John Morrison 2010 NBA

[Wilba]

Will

U still playing SBP ?

yeah man SBP is friggin awesome made so much $ from him in the last month since u put me onto him... thanks again for that.. pure gold is SBP

how about thursday - went 7-2 (or was it 8-2) then 2-0 friday as well. loving it

[Wilba]

Lakers -1 B bet for SBP.
Lakers -1 A bet for sbp updated it looks like. (Milwaukee game still pending)

TOronto got destroyed by 40! Nice JOb orlando!

lakers -1 is an SBP C bet for original. Not a B bet

[COYLO]

Lakers -1 B bet for SBP.
Lakers -1 A bet for sbp updated it looks like. (Milwaukee game still pending)

TOronto got destroyed by 40! Nice JOb orlando!

raptors were a b bet i think.

[J.M. Disciple]

the -6 might of been a good idea. Boston up 21 with 1qrt to go. I don't trust my own picks though I actually thought Utah was going to hang with Boston tonight. Pray for a miracle come back in the forth. Need them to go on a 12-0 run or something.

[JW Cash]

yeah man SBP is friggin awesome made so much $ from him in the last month since u put me onto him... thanks again for that.. pure gold is SBP

how about thursday - went 7-2 (or was it 8-2) then 2-0 friday as well. loving it

I started a separate labby/income stream for his Updated Non-System picks....they
appear to be real solid......

[J.M. Disciple]

SBP picks for today. TOronto +12 was B bet you are correct... I missed the A bet on gsw which lost so i was a game behind. LAL will be C bet for SBP oroginal.

Milwaukee will cover most likely vs cleveland it seems, so LAL will also be an A bet for the updated system.

[juice050]

well a c bet for a loss it seems with utah. smh thats y folks u never bet your whole bankroll on a c bet.

[juice050]

p.s utah sucks!

[J.M. Disciple]

Crusher lost D bet on ATL -3.5 today vs hornets. Hornets are smashing! Up 43 with 2min left. One of the worst blow outs in history of nBA. going back to about 2 weeks ago when lakers beat cleveland by 55.

[Wilba]

the -6 might of been a good idea. Boston up 21 with 1qrt to go. I don't trust my own picks though I actually thought Utah was going to hang with Boston tonight. Pray for a miracle come back in the forth. Need them to go on a 12-0 run or something.

yeah well, of course with hindsight, is easy to say what was/wasnt a good play.

Small chance of a utah backdoor cover. Ive seen stranger things happen thats for sure

[stevex]

Just another reason to use the labby with all of these systems.....

This time last year my bankroll would've been obliterated. Using proper money management is probably the most important aspect of sports wagering.....

[atari5200]

wilba,
i stated that i use a loosely based labby line only to keep track of losses and to not lose sight of the amount i'm looking to win to keep moving forward.

between all the stats, the chasing and the labby lines is a gray area. this is where most betters make personal decisions as to whether or not the play is a good one based on many factors.

you're an arrogant person who thought i had overlooked your posts about not knowing anything about labby lines. You tried to jump on me and repeat over and over again like i can't read.

MY WHOLE PURPOSE OF DIRECTING MY LONG POST TOWARDS YOU WAS TO GET YOU TO STOP BEING NEGATIVE...telling people they're burning or flushing money. I kept telling you how much your posts are appreciated. You tried ripping into me with your reply instead of recognizing that there's no room here to insult others. You want insults? I think I gave you some colorful ones.

JM Disciple is a solid contributor and is never negative. You think what you think. I'll let other judge this.
No more.

[jmjj]

why didnt you play boston -6 if you thought it was a great play?

Im not sure where your logic is with that b/c Im playing the system my comment was an easy and simple one the line is bad line pure and simple

and now that we lost that game which makes it now 2 v1.0 losses this yr making the suckest yr I have yet seen since buying JM system then my point is well made but hell even the line was at +12 we would still be hosed so a wonderful yr so far in NBA I just hope MLB 2011 isnt as s hitty as 2010 was for it

[Wilba]

over it dude. not gonna bother with childish tit for tat and try to insult you, say what you want im not gonna bite.

tough loss today with utah guys. Knicks looking ok end of 3rd hopefully they salvage the day for us.

[Wilba]

jmjj above post was to atari not you. just in case you thought it was toward you (you posted just as i did)

[Wilba]

and yeah jmjj i just meant if you think the line is really bad then prob shouldnt play it.. for me, I dont try to second guess JM plays anymore coz ive seen so many times lines that look like a joke for the road team (eg today) and then the road team pulls out something crazy for the system to win. more often than not the road team does it, even when the lines do look like a joke. completely agree with you though that, on the face of it, +6 for utah seemed very poor value today.

and yeah not been a good year for JM sys but if you only play B/C still up good money which shows that it is a great system when used right. if it is having an awful year and you still up money gotta be happy with that!

the great thing about chase stats is that backtest results are never grey (unlike labby lines which are always subjective). with chases you can always backtest for concrete proof of what works and what doesnt. If you go back 10 years then those stats will always hold true over the long term

[jmjj]

jmjj above post was to atari not you. just in case you thought it was toward you (you posted just as i did)

dont sweat it Im just saying linesmaker were wack tonight as they sometimes are but no matter might as well been Utah +30 and they still wouldnt have covered lol so f ucking lame man

[jmjj]

What a season so far in the NBA whoo hooo!!! unf ucking real man

Thats 2 JM v1.0 losses

2 stopped series at the A bet level for JMv1.0 which takes away from your bankroll

(And I havent counted any of the v2.0 & v3.0 plays into the mix either)

2 JJTPS losses this season so far so not cool at all depending on much you wager on each play whether it be 1%-4% a play you would be down which after 2 mos into the NBA season is unacceptable to say the least

[Stanley77]

I backtested this system again and I found out that teams can lose a 4-game series with 3-point buying. So if any NBA or NHL team loses a 3-game series or 4-game series, then bet on them on their next series. This works 100% of the time.

