NOH -1 Against Sixers?

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 12:54 AM

Sixers almost beat the Celtics at home and had the past 2 days off. The Hornets r the better team but they've been struggling lately.

**STC** · 12-12-10, 12:57 AM

My book had them both at 1.91. I thought it was an error so jumped on...then realised it's what most books were paying anyway

**syy211** · 12-12-10, 12:59 AM

line is pk now.

**GTS925** · 12-12-10, 01:12 AM

Can the Sixers beat NOH?

**thejrichshow85** · 12-12-10, 01:17 AM

line is right i like sixers @ home

**onlooker** · 12-12-10, 01:33 AM

Nothing wrong with line. Sixers should be favored here.

**smallbluedonkey** · 12-12-10, 01:37 AM

Sixers might have a little recent form, but I think the better record wins here. 76ers have only beaten two teams above 0.500 this season: Pacers and Knicks, both back in early November. Even though 76ers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. teams above 0.500, that is with an average line of around +6.5 and they are only pk vs the Hornets. I think the 76ers were just lucky to get close to beating a Shaq-less Celtics the other night where the rebound differential was in their favour.

I say grab Hornets to win this one.

**Foals** · 12-12-10, 01:37 AM

NO seems too easy right now.

**Timofey** · 12-12-10, 01:37 AM

Shouldn't the line be a little higher?

**texhooper** · 12-12-10, 01:39 AM

Originally posted by Foals

NO seems too easy right now.

that's what i'm thinking too. i hate betting the sixers though. and they've covered so many in a row you gotta think they'll drop one here soon. still kinda like +1 here.

**BelieveTheHype** · 12-12-10, 02:04 AM

I'm leaning Sixers here and might make it a play.

N.O. - 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on road, 1-4 SU last 5 on road, 2-5 SU in last 7 in Philly, 3-7 ATS last 10
Philly - 5-1 SU last 6 at home, 9-1 ATS last 10

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 02:26 AM

Originally posted by smallbluedonkey

Sixers might have a little recent form, but I think the better record wins here. 76ers have only beaten two teams above 0.500 this season: Pacers and Knicks, both back in early November. Even though 76ers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. teams above 0.500, that is with an average line of around +6.5 and they are only pk vs the Hornets. I think the 76ers were just lucky to get close to beating a Shaq-less Celtics the other night where the rebound differential was in their favour.

I say grab Hornets to win this one.

Good post. People should disregard Suxers ATS record for this game. Was leaning Sixers now having doubts.

**BelieveTheHype** · 12-12-10, 02:34 AM

That might also be an improvement to their lineup switch and basically burying Evan Turner on the bench.

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 02:36 AM

So who's the better team Hype?

**JOHON8** · 12-12-10, 02:43 AM

Originally posted by smallbluedonkey

Sixers might have a little recent form, but I think the better record wins here. 76ers have only beaten two teams above 0.500 this season: Pacers and Knicks, both back in early November. Even though 76ers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. teams above 0.500, that is with an average line of around +6.5 and they are only pk vs the Hornets. I think the 76ers were just lucky to get close to beating a Shaq-less Celtics the other night where the rebound differential was in their favour.

I say grab Hornets to win this one.

So you're disregarding Rondo, Pierce, Garnett and the actual Celtics team who is responsible for their run?

**JOHON8** · 12-12-10, 02:44 AM

Originally posted by Lakers714

Good post. People should disregard Suxers ATS record for this game. Was leaning Sixers now having doubts.

You're having doubts about your lean because of that paragraph he wrote? ??

**TGHMak** · 12-12-10, 02:51 AM

I like the Hornets at PK, I think they have a slight edge.

**BelieveTheHype** · 12-12-10, 02:53 AM

Originally posted by Lakers714

So who's the better team Hype?

If I had to pick a team in this game, I would take Philadelphia for the home court. I think both teams are actually pretty close to even in this road/home situation and think it might be too close to have an advantage on wagering.

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 02:53 AM

Originally posted by JOHON8

You're having doubts about your lean because of that paragraph he wrote? ??

Looking for an angle. Sometimes things u read throw u off or fit lips a switch on. I don't have a play yet and I won't til tomorrow morning. Just like how I liked the ClippJoint whole game as a lean the night before then laid off last minute and just went 1H.
Isn't this why we come on this forum? To read other peoples posts so we can all make a better informed play?

**smallbluedonkey** · 12-12-10, 02:54 AM

Originally posted by BelieveTheHype

I'm leaning Sixers here and might make it a play.

