Somebody knows something.....Heat -1.5

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  • MaxEMillion
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-31-09
    • 495

    #1
    Somebody knows something.....Heat -1.5
    I am on the heat and the under as well. Lets take a look at it from an honest vegas perspective remove the teams and the players. The game started as a pick. 66% of the money has come in on Boston according to vegasinsider who I consider a fairly reliable source. Now that this money has come in Boston is +1.5???? If anything it should be the opposite, basically 66% is on Boston and vegas is trying to get that number up to around 75-80%.

    I have seen this two other cases so far this playoffs. The first was game 2 in the spurs series when the spurs came out and whacked the mavs(I missed it here somehow). The second was yesterday when the bucks shocked the world and smoked the hawks. The third is today and I am rolling with the heat.

    As one of my favorites, Lee Corso, always says "Somebody knows something................and I am with somebody"

    Heat -1.5
  • pokerpro44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-20-07
    • 3138

    #2
    im all over the heat today.
    Comment
    • mehow
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-26-09
      • 698

      #3
      it's called reverse line movement, and it's available for everyone at bettracker.
      Comment
      • jgiun1
        SBR MVP
        • 11-07-09
        • 2559

        #4
        I would still take the ML to be safe..........a little more juice, but avoid the -1.5 for the home team.
        Comment
        • MaxEMillion
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-31-09
          • 495

          #5
          Reverse line movement I will have to add that to my vocabulary lol...............along with a new term I learned called fading the public!!! You combine them together and it creates a potion that kills any book.
          Comment
          • superjeff24
            SBR MVP
            • 03-17-10
            • 1078

            #6
            or you guys are getting tricked by odds designed to put squares on miami
            this will be a sweep. still cant believe miami's stupid coach didn't foul pierce.
            hey pierce want a free look at a buzzer beater? here ya go!
            Comment
            • illcrushem
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-20-10
              • 291

              #7
              I'm gonna have to go with the celts...the miami d-wades are done
              Comment
              • MaxEMillion
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-31-09
                • 495

                #8
                I know that was unreal. In all honesty if the coaching were better for Miami this series could be 2-1 heat. Miami had a decent chance in game one but they insisted on forcing beasley rather than going to their hot bench players.
                Comment
                • wallyjones2009
                  Restricted User
                  • 03-03-09
                  • 280

                  #9
                  Heat are going to win today, Boston take it at home.
                  Comment
                  • tanner40
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 2129

                    #10
                    At sbrodds it say they money is pretty much split (51% on Miami). Which site is normally more reliable?
                    Comment
                    • Otters27
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 07-14-07
                      • 30760

                      #11
                      There is always potential for a team to give up at this point. Try to think of it from a players perspective.
                      Comment
                      • BigMama
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-28-10
                        • 439

                        #12
                        Good luck
                        Comment
                        • tanner40
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 2129

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Otters27
                          There is always potential for a team to give up at this point. Try to think of it from a players perspective.
                          That is they way I am leaning. I do not see this Miami team playing with much heart or trying to put up a fight.

                          Under is the play for me, still deciding whether a side will be in play or not.
                          Comment
                          • cornhuskfan
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-22-10
                            • 163

                            #14
                            best of lock
                            Comment
                            • MaxEMillion
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-31-09
                              • 495

                              #15
                              I am putting 2 units on heat and one on under.
                              Comment
                              • big joe 1212
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 06-01-08
                                • 19380

                                #16
                                Heat have shown nothing so far!
                                Comment
                                • jmiezie
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 312

                                  #17
                                  I just took Heat first quarter.. I think they come out strong today
                                  Comment
                                  • aman86
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-29-09
                                    • 3115

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by tanner40
                                    That is they way I am leaning. I do not see this Miami team playing with much heart or trying to put up a fight.

                                    Under is the play for me, still deciding whether a side will be in play or not.
                                    if that's the case wouldn't you like the over, they didn't play much D last game and this could be worse... anyway over and celts for me gl
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48383

                                      #19
                                      I like the under as well. Both teams have shown problems scoring the ball. Boston's defense has looked much better of late.
                                      Comment
                                      • whatsgood5
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 10-13-09
                                        • 15359

                                        #20
                                        On the Heat too, good luck fellas
                                        Comment
                                        • genius
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-03-10
                                          • 549

                                          #21
                                          good write up max dont forget when cleveland was only -3 favorites in game 3 but i feel boston will in either close like last time or by 8
                                          Comment
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