[Wilba]

Phew.. knicks +3 covered to salvage what would otherwise have been a brutal night. Still a crappy night even with the knicks cover.

Hoping for an SBP C win (and A too) on the lakers -1. I have to say I really liked denver for this game, but i trust an sbp C bet way more than my own capping. Cmon the lake show carmello is a goose so sick of hearing about his trade BS

[Wilba]

thanks for the info stanley. the only thing is that this situation only occurs a handful of times every year. thanks for sharing though it is good to know

[juice050]

question fellas?? how do yall feel about taking jazz for a d bet even tho jm says stop after c? any stats on that. the line so far for jazz is +1.5 against philly. any thoughts?

[bruce0]

So is that two losses for JM this season? Don't the books build his C bets into their lines at this point? I mean look at the views on this thread it's over 115,000...that has to translate to a lot of people paying a lot of juice. great opportunity for vegas to get paid...

[Wilba]

question fellas?? how do yall feel about taking jazz for a d bet even tho jm says stop after c? any stats on that. the line so far for jazz is +1.5 against philly. any thoughts?

not sure about any stats on that but I think is a great bet and will be playing it. cant offer any concrete evidence one way or another on whether it is a good strategy historically though

[Wallco99]

well a c bet for a loss it seems with utah. smh thats y folks u never bet your whole bankroll on a c bet.

Or why you play dogs at (-110)

[juice050]

not sure about any stats on that but I think is a great bet and will be playing it. cant offer any concrete evidence one way or another on whether it is a good strategy historically though

o ok. yea im going to play utah against philly also wilba even though its no stats behind it, i doubt they dont atleast cover one game on a 5 game road trip.

[fotzan]

I wouldn't try to play utah a d bet this is a loss and we must admit that sometimes you have to lose....I am talking about Utah. It's betting you are playing a lucky game no matter what system you are using.

[c-fut]

The JM "C" and Crushers "D" really killed my bankroll today. Wanted to do labby but never got it started. Prolly will start this now

[JW Cash]

The JM "C" and Crushers "D" really killed my bankroll today. Wanted to do labby but never got it started. Prolly will start this now

Well.....you should have played SBP and Solaman......

I did and went 5-3-1 and was profitable.....

I didnt buy 3 points for the Knicks so I just pushed....

Of course I saved money by not buying points on Utah.......

And...if I was you....I would get that labby started right away.......just sayin..

[knugen]

01/22/2011 Memphis @ Milwaukee - V1, A bet

01/22/2011 Cleveland @ Chicago - V3, A bet

01/22/2011 San Antonio @ New Orleans - V3, A bet

[J.M. Disciple]

JOHN MORRISON ROAD SYSTEM
FROM: November 1st through January 21st


A BETS (first road game)
37 – 39 = 48.6%


B BETS (2nd road game even after A win)
54-23 = 70%


C BETS (3rd road game)
48-27 = 64%


TOTAL WIN / LOSS AFTER BUYING 3PTS
139 wins / 228 total wagers = 60.9%


TOTAL WINS / LOSS FROM B AND C ONLY
102 wins / 152 = 67% betting just on 2nd and 3rd road games.


This is if you bet all 3 games of the road trip; A B and C. Even
after an A win continue to bet B and C. Do not chase just flat
bet each one.


*you only need 63% to break even at -170 odds buying 3pts.

[J.M. Disciple]

so glad lakers beat denver.... they have a rivalry growing! They struggled vs them last year and this year... feels good to finially get a win vs them.

[J.M. Disciple]

For those of you who are worried about the C loss with Utah. dont be. will will still show a good profit through out the season. If you are really worried about it, figure it was a 20 unit loss. Maybe bet to win 3.5 units inead of 3 of the next few series and make all your money back. It is really not that big of a deal though.

Some of us lost say 20% of our bankroll. End of the season our bankroll will tripple what we started with, so dont be in a rushed to get it all back after 1 game. I do think Utah will beat Philly though, so instead of betting on them at +1.5 I would suggest just betting on them ML so you make even more.

I would also suggest sticking to the system though Just B and C. A lot of people get carried away going off their gut feelings with games and end up losing their bankrolls trying to make up for their losses.
Just have to accept losses once in a while.

I am very glad i stopped following crusher whenever I did. If its a 4 or 5 game chase he only needs to win 1 out of 4 in order to beat the system. I think you can use cover consensus and do that just as effectively. Just see what game the experts favor more heavily and im sure You will hit atleast 50%. Which would make for an OK system I think. Not sure how many losses they would have in a row if you are betting based on consensus where experts favor a team say 80%+ so 4:1

[J.M. Disciple]

Here are my leans for tomorrow looking at the spreads tonight. Just going off the top of my head. Just posting them here, but not actually betting them. I will check and see how my bets turn out tomorrow.

Pacers +5.5
Orlando -3
Memphis / milwaukee... not hard to call
OKC -7
SAS -3
utah +1.5
Suns +1.5
Miami -13
ATL +2
Dallas -5
Boston -6.5

Those are the spreads I see right now. Figure out how i do tomorrow. GL Everyone.
hopefully SBP agrees with my picks so we can start adding units to the bankroll again.

[stevex]

That's the beauty of just playing -110 odds w/ the labby.....

That Utah series loss really doesn't affect me AT ALL....