Tracking the Cleveland Cavaliers: They might be undervalued.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I'm going to use this thread to track the Cavaliers record ats to start the season. I have a feeling that they might be undervalued and a good play since most people will think they stink without LeGone.

Odds10/27 7pm

CLE+5 -110


Total


185½ -110





I thought the line would be much higher than +5 but maybe the books are looking at Boston playing the Heat the day before. I think this gives a good advantage for the C's as they will probably play together much better day 2. I'll update and use the lines at gametime to track the plays.

[Nuggz]

I would agree they could be undervalued in the early going but against Boston I would rather lay the 4 than play Cleveland.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I would agree they could be undervalued in the early going but against Boston I would rather lay the 4 than play Cleveland.

Oh, I agree. That line doesn't make much sense right now and sure doesn't seem undervalued. If Boston beats Miami easily then the line could go to double digits. If they lose and look tired then I could see -4 but not in the 2nd game of the season. Very perplexing...

Heck, I might have to sell something to hammer Boston in this one. I do think the Cav's may play with a chip so maybe the books know this as well. I was hoping they would be double digit home dogs in this one

[sneak-a-peak]

I agree with you.

My prediction for the cavs ATS this year will be in the neighborhood of 45-35

With a lot of those wins coming early in the year

[sweetjones55]

Cavs were -1 when this line came out if you thought the line at +5 was weird lol.

[ProfaneReality]

Cavs ML on Wednesday. They will wear Boston out 2nd half with their new princeton offense. Huge letdown spot for BOS

[rockaflocka]

totally agree ML , they will run up and down vs old celtic team comming off game vs miami

[linewiz]

I would agree they could be undervalued in the early going but against Boston I would rather lay the 4 than play Cleveland.

Agree with Mac's original post...this should be lower-tier team (though if you look at roster, cupboard is not completely bare in terms of talent) that has some value ATS in spots. Point well taken also regarding the early going, because if they surprise people early, line will adjust. So take a hard look at them for early handful of games. I expect them to put out max effort (after this summer's debacle) and steal a few. Helping their cause is choice of Byron Scott as coach. Probably a good fit..mixed results in NJ and NO, but he had to deal with players that had overwhelming presence at each stop...Kidd in NJ, Paul in NO. No one of that stature in Clev...I think he will have these guys playing hard for 48 minutes nightly.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Cavs were -1 when this line came out if you thought the line at +5 was weird lol.

Are you serious? Cav's -1? I would have hammered the C's big time on that shit. This is the 2nd game of the season. Why would the C's be tired after only 1 game? That's madness. I really don't see the Cav's winning this game and will probably lose by at least 7 or 8 points.

Wow, maybe the Cav's will be over valued

[Mac4Lyfe]

Current BetJam line...

704Cleveland Cavaliers +4½ -110 +160 Under 185 -110

I thought the line would be much higher. So much for undervalued. Let's see how they do the next few weeks. I'm on them ML just for fun tonight.

[jbatcha21]

It probably wouldn't be a bad idea to go ahead and track how they do with the Over/Under also. I think they are going to play solid defense, but I don't see where their offense is going to come from.

[Mac4Lyfe]

It probably wouldn't be a bad idea to go ahead and track how they do with the Over/Under also. I think they are going to play solid defense, but I don't see where their offense is going to come from.

Good idea...

BOS 23, 24, 26, 14 = 87
CLE 21, 25, 22, 27 = 95

Cleveland covers and wins outright and the game goes Under

1-0-0 ATS, 1/0 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

707Cleveland Cavaliers +4 -110 +150 Over 194½ -110
at Toronto

Screwed this up. I was trying to reply but edited this post. I mentioned that Toronto was the play with Mo and Verajao both out.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Cavaliers under has to be the play tonight.

[zogdog]

I'm not sure if the game against Boston is a good indication of the Cavs future performances. Boston is an old team and the Cavs front line can run and I think those two factors played a decisive role.

[Mac4Lyfe]

707Cleveland Cavaliers +4 -110 +150 Over 194½ -110

CLE 20 18 17 26 = 81
TOR 24 22 31 24 = 101

Cav's lose ATS and total goes Under again...

1-1-0 ATS, 2/0 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

10/30 Sacramento at Cleveland
504 CLE odds -3 -110 -155 Over 192½ -110

503 Sacramento Kings
34 19 31 23 = 107

504 Cleveland Cavaliers
34 33 15 22 = 104

Cav's lose ATS and total goes OVER

1-2-0 ATS, 2/1 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

Another night where the line doesn't look inflated. Hmmm, Looks like the books are giving the Cav's too much love so far.

11/2 Atlanta at Cleveland

702 Cleveland Cavaliers +3 -110 +130 Under 190½ -110

[Goat Milk]

still can't believe you said wade is washed up bro. he will easily lead the heat in scoring and is the real threat at MVP that no one is taking about. guys like durant don't win mvp in this stage in their career. it won't happen, sorry.

