goat milk's 2010-11 nba theory thread

[JOHON8]

Any reason why you are fading Minnesota? Cavs played without any heart vs Miami.

GL goat.

[Goat Milk]

Any reason why you are fading Minnesota? Cavs played without any heart vs Miami.

GL goat.

not really i didn't cap the game cavs just stood out to me. they are gonna lose for sure though twolves are shooting lights out

[Goat Milk]

Kings +8 1.75x

[sweetjones55]

Kings +8 1.75x

Why? Dallas beat them by 8 or more last 3 matchups. Dallas has gotten way better since those games and Sacramento has gotten way worse. Have you read articles on the Kings? Their own players are calling the whole organization a "black cloud". Dallas is a top 2 or 3 road team this year. Sacramento is the worst home team. I don't understand this play. GL

[Pauulzcappin]

Bro are you going to take Heat against the Jazz?

If no injuries from either side how about a friendly point wager?

[STC]

Why? Dallas beat them by 8 or more last 3 matchups. Dallas has gotten way better since those games and Sacramento has gotten way worse. Have you read articles on the Kings? Their own players are calling the whole organization a "black cloud". Dallas is a top 2 or 3 road team this year. Sacramento is the worst home team. I don't understand this play. GL

Probably Barry Banter's thread which was the reason why i re-wagered my play

[Goat Milk]

Bro are you going to take Heat against the Jazz?

If no injuries from either side how about a friendly point wager?

books will be all over the jazz in that game with RLM just like there was in the Lakers/Jazz game. and i guarantee either LakerBoy or Lyon will probably make a play on the Jazz too. Yeah I'm taking the heat I hope I'm right

[Pauulzcappin]

Bad matchups for the Heat. you wanna bet points on it?

[MrSink]

what a shot by rose and a great play by noah best of luck in OT

[Goat Milk]

Bad matchups for the Heat. you wanna bet points on it?

yeah if i have any by wed.

How do you figure? Milsap played the game of his career to beat the Heat in tripple OT last time. If the Heat don't win this revenge game it's hard for me to see them as contenders- but they are contenders and will come out of the east.

I don't want to here that AK47 can guard lebron or raja bell can guard wade because they both got completely shit on in the last game. Do you think Deron williams will have 34 and 16 assists because thats what the Jazz need to win this game

utah was 2-0 last year as underdogs and 1-0 this year with 2 of those ats wins against the lakers i believe. can't put too much faith in that stat

[Pauulzcappin]

No, Raja Bell can't guard wade.

on the other hand did lebron shit on ak? really?

deron is gonna drive at will and embarass whoever is guarding him. of course millsap had the game of his life, bosh is a pussy on d.

i'll be on jazz on this game and it should be good for miami backers since I can't get one right.

[Goat Milk]

damn good luck pauul i think most of sbr including you lakerboy will be all over the jazz in that game there will probably be RLM in that game as well I already know it

[sweetjones55]

Public is going to be all over the Heat. That line will move against the Heat for sure.

[sharper2]

good luck goat on all your plays today

[Goat Milk]

4 Point Teaser
Pistons +10
Blazers PK
1.1x

L

Raptors PK $220

W

Jazz/Mavs Under 193 1.5x

W

Cavs +1 1.1x

L

Kings +8 1.75x

W

Total: (updated) 27-26-6 W-L-P
-150 mls or more: 2-0
+200 dogs or more: 0-0
Live Bets: 0-0-0


Bulls -4 -120 .6x

[Goat Milk]

Goat I went through your last year thread and Lb's. I believe and it's only my opinion you are one of the most,if not thee most knowledgable
posters on the NBA. You know the game and match-ups like no other. Love your insight

thanks ojs

[Mikail]

Good luck with the Bulls tonight. Any other plays?

[Goat Milk]

Good luck with the Bulls tonight. Any other plays?

na thats it for me not much to like today. I think the Heat will win but don't know about by 5-6. It could be a lebron/wade buzzer beater or real tight at the end.

I'm going to be watching the monday night ftball game at the bar so i'm looking for a play on that game to unload on but i don't know too much about nfl what do you think. i like pats to win

[Pauulzcappin]

Good luck goat.

[Pauulzcappin]

Me too, IDK what to play on the Monday Nighter

[Mikail]

na thats it for me not much to like today. I think the Heat will win but don't know about by 5-6. It could be a lebron/wade buzzer beater or real tight at the end.

I'm going to be watching the monday night ftball game at the bar so i'm looking for a play on that game to unload on but i don't know too much about nfl what do you think. i like pats to win

I like the Pats too. Not sure about the cover now as it's at -4 at most shops. Still haven't locked anything in.

[Mikail]

Me too, IDK what to play on the Monday Nighter

It's a tough game to call.

[Goat Milk]

Warriors +8.5 1.1x
Pistons +11/Warriors +12.5 Teaser for .55x

[Mikail]

Warriors +8.5 1.1x

Good luck. You know i'm on it for 5x line movement late favors the play too.

[Goat Milk]

Total: (updated) 29-27-6 W-L-P
-150 mls or more: 2-0
+200 dogs or more: 0-0
Live Bets: 0-0-0


Wednesday:

Heat +1.5 $440

[Goat Milk]

Bucks -2 $99

[Pauulzcappin]

Good luck on your plays brother. Looks like Miami will win the game.

[No coincidences]

GL, Goat. Love the Heat, but not sure if I'll take it at -1 or -1.5 vs. the +1.5 a lot of people landed earlier.

[Goat Milk]

Good luck on your plays brother. Looks like Miami will win the game.

why do you say that? There's no way that lyon's writeup could have changed your mind. i really need the heat tonight

[Goat Milk]

No COincidence- its the same shit bro. i would still take them at -1 i'm not expecting this to be a 1-2 point game to be honest

[Mikail]

Like the Heat tonight. Good luck.

[No coincidences]

No COincidence- its the same shit bro. i would still take them at -1 i'm not expecting this to be a 1-2 point game to be honest

I'll play Miami ML small. I don't think they'll lose either, but it is the NBA.

Good luck, Goat.

[Pauulzcappin]

why do you say that? There's no way that lyon's writeup could have changed your mind. i really need the heat tonight

Haven't been to their thread what's the write up about?

I just think it's too much of a point-swing to what IMO would be a close game with the edge to the Jazz.

Regarding your question on my thread I actually like the under there.

teased griz and the under as one of my plays tonight

[t-wizzle]

I saw you posted in Lyon and LB's thread about how you disagreed with Doc Rivers having Ray Allen guard Kobe last year in the finals. Who would you put on Kobe on that Celtics starting 5?

[BernardMadoff]

I saw you posted in Lyon and LB's thread about how you disagreed with Doc Rivers having Ray Allen guard Kobe last year in the finals. Who would you put on Kobe on that Celtics starting 5?

I dont see anyone else that you could other than Pierce, but you put Ray on him because his motor and energy level is higher than Pierce's and although Ray run's off screens alot he doesnt really have to since he can make contested shots without using much energy. Pierce has to work harder for his shots and is slower than Ray on both ends of the court, you might look at the bigger body size of Pierce being able to somewhat rough Kobe up, but Kobe knows how to use that against his opponent, its Ray or nobody from how I see it. Kobe's usually gonna get his anyway.