70kgman NBA/NCAAB totals season long thread

[70kgman]

Wish I played the game under on that Dallas / Utah game. It was a good play according to my model but the heavy line movement on the over scared me away from taking it. Now I am essentially playing it to go 15+ points under the game total by taking the 2H under.

[dume walker]

Sent you a PM. I'd appreciate your feedback when you have the time to look at it. Thanks, K.

[phongmaxim]

utah / dallas under 100 2h

impre$$ive

[ManBearPig]

[sbearc820]

Thanks for the winners 70kgman!

[70kgman]

.

I think we can kiss that +1800 future wager on LA Kings to win the western conference I posted last month that you said you followed on goodbye. Justin Williams dislocated his shoulder last week, and Anze Kopitar broke his ankle tonight, both are done for the season. Those are their two best players.

[dume walker]

Oh, well, it was only a single unit wager. Hopefully, it will be made up for by Kansas advancing to the Final Four. (Knock on wood.) Another spot pick of yours I followed for a little more than 2 units at even money.

And thanks again for tonight's winners.

[p00t13tan]

cant beleive i missed the plays tonite! family time on weekends no computer to looke at thread

[70kgman]

Oh, well, it was only a single unit wager. Hopefully, it will be made up for by Kansas advancing to the Final Four. (Knock on wood.) Another spot pick of yours I followed for a little more than 2 units at even money.

And thanks again for tonight's winners.

Ended up getting great mathematical value on that Kansas future wager, both at my +135 and your +100. In hindsight, it turned out to be roughly a -175 wager (probability wise).

[70kgman]

Not going to have any model plays tomorrow either. Well, there is one 1H play I plan on looking at, but I am pretty positive the number it opens at will be out of my comfort zone for the play.

[cc440unn]

yur a genius. i atked some sbr pick for tonight basketball game

1unit on net +9.5 = loss<

1 unit on UCONN -3.0 = loss

1 unit on Florida gates -4.0 = loss<<

will only take your choice...

abyway i made my best hockey day since alot of time for +11.87 unit day...

wish you gl anyway

[70kgman]

Was hoping it would open at 95 or lower, but I guess 95.5 will work.

3/27

1st Half: New Orleans / LA Lakers Over 95.5

------
NBA Model: 116-75-3
2H wagers: 65-35

[70kgman]

I don't claim to be able to cap other stuff as well as I can totals, but I like Kentucky -1 today as a spot play.

[apalm8]

I don't claim to be able to cap other stuff as well as I can totals, but I like Kentucky -1 today as a spot play.

I just found your thread...looks great I will start tailing you...do you do totals for other sports like MLB and NFL? Or are you only spot on with your totals during basketball season?

[70kgman]

I just found your thread...looks great I will start tailing you...do you do totals for other sports like MLB and NFL? Or are you only spot on with your totals during basketball season?

I only cap basketball totals.

[cc440unn]

for your tonight pick. my book offered it at +/- 96. still a good play ?

[70kgman]

for your tonight pick. my book offered it at +/- 96. still a good play ?

Yes. Worst case scenario...I win, you push.

[ManBearPig]

Was hoping it would open at 95 or lower, but I guess 95.5 will work. 3/27 1st Half: New Orleans / LA Lakers Over 95.5 ------ NBA Model: 116-75-3 2H wagers: 65-35

I'm assuming 96 will work?

[cc440unn]

lolll vcu lead by 18....

[phongmaxim]

i'm assuming 96 will work?

buy a half point hook. If its a close game .5 is a huge differece

[70kgman]

I'm assuming 96 will work?

Yeah. The 0.5 point isn't overly important in this case. Like I mentioned earlier, worst case scenario I win, you push.

[70kgman]

Guess I was pretty stupid not to hedge my Kansas +135 future wager. All it would of taken was a 0.15 unit wager on the VCU ML to guarantee profit no matter what happened.

[70kgman]

Boston Bruins +110 is another good spot play tonight in my opinion.

[twelvejewelz]

Boston Bruins +110 is another good spot play tonight in my opinion.

Thats the over right? im on the puckline +1.5 but i need something to parlay it with since its -300, You think this game goes over?

[70kgman]

Thats the over right? im on the puckline +1.5 but i need something to parlay it with since its -300, You think this game goes over?

That is the ML. I got it this morning at +110, I think most books have it at +100 or +105 now. I don't have any strong opinion on the O/U.

[Dan Kelly]

Thanks for KY - it wasn't as close as the score - I never felt like NC had em.

[JOHON8]

With you on the 1st half over in the Lakers game, GL.

[Nerekuzey7]

Wow that was close but everything happened just as you said it would, pretty happy I followed you. You are an animal, keep up the good work.

[TheAntFather]

2nd Half of Lakers game O/U is 92.5

[cc440unn]

thx alot 70kgman for your prediction on the 1H lakers games... 2 unit on it.... +1.82 obv......

will take your pick tomorrow for sure.....

thx again¸¸

-cc440unn

[DemoralizdDreamr]

thanks a lot bro, i chased on this play and made a unit

[apalm8]

Nice call on the Lakers tonight.

[p00t13tan]

nice play tonite 70kgman

[phongmaxim]

another win on laker o95.5, thank u

[cc440unn]

do you have some pick for us on monday dude ??