[Mac4Lyfe]

still can't believe you said wade is washed up bro. he will easily lead the heat in scoring and is the real threat at MVP that no one is taking about. guys like durant don't win mvp in this stage in their career. it won't happen, sorry.

Wade getting the benefit of bullshit calls by the refs. The dude runs into people and gets to the line. It's horseshit. It's hard to even watch their games because they get every call in every game this season. Lebron just got another bullshit call. Pathetic

Ok, the refs called an even game after the 1st in the Heat/Wolves game last night. 1st time out of 5 games that I've seen. Still have to consider the refs in Heat games and that alone makes them a good bet.

[Mac4Lyfe]

702 Cleveland Cavaliers +3 -110 +130 Under 190½ -110

ATL 40 19 15 26 = 100
CLE 27 20 26 15 = 88

Cav's lose ATS and total goes UNDER

1-3-0 ATS, 3/1 U/O

[Goat Milk]

Wade getting the benefit of bullshit calls by the refs. The dude runs into people and gets to the line. It's horseshit. It's hard to even watch their games because they get every call in every game this season. Lebron just got another bullshit call. Pathetic Ok, the refs called an even game after the 1st in the Heat/Wolves game last night. 1st time out of 5 games that I've seen. Still have to consider the refs in Heat games and that alone makes them a good bet.

of course he will get the benefit. that is the luxury you have when your a superstar. the fact is public will be all over the heat for the whole season. if anything, refs don't want heat to cover. People will cry the whole year that Miami shoots so many FTs but they have two of the top 5 guys in the league for the past 6 years that are top 5 in FTs shot every year.

Mac you are contradicting yourself when you say that every nba game is scripted and if that were the case miami would not be getting the "benefit" like you say. Wade and Lebron are running circles around teams. In a 7 game series Boston can't win more than 2 games. Boston was winded after that 1st game with wade's 1st game back in months.

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/5 Cavs at 76ers

505 Cleveland Cavaliers +5 -110 +180 Over 188 -110

[Mac4Lyfe]

Cleveland 34 27 18 44 = 123
Sixers 20 33 31 32 = 116

Cav's Win ATS and straight up plus the total goes way OVER

2-3-0 ATS, 3/2 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/6 Cleveland at Washington Wiz

703 CLE Odds +4½ -110 Money Line +160 Totals 195 -110


703 Cleveland Cavaliers
27 32 17 31 = 107

704 Washington Wizards
28 23 25 26 =102

Cav's Win ATS and straight up plus the total goes OVER again

3-3-0 ATS, 3/3 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/9 Cav's at NJ Nets

503 CLE Odds +3 -110 Money Line +130 Totals 195½ -110

[Mac4Lyfe]

Cavaliers 23 22 18 30 = 93
Nets 23 19 23 26 = 91

Cav's Win ATS and straight up and the total goes UNDER

4-3-0 ATS, 4/3 U/O

[dan213]

cavs have definately surprised me so far this year. i'm leaning w/ new jersey tomorrow though.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Cav's have been dogs in 6 of their 7 games thus far and have won outright ML 4 of the 6. So far it seems they are undervalued.

[Mac4Lyfe]

cavs have definately surprised me so far this year. i'm leaning w/ new jersey tomorrow though.

Should be tough for them to beat the Net's 2 games in a row. Plus the only time they've been favored (Sacramento) at home they blew a big lead and didn't cover.

The Cav's are covering a lot of first quarter and first halfs though. I might go with Cavs 1st q and 1st half and the Net's for the game and take the Nets 2nd half as well. That may be all winners.

The Cav's have lost every third quarter this year. And not even close, they are getting blown out in the 3rd. They were bad in the 3rd the last few years with Lebron as well. Very strange trend.

[Mac4Lyfe]

At the same time, Cleveland has won the 4th quarter 5 of 7 times as well.

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/10 Nets at Cavs

Both teams played each other in NJ last night.

710 CLE Odds -4 -110 Money Line -175 Totals 193½ -110

[Mac4Lyfe]

710 CLE Odds -4 -110 Money Line -175 Totals 193½ -110

NJ 18 24 25 28 = 95
CLE 25 27 17 18 = 87
Cav's Lose ATS and the total goes UNDER. Plus they lose another 3rd quarter. They have yet to win a 3rd quarter all year.

4-4-0 ATS, 5/3 U/O

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/13 Indiana at Cleveland

506Cleveland Cavaliers -2 -110 -130 Under 201½ -110

[Mac4Lyfe]

11/13 Indiana at Cleveland

506Cleveland Cavaliers -2 -110 -130 Under 201½ -110

Cleveland had zero offense down the stretch without MoWill or AV tonight. The under has to be in play if they both are out again on Tuesday.

505 Indiana Pacers 26 28 19 26 = 99
506 Cleveland Cavaliers 30 24 14 17 = 85


Cav's Lose ATS and the total goes UNDER again. Plus they lose another 3rd quarter. They have yet to win a 3rd quarter all year.

4-5-0 ATS, 6/3 U/O