Fade the Lakers when fav by 8 or more at home

Pauulzcappin · 11-05-10, 03:22 AM

Lakers were covering at a astonishing 40% last year, mainly because of this wide spreads. They got more depth this year but sounds like a good call, gl.

hockeynut · 11-05-10, 03:34 AM

So you guys think the Raps cover the +13.5, that looks pretty good. The lakers have beaten the raps by that spread only 2 of the last 10 games they've played each other.

Pauulzcappin · 11-05-10, 03:36 AM

Originally posted by hockeynut

So you guys think the Raps cover the +13.5, that looks pretty good. The lakers have beaten the raps by that spread only 2 of the last 10 games they've played each other.

Toronto won't cover the spread by playing D, IMO. They have to hit shots and run/gun lakers all night.

Aside from Reggie Evans they have a below average rebounding team and their D can't stop the lakers.

I see a 120-110 game

frostno98 · 11-05-10, 03:53 AM

Originally posted by hockeynut

So you guys think the Raps cover the +13.5, that looks pretty good. The lakers have beaten the raps by that spread only 2 of the last 10 games they've played each other.

Raptors game aside. I have lost countless of games through the years where the Lakers are favored heavily against garbage teams at home and not covering.

If you the like the Lakers as a play, it's profitable to bet on them playing against top 10 teams and when they're road dogs. But never on them playing inferior opponents at home. They just don't get motivated for those games, while the sorry team are trying to show case their game in the Hollywood limelite.

refrain87 · 11-05-10, 03:57 AM

You'll have better luck playing lakers first half.. if they blow out the raptors first half, they're going to play extremely sloppy second half, look at the game vs grizz.

dude_bg · 11-05-10, 04:11 AM

first half should be about 7 right? i preffer 1q at 4, but let's see
might play strong bet on one game thatn several today, either magic 1h or miami 1q/1h

frostno98 · 11-05-10, 04:12 AM

If the Lakers are leading by like 20 or more starting the 4th quarter against these inferior teams, Phil has a habit of sitting Kobe pretty much the rest of the way, with Gasol about 3-4 minutes later. And he will not bring them back in, unless the leads drops to 5 before hitting the panic button.

So you'll have teams like the Wizard or Timberwolves

as a 15 point dog with all their starters in, still playing hard against the Lakers backup in cruise mode.

GELATINOUS CUBE · 11-05-10, 04:13 AM

GOOD-LUCK-WITH-THAT...

THE-TREND-COULD-END-THOUGH-ANY-TIME...

frostno98 · 11-05-10, 04:16 AM

Originally posted by GELATINOUS CUBE

GOOD-LUCK-WITH-THAT...

THE-TREND-COULD-END-THOUGH-ANY-TIME...

Through my years of betting the Lakers, I find myself losing more than winning, so I have no doubt this will payoff by the end of the year guaranteed! And yes I do bet alot of Lakers game because it's usually the last game of day to chase or double up on, but usually ends in disappointment.

Pauulzcappin · 11-05-10, 04:20 AM

This year the bench actually matches those shitty team's starters

lakerfan420 · 11-05-10, 06:12 AM

Take the over. Best bet of the game IMO

encephalization · 11-05-10, 06:56 AM

Originally posted by lakerfan420

Take the over. Best bet of the game IMO

Amen to that. Im with you.

Wilforth · 11-05-10, 09:24 AM

Can't fade the Lakers against the Raptors. The Lakers have a more ambitious bench this year. Going Over on Lakers TT seems like the real deal here.

frostno98 · 11-05-10, 11:59 PM

Classic Laker Meltdown.

Pauulzcappin · 11-06-10, 02:15 AM

It wasn't a meltdown. Toronto played them close and well all night, lakers took the game near the end

JOHON8 · 11-06-10, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

It wasn't a meltdown. Toronto played them close and well all night, lakers took the game near the end

They didn't cover the spread though, which was the point of this thread.

hockeynut · 11-06-10, 02:55 AM

Missed the over by a basket.

Knew the raps would cover but went for the over instead.

frostno98 · 11-09-10, 03:40 AM

Looks like we might have another winner here. Minnesota +17. Expecting another classic Laker meltdown

So far were 1-0.

lakermania82 · 11-09-10, 08:26 AM

Originally posted by frostno98

You'll find yourself more happy then disappointed this year if you follow this trend. I have lost more than enough bets picking the Lakers favored by alot of points at home, that I will blindly fade them the entire year

so true. Seen so many laker home games where theyve had big leads yet only let that fade. Minnesotta and washington late last season spring to mind. Toronto also when kobe hit that shot with 1.8 sec left. Houston and toronto this season also. Then they came out and blaze the blazers by 25. Unpredictable.

matthewsg · 11-09-10, 08:56 AM

The Lakers are great 1Q and 3Q bets when the line is big. I like playing those alot better than 10+ game lines.

tshizzle · 11-09-10, 09:41 AM

I like the lakers to cover. They should win by 15 or more.

305GURU · 11-09-10, 10:08 AM

With the lakers i been on overs but your right they havent covered those big spreads any thing above 8 or 9 i would fade...GL

frostno98 · 11-10-10, 05:06 AM

2-0 so far. We might not cover every game but I guarantee you we'll be on the profiting end by seasons end

migz · 11-10-10, 05:11 AM

Nice nice!

frostno98 · 11-21-10, 03:33 AM

Here you go fellas, Golden state +12 against the on the road. Lakers has cover 3 straight on the road in dominating fashion, no way they don't do the same against the warriors. Expecting another meltdown on Sunday.

hockey216 · 11-21-10, 04:06 AM

lakers wouldnt have won either of the last 2 years if boston hadn't had key injuries (garnett 2yrs ago, perkins last year). and the reffs rigged the 4th qtr with their constant rediculous calls.

frostno98 · 11-29-10, 03:56 AM

Forgot about the NBA today, Lakers loses yet again when favored by 8.5 to the Pacers at home.

3-1 so far, long live the fade

frostno98 · 12-03-10, 04:07 PM

Kings +12.5
Just take them, you won't be disappointed.

Fade the Fakers ATS 3-1

wyldbill · 12-03-10, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by frostno98

You'll find yourself more happy then disappointed this year if you follow this trend. I have lost more than enough bets picking the Lakers favored by alot of points at home, that I will blindly fade them the entire year

Lakers are 2-0 ATS when favored by 9.5 - 13 points at home this year...

wyldbill · 12-03-10, 04:16 PM

Sacramento is 1-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game...

wyldbill · 12-03-10, 04:16 PM

Basically my play is the lakers all the way tonight

wyldbill · 12-03-10, 04:17 PM

also SAC 1-5 ATS against teams with winning records

frostno98 · 12-03-10, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by wyldbill

Sacramento is 1-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game...

I can careless about all those yada yada stats. I will blindly stick to my fade, and at the end of the season, I will be on the profiting end.

wyldbill · 12-03-10, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by frostno98

I can careless about all those yada yada stats. I will blindly stick to my fade, and at the end of the season, I will be on the profiting end.

Haha BOL man.. when it comes to this shit were all blind.. then we hit a streak and think it's easy money from here on out.. vicious cycle