Curious Season Thread

eddie0vedder · 12-22-10, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by curious

Yes, you were right about Sac and Memphis. What's wrong with Washington? They win at home 53.8% of the time, Chicago wins on the road 50% of the time.

im not huge on stats but if u need some data. their 53.8% at home was vs poor opposition or against portland when they were in their massive slump. chicago are much better straight up and ats then wizards. john wall is still out. chicago just flogged philly who were highly backed to win that game and considered in form. At the very best its a no play. Im on chicago tho.

curious · 12-22-10, 09:36 AM

Strike the Washington play, which means they will win straight up. LOL

Atlanta -10 1/2 -110 1.1 to win 1
Atlanta ML -525 11.025 to win 2.1

~~Washington +2 -110 3.3 to win 3~~

Toronto (no line yet)

Boston -10 -110 1.1 to win 1
Boston ML -500 10.5 to win 2.1

OKC +1 -105 3.15 to win 3

New Orleans -9 -110 1.1 to win 1
New Orleans ML -450 9.45 to win 2.1

Utah -6 -110 1.1 to win 1
Utah ML -255 5.35 to win 2.1

San Antonio -7 -110 1.1 to win 1
San Antonio ML -310 6.51 to win 2.1

LA Clippers +1 -110 3.3 to win 3

eddie0vedder · 12-22-10, 09:50 AM

now the pressure is on ive changed a play

ive had 2 really good days tho , probably makes me a little too confident but i think u made the right move, gl to both of us tomorrow. loving utah and clips

curious · 12-22-10, 10:13 AM

My experience over multiple seasons has been when I played the math I won, when I listened to other posters I lost. Just saying.

CHAZ · 12-22-10, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by curious

There is another thing that we do, but I don't have time to do it right now. If you throw out the really horrible teams, Minnesota and Sacramento and maybe 1 or 2 others, and then look at each game by Q, you will find that each team wins at least 1Q every game. So, each game you look at who wins the 1Q and then you bet the other team for each remaining Q until they win. If you are risk adverse and the team is getting + points you can take the points, otherwise take the ML. We always used a martingale on these. For example, let's say that Boston is playing Philly and Boston wins the 1Q, then you bet Philly to win the 2Q, if Philly loses you double the Philly bet on the 3Q, if they lose that you double that bet on the 4Q. We did this a couple of years and it paid off great IF you threw out the scrub teams, I don't remember which teams those were but it is easy enough to find out this year.

Very interesting

Keep up the great work, Curious

curious · 12-22-10, 10:42 AM

SBR posters watching girls volleyball

...

xxbadazxx · 12-22-10, 11:39 AM

gl tonight with your picks, hope you played okc as i predicted last night. I love the cats but i know them all to well!!!!!!

balman · 12-22-10, 12:26 PM

to me the boston ml looks real good -500, utah -6 and san ant -6
was thinking take tor -5 and hou ml -110

lost 2U last night with memphis n LA going down at home...

curious · 12-22-10, 12:37 PM

Adding Toronto

Toronto ML -210 4.41 units to win 2.1 units
Toronto -5 -110 1.1 unit to win 1 unit

MAKE SURE that you take Detroit 2Q, Detroit scores a lot in the 1st Half. I already have that play.

curious · 12-22-10, 01:38 PM

watching girl's beach volleyball from a distance

....

portnoy65 · 12-22-10, 01:41 PM

Corious! You are an animal !!! Good Luck!!

curious · 12-22-10, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by portnoy65

Corious! You are an animal !!! Good Luck!!

Have you ever watched girl's amateur beach volleyball. OMG!!

SimonSayz · 12-22-10, 07:12 PM

curious....helluva job man.

I was wondering what the best resource is out there to find out quarter and half results throughout the NBA for each team....thanks in advance.

curious · 12-22-10, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by SimonSayz

curious....helluva job man.

I was wondering what the best resource is out there to find out quarter and half results throughout the NBA for each team....thanks in advance.

I use the sbr forum live odds. If you click on the game the screen opens up and you see the quarter scores.

SimonSayz · 12-22-10, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by curious

I use the sbr forum live odds. If you click on the game the screen opens up and you see the quarter scores.

Yeah...I got that...I mean...if there is a site that shows ATS for all teams for 1q, 2q, 1h, 2h, etc....