N.O. - 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on road, 1-4 SU last 5 on road, 2-5 SU in last 7 in Philly, 3-7 ATS last 10
Philly - 5-1 SU last 6 at home, 9-1 ATS last 10

Don't overlook strength of schedule:
N.O. has only lost on the road to the Spurs(19-3), Thunder(16-8), Jazz(17-8), Clippers(5-19) and Mavericks(19-4). Combined record of opponents 76-42 (0.644). Philly are 7-15 (.318).

Philly's last 5 wins at home were against: Bucks(9-13), Nets(6-17), Bobcats(8-15), Trailblazers(12-11) and Cavaliers(7-16). Combined record of opponents 42-72 (.368). N.O. is 14-8 (.636)

I can't argue with the ATS matchup, but given that the spread is pk, that's kind of irrelevant. We have a 14-8 team playing a 7-15 team who's only real advantage is playing on their home court. I'm happy to lose my money betting on the 14-8 team in this spot.

Good luck to all!

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 02:57 AM

Originally posted by JOHON8

So you're disregarding Rondo, Pierce, Garnett and the actual Celtics team who is responsible for their run?

So you should've bet on the ClippJoint today cuz they almost beat the Lakers the night before right?

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 02:59 AM

So the Sixers have to win because they just beat Rondo, Pierce, KG, Allen, and the rest of the Celtics right? I'm going to unload on the Sixers now.

**BelieveTheHype** · 12-12-10, 03:00 AM

Originally posted by smallbluedonkey

Don't overlook strength of schedule:
N.O. has only lost on the road to the Spurs(19-3), Thunder(16-8), Jazz(17-8), Clippers(5-19) and Mavericks(19-4). Combined record of opponents 76-42 (0.644). Philly are 7-15 (.318).

Philly's last 5 wins at home were against: Bucks(9-13), Nets(6-17), Bobcats(8-15), Trailblazers(12-11) and Cavaliers(7-16). Combined record of opponents 42-72 (.368). N.O. is 14-8 (.636)

I can't argue with the ATS matchup, but given that the spread is pk, that's kind of irrelevant. We have a 14-8 team playing a 7-15 team who's only real advantage is playing on their home ground. I'm happy to lose my money betting on the 14-8 team in this spot.

Good luck to all!

While the strength of schedule is important, I think the recent play of each team is as important, if not more. Since reducing Turner's minutes, Philadelphia has gone 4-1 at home, beating Portland and Charlotte, who I think is a decent team and only losing to probably the best team in the league by a last second shot. New Orleans has been on a tail slide losing 7 of their last 10 since the trade of Peja.

While it is obviously possible that New Orleans is in fact a much better team, I just think New Orleans on the road against a Philadelphia team that seems to feed off the crowd, does not possess a significant advantage.

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by BelieveTheHype

If I had to pick a team in this game, I would take Philadelphia for the home court. I think both teams are actually pretty close to even in this road/home situation and think it might be too close to have an advantage on wagering.

As of recent play yes, but it's tough betting against Chris Paul and D West.

**BelieveTheHype** · 12-12-10, 03:03 AM

I agree. For me it's a no play, but I certainly can see betting both sides. I will be on the under for this game.

**Lakers714** · 12-12-10, 03:04 AM

Originally posted by BelieveTheHype

I agree. For me it's a no play, but I certainly can see betting both sides. I will be on the under for this game.

BOL to u bro.

**smallbluedonkey** · 12-12-10, 03:07 AM

Originally posted by JOHON8

So you're disregarding Rondo, Pierce, Garnett and the actual Celtics team who is responsible for their run?

Not at all, but sitting out a starter throws off a team's synergy. Also, Shaq is the team's second best rebounder (best for offensive rebounds), in fact if you account for his lower minutes per game, he is about the same as Garnett in terms of rebounds per minute on the court. So the Celtics were missing about half of their normal rebounding ability and if you look at the boxscore for the 76ers/Celtics game, the stat that stands out to me is the rebounding differential (Celtics 33 and 76ers 39). Season average for Celtics is 39 per game. An extra 6 rebounds is at least another 6 points when the team is shooting >50%. So with Shaq playing, I'd have expected the margin to have been closer to 10 instead of 1.

**scholesy** · 12-12-10, 04:39 AM

like the Sixers by quite a comfortable margin

**forevergrindin** · 12-12-10, 06:14 AM

sixers going to win by a few points IMO

**smallbluedonkey** · 12-12-10, 03:23 PM

Hornets didn't show up. Good call to those on the 76ers.