BOL with you efforts

[eddie0vedder]

i like most of em, mem im maybe 60/40 on and i have no idea how u could possibly lay a single $ on sac???

P.S told you about sac, and left memphis alone too. todays advice not that it means much is strike your washington play

[curious]

P.S told you about sac, and left memphis alone too. todays advice not that it means much is strike your washington play

Yes, you were right about Sac and Memphis.

What's wrong with Washington? They win at home 53.8% of the time, Chicago wins on the road 50% of the time.

[curious]

this looks a little crazy to me, how can u just blindly play later quarters without the score influencing the decision. this will be interesting to watch.

I used to watch all the scores all night and make the plays right before the Q but now I have a young pretty wife and there are other things I would rather be doing.

[curious]

curious, you play your Q&H games at The Greek?
also, you are the only one I've ever tailed on sbr, just made +8% of bankroll. You are not real, shiiit

No, I don't play at the Greek, I was just looking for some books that most people can access where they can get the Q and H moneylines. I left SBR for over a year because the idiots were harassing me so much if I didn't do their work for them, which I won't do.