Pensinger1 · 12-22-10, 07:40 PM

Gotta love the fact that Curious is back. Please stay this time around. BOL sir.

creditcardclown · 12-22-10, 07:40 PM

CURIOUS, if you win 70% on your quarter and half plays, given that you bet ML, isnt that meaningless? wouldnt we need to see your results in terms of units, not percent won?

i am new to sportsbetting, coming from poker, but i played high stakes and if you go to twoplustwo and look at the high stakes nlhe forum there is a sports betting forum where people book verse each other and they bet like 1k to 5k a game. i myself am new to sports betting but am betting bigger than most people i see here. so yeah, i believe you can be betting this big. and its refreshing to see a high stakes better posting their games.

i look forward to learning from your thread and trailing you. my BR management is terrible so hopefull i dont go broke in the next few days.

creditcardclown · 12-22-10, 07:49 PM

why is the playoffs where the money is?

curious · 12-22-10, 10:48 PM

Q and H plays

So far the Q and H plays are 23-7-2. There are still a couple of plays outstanding. I will update when all the games are in. I think the game plays pretty much broke even.

curious · 12-22-10, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by creditcardclown

why is the playoffs where the money is?

It isn't. I never bet playoffs.

creditcardclown · 12-22-10, 11:00 PM

damn bro how u know all the scores for the quarters before the games play?

Goat Milk · 12-22-10, 11:01 PM

you think the spurs will beat the magic tomorrow? want to bet some points for fun? i got orl

curious · 12-22-10, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by creditcardclown

i look forward to learning from your thread and trailing you. my BR management is terrible so hopefull i dont go broke in the next few days.

BR management is EVERYTHING. I have made a living playing craps, blackjack, and sports betting.

BR management for sports betting is easy. Just keep your maximum bet to 1% of bankroll. If your bankroll is too small for that then make it 5%. I would not go over 10%. If you have a small bankroll you can build it, as you build it keep reducing the % of bank that you have at risk on any one play. This is why I like Q and H plays. Every Q your bank is resized.

I can't imagine anyone going broke playing my plays. I haven't added it up yet but it looks like I'm going to be somewhere around 35-14 +16 units.

The one thing that I cannot do right now is martingale the Q plays. That is because I am very busy and cannot sit in front of the computer all night. Let me explain what it means to martingale the Q plays. We saw that there are very few games where one team wins all 4 Qs. So, after the 1st Q we do a martingale of the loser of the 1st Q until the loser wins a Q. Now, I also pick Q plays based on the W/L % of each team, so you get into a debate which do you play? My pick based on W/L % or the Q based on who lost the 1st Q? Each player has to decide that for herself. We would have had a few more plays tonight had I been playing all the Q plays. But the Q plays that I predicted did quite well as it was.

curious · 12-22-10, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by creditcardclown

damn bro how u know all the scores for the quarters before the games play?

Just a guess. Because I'm very good at this?

curious · 12-22-10, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

you think the spurs will beat the magic tomorrow? want to bet some points for fun? i got orl

Of course the spurs are going to win. I won't steal your points from you. Have I been wrong on a prediction yet?

Pauulzcappin · 12-22-10, 11:16 PM

Let's smoke some crack together curious, you look like your into it.

curious · 12-22-10, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by SimonSayz

Yeah...I got that...I mean...if there is a site that shows ATS for all teams for 1q, 2q, 1h, 2h, etc....

ATS???? You can't be serious. Just mail your money into the book and don't bother betting. You can only play Q and H on the MONEYLINE. The spreads are too sharp. I have no idea why, how can they set a good line so fast?

Goat Milk · 12-22-10, 11:20 PM

ok i got the magic straight up for 300 points we'll handle it after the game. good luck because you will need it

curious · 12-22-10, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

ok i got the magic straight up for 300 points we'll handle it after the game. good luck because you will need it

I think you should just pay me now and avoid all the stress that losing that game is going to cause you.

Broken-Ear Glen · 12-22-10, 11:24 PM

do you have an all time record or no?

curious · 12-22-10, 11:25 PM

Originally posted by Broken-Ear Glen

do you have an all time record or no?

I have no idea what an all time record is. Splain please.

BMaddz · 12-22-10, 11:26 PM

aren't you down like 10k from parlays in the past week?

curious · 12-22-10, 11:28 PM

Lakini's Juice - man I love this song

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtzKqHrMuEo

Try doing your handicapping while listening to Live.

Man I love this song.

Goat Milk · 12-22-10, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by curious

I think you should just pay me now and avoid all the stress that losing that game is going to cause you.

spurs lose by double digits

curious · 12-22-10, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by BMaddz

aren't you down like 10k from parlays in the past week?

Yes, I lost 10K in a few days in parlays. So what? I went 19-3 day before yesterday. I think today I'm going to end up 34-10 or something like that, I'll tally everything up after all the games are over.