Furman / Chattanooga Over 74.5 2H
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Not too sure how the break is going to affect these plays, but I am just going to play them as I normally would. Would of made out well playing them on the opening line, all three moved several points each off the opener, but they are still playable at their current number.
2/22
1st Half: LA Clippers / Oklahoma City Under 107
1st Half: Minnesota / Milwaukee Under 99
1st Half: Boston / Golden State Under 100.5
LA Clippers / Oklahoma City Under 206
Minnesota / Milwaukee Under 193
Boston / Golden State Under 195.5
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NBA: 85-56-3Comment -
p.s If anyone is wondering, record on the 2H plays since February 1st (when I started keeping track of them in a spreadsheet) is 20-11.Comment -
You are a very smart 70kg Man. Love this angle after the All-Star Break. Players are going to be suffering some come down affects from the partying. Good luck mate.Originally posted by 70kgmanComment -
Indiana / Washington Over 102.5 2HComment -
No model plays today. Big card in NBA and College, Probably will find some 2H plays.Comment -
Guess there were no plays?...I got assaulted today...ugh!
Just one of those days that I'm on the wrong side of everything.
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Couldn't find any 2H lines I liked. Though, check back at halftime of the LAC/NO game. I see the potential for a good play in that one.Comment -
LA Clippers / New Orleans Under 93.5 2HComment -
Like the UNDER and also Hornets, but -2.5 is a bit too steep.Comment -
Arkansas LR / South Alabama Over 73 2HComment -
Pepperdine / San Francisco Over 75 2HComment -
2/25
1st Half: New Jersey / San Antonio Over 97.5
Portland / Denver Under 203.5
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NBA: 88-59-3Comment -
*2nd half wagers record (February) = 22-13Comment -
Loyola MD / Niagara Over 71.5 2HComment -
Glad I caught this one in time. Thanks, K-Man.Originally posted by 70kgmanComment -
I am surprised it still managed to go over without having to sweat it too much, considering those two teams combined to shoot 36% FG and 20% 3PT in that game. Probably around 30% and 10% in the 2nd half. That 2nd half must of had a lightning fast pace, if they shot anywhere even close to their average, it probably would of covered by 40 points.Originally posted by dume walker
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Also very suprised at the NJ/SA over. From what I saw Jersey had scored only 6 points halfway through the first quarter. Thanks for that winner as well.Comment -
Iona / St. Peters Over 73 2HComment -
Seems like at least a third of the 2H losses I have are overs that lose because the game turns into a 15+ point blowout, naturally altering the pace into a clock management pace down the stretch. Maybe I need to be more careful in avoiding games that look like they may potentially turn into a blowout.Comment -
Iona was up by 8 at the half. Not sure how you could know that would turn into a blowout. But, hey, all your refinements seem to be working out well. You are The Man With The Plan, so whatever you think is best...Comment -
A comfy under screwed by OT... These are the gut-fukkers... Still a nice call by you, K...Comment -
2/26
1st Half: New Jersey / Houston Over 103
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NBA: 89-60-3Comment -
NC Greensboro / Davidson Under 79.5 2HComment -
Miss St. / Tennessee Over 73.5 2HComment -
SMU / Marshall Under 69 2HComment -
How did that SMU/Marshall Under lose? I had the spread covered by 15 points with less than 1 minute left, and covered by 7 points with 9 seconds left. They scored 9 points in a 7 second span in the final 9 seconds of the game. That is disgusting.
At least I can chalk the math model play up as a win just 8 minutes into the half.Comment -
Texas A&M / Baylor Over 69.5 2HComment -
Loyola Marymount / San Francisco Over 75.5 2HComment -
No model plays today. It is possible I may change my mind later about the 10:30 ATL/POR game, but probably not.
2/27
pass
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NBA: 90-60-3
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Is someone playing these model plays I post for a lot of money at Bookmaker? I have noticed for a few weeks straight now, the 1H lines on my 1H plays always move at least a 1/2 point at BM within 30 minutes of me posting my plays. I don't even use that book as anything other than a reference. Starting to seem like more than a coincidence.Comment -
There are people on bookmaker that actually looks at the winning threads here. bookmaker moves lines after sweetjones locks a play. Looks like that's the case with you also.Comment -
Random notes:
1H totals: 48-24-2 (66.6%)
Game totals: 42-36-1 (53.8%)Comment -
Good work...I've been not playing the 1H, but I do have a BM acct...I will try to be aware.Originally posted by 70kgmanComment -
I didn't expect the results between the two to be that drastic. But I guess it makes sense in hindsight seeing as probably 70% of my wagers are unders. I have had three game unders win in regulation but lose because of OT, and the reverse scenario has not helped me win any overs. Plus I would guess at least 8 of those game total losses were unders that were projected to go under with a few minutes left, that got pushed over because of a barrage of intentional fouls in the final minute. The reverse scenario have maybe helped me win a few overs. Take away those intangibles and the record of the game totals is probably more like 50-28, a similar winning percentage as the 1H plays. With 1st half unders, you do not have to worry about intentional fouls or unpredictable late game pace accelerations dictated by the score screwing you over.
I will have to do more research into my results another time to see if the results pan out how I think that will, but in theory...playing 1H unders and game total overs for 2 units, and 1H overs and game unders for 1 unit sounds like a possible good idea for next season.Comment