nba season picks

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  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #596
    Indiana/Oklahoma UNDER 206 (2x)
    It's always a good idea to bet the under when 2 jumpshooting teams with shotblockers in their lineup meet each other. The defensive home/road numbers combine only 192,8 points. Todays referees combine for an average score of 193,5 points. That's a big statistical edge for the under. Pacers defend well this season and should be able to hold the jumpshooting OKC to a low shooting%. This would be a bigger play for me if not the last 7 Pacer games went under the total.
    With Indiana having the better defensive shooting% numbers I do think Indiana will get the win. So I am also rolling with

    Indiana Pacers +1,5 (1x)

    Phoenix Suns -9 (3x)
    Heya.. Clippers won 2 in a row! Who thought of that? Back to reality today... Phoenix Suns are coming off a unlucky OT-loss and are looking to bounce back big against a Clippers team they simply own.Suns are 8-0 SU against the Clippers, winning the last 4 meetings at home by an average of 23 points. This spread is way to low! Nothing more to add.
    Comment
    • jim844
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-27-10
      • 67

      #597
      can i hear your thoughts on why indiana?
      they've been playing well recently yes but i think on the road against a okc team that just lost it would be a hard spot to take them in
      the line is fishy tho at only -1.5
      any insight would be appreciated
      thanks!
      bol tonight!
      Comment
      • BL
        SBR MVP
        • 05-11-09
        • 4070

        #598
        Hey jim! Indiana is 4-1 at home against OKC and the only loss came at the buzzer. They are playing OKC tough every time they meet. Both teams are jumpshooting teams (over 70%) and Indiana defends better in this case than OKC. Pacers are holding their opponents to a lower shooting& than OKC plus Indiana is #2 in the league in blocks per game. Indiana should get the win again tonight but I feel more comfortable with the 1.5 just in case they get killed at the buzzer again ;-)
        Comment
        • sweetjones55
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-07-09
          • 5257

          #599
          BL, if the public is pounding OKC and it's not even 6PM ET when the public normally bets why not wait to get a better number with Indy? If the line was going to go in reverse it would have already done so. This line is going to +2 no doubt in my mind.
          Scared money don't make money

          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
          Comment
          • jim844
            SBR Hustler
            • 02-27-10
            • 67

            #600
            oh my apologies i had thought okc was at home
            good stuff
            Comment
            • BL
              SBR MVP
              • 05-11-09
              • 4070

              #601
              Originally posted by sweetjones55
              BL, if the public is pounding OKC and it's not even 6PM ET when the public normally bets why not wait to get a better number with Indy? If the line was going to go in reverse it would have already done so. This line is going to +2 no doubt in my mind.
              you may be right SJ! I didnt even look at linemovements and public betting today. For any reason lines do different things on Fridays so I stopped looking at those this day of the week. I booked all at my local today and I don't want to go there later because I will be in bed again... hang over at its best I don't even want to think about beer today lol. giuuu... way too much yesterday
              Comment
              • BL
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-09
                • 4070

                #602
                thinking of adding a late play on POR but don't like the fact Roy is back. POR with Roy mixing minutes....
                Comment
                • BL
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-11-09
                  • 4070

                  #603
                  lol @ Indiana ! Overtime will kill the under
                  Comment
                  • BL
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-09
                    • 4070

                    #604
                    bad beat day! Pacers meltdown plus overtime. LOL
                    Comment
                    • BL
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-11-09
                      • 4070

                      #605
                      Wow! Pacers leading the entire game and go down in OT what kills the under aswell. Suns are treating the Clippers like in training but only win by 8 in the end. Bad beats at its best

                      NBA SEASON 49-32 (60,49%%) +1,85 units
                      Comment
                      • jim844
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-27-10
                        • 67

                        #606
                        Hey BL any leans for today?
                        Comment
                        • BL
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-11-09
                          • 4070

                          #607
                          GSW/MIN OVER 219 (2x) ! bol, no time today
                          Comment
                          • BL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-09
                            • 4070

                            #608
                            add bucks -3 (2x) -120
                            Comment
                            • sweetjones55
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-07-09
                              • 5257

                              #609
                              Good luck on your plays tonight.
                              Scared money don't make money

                              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                              Comment
                              • BL
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-11-09
                                • 4070

                                #610
                                This weekend is killing me, not at home a single minute

                                Raptors +1,5 (4x)

                                Spurs +1,5 (5x)

                                big units but I LOVE em !
                                Comment
                                • BL
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-11-09
                                  • 4070

                                  #611
                                  LAL -3 1Q (1x) thanks to my man wang
                                  Comment
                                  • BL
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-11-09
                                    • 4070

                                    #612
                                    Ok guys not much time today but here's why I booked them that big:

                                    Toronto at home are playing totally different than on the road. They play with real defensive effort and won their last 3 at home. Atlanta coming b2b from New York with only a few hours rest. They are already looking for the 2 days rest they will get after this match. Raptors opened as a 1,5 point fav with Evans sidelined... all you need to know!

