Should I overanalyze this, or is MIL the steal of the century?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Should I overanalyze this, or is MIL the steal of the century?
    Feel like I'm being lured into a trap by taking the Bucks here, but I just feel like I have to take them in this spot now that ATL has put holes in my bankroll all series long.

    I'm tired of fading Salmons -- I want him to bring me home the loot tonight.
  • kobefanatic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-19-10
    • 9013

    #2
    i think this series will have a game 7
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    • lyon804
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-02-09
      • 6526

      #3
      Your not alone nocoin.. Everything in my mind tells me to take the Bucks tonite..and I mean everything is pointing to them to win tonite and I could fill the pages up as to why the Bucks will win, but something inside of me will not let me bet the Bucks. I had to pass on this game. I hope the Bucks win though because they deserve it and are the better team regardless of what the talent says.
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      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by lyon804
        Your not alone nocoin.. Everything in my mind tells me to take the Bucks tonite..and I mean everything is pointing to them to win tonite and I could fill the pages up as to why the Bucks will win, but something inside of me will not let me bet the Bucks. I had to pass on this game. I hope the Bucks win though because they deserve it and are the better team regardless of what the talent says.
        Skiles vs. Woodson is reason enough to get a + ML for the Deer at home IMHO.

        I know the raw talent and "law of averages" favors ATL, but I just don't see it.

        Only thing that scares me: I'm on three teams to close out a series in Game 6 tonight: Lakers, Jazz, Bucks. Now we all know the chances of Stern allowing an NBA first round to pass without a single Game 7 is zero, so there's at least one loss in there for me.
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        • NBAStats
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-18-10
          • 665

          #5
          The Bucks won and covered games 3 and 4 in Milwaukee, then win game 5 straight up in ATL. I will take the Bucks all day here, getting points. You can talk all you want about the better team with their backs against the wall, atl will bounce back, yada yada yada. I will take the raw numbers from these games, and the faders are welcome to play these other angles.
          Comment
          • lyon804
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-02-09
            • 6526

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Skiles vs. Woodson is reason enough to get a + ML for the Deer at home IMHO.

            I know the raw talent and "law of averages" favors ATL, but I just don't see it.

            Only thing that scares me: I'm on three teams to close out a series in Game 6 tonight: Lakers, Jazz, Bucks. Now we all know the chances of Stern allowing an NBA first round to pass without a single Game 7 is zero, so there's at least one loss in there for me.


            We are on the same page with everything you listed. I will be shocked if all 3 closeout as well and I personally thought that Atl would be the one team that would ruin the closeout. I am on the same sides as you on all 3 but have decided to pass the Bucks and sharp money has as well. With everything poiting to the Bucks nobody has came in with any money and made a stand for them so that let's me know I am not wrong to pass here either. Based on everything that is know the Bucks should have moved down from +2 but they haven't and that is real telling. The mid-morning money got some Lakers and Jazz and left the Bucks as well. I hope all 3 closeout as well because if they do I will have a nice nite.
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            • shari91
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-23-10
              • 32661

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Only thing that scares me: I'm on three teams to close out a series in Game 6 tonight: Lakers, Jazz, Bucks. Now we all know the chances of Stern allowing an NBA first round to pass without a single Game 7 is zero, so there's at least one loss in there for me.
              This is my exact fear but screw it - my bets are placed. And maybe this will be another one of those times Stern is screwing with us. We 'know' he wants a game 7 in one of these, so he'll put the word in for all of them to be closed out in 6 tonight.

              You never know! Stranger things have happened.

              Best of luck, NoCoin
              Comment
              • THEGREAT30
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-04-08
                • 8970

                #8
                Bucks are the pick win or lose, all you can do is make the best bet, I don't get those on Atl tonite even if they win, good day
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                • TodayIsForgotten
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 06-19-06
                  • 534

                  #9
                  Something is in the air. I really think the bucks could win this game, but regardless of Atlanta being pretty poor on the road, especially in the playoffs...just something i can't place on this game. I think both sides are volitale, but i do see atlanta winning this game.
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