70kgman NBA/NCAAB totals season long thread

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  • dume walker
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-08-10
    • 971

    #526
    Nicely profitable night. Thanks, K-Man.
    Comment
    • 70kgman
      SBR MVP
      • 01-31-10
      • 4354

      #527
      Utah / Denver Under 105.5 2H
      Comment
      • 70kgman
        SBR MVP
        • 01-31-10
        • 4354

        #528
        3/4

        1st Half: Boston / Golden State Over 102.5

        1st Half: Cleveland / New York Under 111.5

        ------

        NBA Model: 94-63-3
        Comment
        • 70kgman
          SBR MVP
          • 01-31-10
          • 4354

          #529
          *2nd half capping (2/1-present): 31-20
          Comment
          • NYSportsGuy210
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-07-09
            • 11347

            #530
            Any thoughts on the Suns-Bucks OVER or UNDER?
            Comment
            • 70kgman
              SBR MVP
              • 01-31-10
              • 4354

              #531
              Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
              Any thoughts on the Suns-Bucks OVER or UNDER?
              Strictly statistical, my model would put it at 193.3.
              Comment
              • Nookx
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-17-07
                • 486

                #532
                I like both plays alot tonight
                Comment
                • 70kgman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-31-10
                  • 4354

                  #533
                  Wright St. / Cleveland St. Over 68 2H
                  Comment
                  • 70kgman
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-31-10
                    • 4354

                    #534
                    Yale / Columbia Under 72.5 2H
                    Comment
                    • 70kgman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-31-10
                      • 4354

                      #535
                      Originally posted by 70kgman
                      Yale / Columbia Under 72.5 2H
                      Guy misses both free throws in the closing seconds with a 3 point lead, then Columbia hit a 3 at the buzzer to tie and send it to OT.

                      These OT's have been killing me. What is that now? 4 unders screwed by OT just in the last week?
                      Comment
                      • dume walker
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-08-10
                        • 971

                        #536
                        I missed the earlier game. Thought we had this one locked down while I was tracking the score. Another gut-fu**er.
                        Comment
                        • 70kgman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-31-10
                          • 4354

                          #537
                          I wouldn't mind as much if they went to OT under somewhat normal circumstances. The way every single on of these has made it to OT in the first place has been completely ridiculous.
                          Comment
                          • 70kgman
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-31-10
                            • 4354

                            #538
                            Memphis / New Orleans Under 91.5 2H
                            Comment
                            • 70kgman
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-31-10
                              • 4354

                              #539
                              Detroit / Valparaiso Over 79 2H
                              Comment
                              • 70kgman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-31-10
                                • 4354

                                #540
                                Louisville / West Virginia Over 71 2H
                                Comment
                                • 70kgman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-31-10
                                  • 4354

                                  #541
                                  No model plays tonight.

                                  Boston Bruins 3rd period (-170) is a good spot play today in my opinion. Boston have more quality depth than any other team in the NHL. They are the only team in the NHL that continually rolls all four lines one after another at even strength. This allows them to wear down opponents top lines over the course of a game, and the main reason they are the best 3rd period team in the NHL. Pittsburgh on the other hand are a top heavy team to begin with, and with all the injuries they have right now, their depth is really slim. Pitt is also playing for the second straight night, and 3rd road game in four days. I expect Boston to wear them down physically over the first couple periods, and dominate the third period. Boston have outscored Pitt 9-1 in the third period so far this season in their three previous meetings. I know some people don't like laying that kind of juice, but value is value, and that line has good value even at that number. Even if it doesn't win, a push is far more likely than a loss.
                                  Comment
                                  • 70kgman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-31-10
                                    • 4354

                                    #542
                                    Like St. Bonaventure (PK) today as well.
                                    Comment
                                    • 70kgman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 4354

                                      #543
                                      Dayton / George Washington Over 69.5 2H
                                      Comment
                                      • 70kgman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-31-10
                                        • 4354

                                        #544
                                        Michigan / Michigan St. Over 68 2H
                                        Comment
                                        • 70kgman
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-31-10
                                          • 4354

                                          #545
                                          Purdue / Iowa Over 71.5 2H
                                          Comment
                                          • 70kgman
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-31-10
                                            • 4354

                                            #546
                                            Delaware / Old Dominion Under 65 2H
                                            Comment
                                            • 70kgman
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-31-10
                                              • 4354

                                              #547
                                              Minnesota / Washington Under 104.5 2H
                                              Comment
                                              • 70kgman
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-31-10
                                                • 4354

                                                #548
                                                To recap all that muddle...It was a 6-2 night on the posted plays. 4-2 on 2H wagers, and won both the spot plays I recommended.
                                                Comment
                                                • NYSportsGuy210
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 11347

                                                  #549
                                                  Any opinions on the Celtics -Bucks game tomorrow? Whole game totals that is.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 70kgman
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-31-10
                                                    • 4354

                                                    #550
                                                    Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                    Any opinions on the Celtics -Bucks game tomorrow? Whole game totals that is.
                                                    Both teams have been going in opposite directions lately, so it is tough to predict which way the pace will go. But strictly statistical, I have it at 179.4.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                      • 11347

                                                      #551
                                                      Yea UNDER looks appealing to me too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 70kgman
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-31-10
                                                        • 4354

                                                        #552
                                                        3/6

                                                        Chicago / Miami Under 188


                                                        ------

                                                        NBA Model: 95-64-3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dume walker
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 04-08-10
                                                          • 971

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by 70kgman
                                                          Michigan / Michigan St. Over 68 2H
                                                          This was the only play of yours I was able to get down on, but it was a winner. Thanks, K-Man. And congrats on another strong night.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 70kgman
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-31-10
                                                            • 4354

                                                            #554
                                                            Miami / Chicago Under 92.5 2H
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 70kgman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-31-10
                                                              • 4354

                                                              #555
                                                              I am going to call it a day and not look for any more 2H plays today. I am satisfied with a 2-0 day.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dume walker
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 04-08-10
                                                                • 971

                                                                #556
                                                                For once we dodged that OT bullet. Thanks, K.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 70kgman
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-31-10
                                                                  • 4354

                                                                  #557
                                                                  3/7

                                                                  1st Half: Chicago / New Orleans Under 92.5

                                                                  Chicago / New Orleans Under 179.5

                                                                  ------

                                                                  NBA Model: 96-64-3
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 70kgman
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-31-10
                                                                    • 4354

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Random notes:

                                                                    NBA model based plays on a 34-13 (72.3%) run (January 27th to present).

                                                                    1HU: 10-5
                                                                    1HO: 6-2
                                                                    GU: 17-6
                                                                    GO: 1-0

                                                                    2nd Half wagers on a 27-13 (67.5%) run (February 15th to present).

                                                                    NCAAU: 5-2
                                                                    NCAAO: 15-5
                                                                    NBAU: 7-3
                                                                    NBAO: 0-3
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rochestertitans
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                                      • 8149

                                                                      #559
                                                                      g/l
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 70kgman
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-31-10
                                                                        • 4354

                                                                        #560
                                                                        LA Clippers / Charlotte Under 93 2H
                                                                        Comment
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