70kgman NBA/NCAAB totals season long thread
FAQ
1. What do you cap?
NBA and NCAAB totals only. They are my specialty.
2. How do you cap the games?
You can call it a system, or a mathematical method of capping. Either way, it is an original concept that I am sure is different than any mathematical capping style anyone else uses. It mainly relies on short term trends in both teams game play rather than season averages.
3. How many units are each play?
I play every game "to win" 1 unit each. My strength of play filters are still in the experimental/tracking phase. I don't chase, or need to use the tout trick of making every play a multiple unit play to make my stats appear better then they really are.
4. When will you post your plays?
I make all my wagers (when available) on the overnight line. I am very good at beating closing lines and this gives me max value on my plays. I will try to post my plays overnight on here if I can so you can try to get them at the same number.
5. How many plays a week do you make?
I cant really answer that right now. Last season I would only come across a few plays a week on average that met my criteria for a play. I have made some modifications to my parameters this season to increase the amount of plays and I am not really sure how many plays it will produce just yet.
6. The line has moved to X number, should I still play it?
I am just going to leave this up to your own discretion.
7. How have you done with these plays in the past?
I have always kept disposable record keeping only for myself. So I don't have any official numbers I can give out, though I do remember off the top of my head I was just over 60% last season with my NBA totals, and that was with a lot of bad beats. I recall having six under wagers foiled by over time, with the flip side of that scenario only helping me one time.
8. Other?
I have spent literally hundreds of hours creating and tweaking my math model for these plays, and I am confident my plays will do well, but as always, tail at your own risk.
1. What do you cap?
NBA and NCAAB totals only. They are my specialty.
2. How do you cap the games?
You can call it a system, or a mathematical method of capping. Either way, it is an original concept that I am sure is different than any mathematical capping style anyone else uses. It mainly relies on short term trends in both teams game play rather than season averages.
3. How many units are each play?
I play every game "to win" 1 unit each. My strength of play filters are still in the experimental/tracking phase. I don't chase, or need to use the tout trick of making every play a multiple unit play to make my stats appear better then they really are.
4. When will you post your plays?
I make all my wagers (when available) on the overnight line. I am very good at beating closing lines and this gives me max value on my plays. I will try to post my plays overnight on here if I can so you can try to get them at the same number.
5. How many plays a week do you make?
I cant really answer that right now. Last season I would only come across a few plays a week on average that met my criteria for a play. I have made some modifications to my parameters this season to increase the amount of plays and I am not really sure how many plays it will produce just yet.
6. The line has moved to X number, should I still play it?
I am just going to leave this up to your own discretion.
7. How have you done with these plays in the past?
I have always kept disposable record keeping only for myself. So I don't have any official numbers I can give out, though I do remember off the top of my head I was just over 60% last season with my NBA totals, and that was with a lot of bad beats. I recall having six under wagers foiled by over time, with the flip side of that scenario only helping me one time.
8. Other?
I have spent literally hundreds of hours creating and tweaking my math model for these plays, and I am confident my plays will do well, but as always, tail at your own risk.