                                    The Spurs pick should be clear. Making Spurs an underdog in a revenge game is bad idea. period. Hornets in a bad spot coming off a successful roadtrip with only 1 day rest. Spurs will keep clean sheets on the road after today.
                                    Comment
                                    • coilinsud9
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 07-22-10
                                      • 215

                                      #613
                                      I'll follow you on Toronto write up, ty
                                      Comment
                                      • CarmeLO15
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-16-10
                                        • 260

                                        #614
                                        Yo BL what u think abou OKC - HOU ? I lean OKC to cover
                                        Comment
                                        • BL
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-09
                                          • 4070

                                          #615
                                          thank u spurs! will have a 7pm play
                                          Comment
                                          • BL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-11-09
                                            • 4070

                                            #616
                                            carmelo I will be on rockets most likely
                                            Comment
                                            • BL
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-09
                                              • 4070

                                              #617
                                              raptors lost, Spurs won, Lakers 1Q pending

                                              adding
                                              Rockets +2,5 (2x)
                                              Come on... Rockets aren't that bad! they are 4-0 SU at home against OKC. make it 5....
                                              Comment
                                              • BL
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-11-09
                                                • 4070

                                                #618
                                                Rockets win Now let's get that smaller Lakers 1Q bet aswell
                                                Comment
                                                • BL
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                  • 4070

                                                  #619
                                                  NBA SEASON 51-34 (60,00%) +2,25 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ca$hfloW
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-16-09
                                                    • 1196

                                                    #620
                                                    Any plays for today, I know you said you had two on twitter but haven't sent them yet
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-11-09
                                                      • 4070

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by Ca$hfloW
                                                      Any plays for today, I know you said you had two on twitter but haven't sent them yet
                                                      it's the over in miami (o197) and hornets +4(hookbuy) 2x each
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Morocco Mole
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-17-10
                                                        • 7

                                                        #622
                                                        BOL buddy! Love the over!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BL
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-11-09
                                                          • 4070

                                                          #623
                                                          Tuesday

                                                          Boston -6,5 (1x)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BL
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-09
                                                            • 4070

                                                            #624
                                                            Eurocup Tuesday

                                                            Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
                                                            OVER 164 (1x)

                                                            In this match two really good offensive teams are meeting each other. The good thing is that
                                                            Gilboa is playing a even more offensive style at home while Azovmash plays less defense on
                                                            the road. The defensive numbers combine 167,5 points.





                                                            Unics Kazan - Le Mans
                                                            UNDER 147 (1x)

                                                            Defensive numbers combine 131 points and both teams. I expect nothing but a defensive minded
                                                            game here today.




                                                            Those games start early (17:00 CET and 18:00 CET) so right when u are having breakfast over there in the US ;-)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dwell
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-09-10
                                                              • 141

                                                              #625
                                                              Missed the euro plays...how can anybody play basketball that early anyway? Seems taxing...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • aireent777
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 5930

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by BL
                                                                Tuesday

                                                                Boston -6,5 (1x)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • r4z0r1199
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 12-02-09
                                                                  • 22

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Originally posted by Dwell
                                                                  Missed the euro plays...how can anybody play basketball that early anyway? Seems taxing...
                                                                  lol.... its not early, its is night here!! ... just different time zones..

                                                                  As for your plays BL you are good tipster! That shows yours 60% but... You should reconsider your staking.. I think that you should have flat stake, and invest 2-3% of your bank because you are solid tipster and definetly wont bankrupt like this. So lets say you staked 2 units on each play you would have +26 units! Going up and down with stakes I think isnt good in any sports, this flat staking showed me much more profit and proabably to you would also.

                                                                  Gl in future and today!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BL
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                                    • 4070

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
                                                                    OVER 164 (1x) WIN

                                                                    Unics Kazan - Le Mans
                                                                    UNDER 147 (1x) WIN


                                                                    2-0 today. 5-0 in totals overall

                                                                    Eurohoopz: 7-2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • aunty jack
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-17-10
                                                                      • 252

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Originally posted by BL
                                                                      Hapoel Gilboa - Azovmash
                                                                      OVER 164 (1x) WIN

                                                                      Unics Kazan - Le Mans
                                                                      UNDER 147 (1x) WIN


                                                                      2-0 today. 5-0 in totals overall

                                                                      Eurohoopz: 7-2
                                                                      once again, damn fine selections in euro totals.

                                                                      i suspect that kermit bought his bmw 1-series by following your tips!

                                                                      cheers.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Soderman
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 09-29-10
                                                                        • 33

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Nice work there BL
                                                                        Comment
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