MexicanStallion's NBA Thread

[MexicanStallion]

ATM, Cleveland is kryptonite to MEX, i think hes 0-2 (have to check my spreadsheet) when betting on Cleveland to cover. Thus, hoping his OVER 193 will do the trick. Im tailing his pick as well and for any1 who is tailing and want to know his trends, they are as follows:

TRENDS FOR WEEK:
===================
2-0 ATS when betting on Clipper games (favourite)
1-1 ATS when betting on Raptor Games to cover
0-2 ATS when betting on Cleveland Games to cover

NOTES: Streak is 4-1 in past week on William22 PICKS OF THE DAY and is holding a 23-9 REC
STREAK is 5-0 when posting after 3:00am AEST (Sydney Time) on William22 PICKS OF THE DAY
has been recently playing alot of games that involve teams of LA Clippers/Cleveland/Toronto in past week.

Would be awesome to see a trends list for my 2010 season. Like a breakdown of the teams I have picked. Wouldn't be too terrible digging them up since I only have a handful of plays here. Thanks for sharing sir. Good information.

[MexicanStallion]

Wat u think of Denver/clips under 210?

No leans or plays at all.

I was thinking the same thing, but apparently no Mo Williams according to Wilforth thread which will be some points off the board.

In the aspect of sides I think the public will be on Lakers and overreact to Mo being out for Cleveland. Someone will need to step it up tonight for them.

GL Mex, I am with you too. Taking the Cav early @ 3, hoping it will jump before tip off.

Thank you sir. Best of luck with your Cleveland play.

[MrGambler]

Cleveland ML (x2)
Nuggets - Clippers O210 (x2)

Let's win some ca$h

Good Luck everyone

[MexicanStallion]

Cleveland ML (x2)
Nuggets - Clippers O210 (x2)

Let's win some ca$h

Good Luck everyone

Thanks for sharing your plays sir. Good luck tonight

[Pride>UFC]

Cleveland ML (x2) Nuggets - Clippers O210 (x2) Let's win some ca$h Good Luck everyone

good luck MS...lets do this!

[MexicanStallion]

good luck MS...lets do this!

Thank you sir. I only have one play tonight though. The above plays you quoted are from the poster who posted them.

[MrGambler]

Thank you sir. I only have one play tonight though. The above plays you quoted are from the poster who posted them.

Sorry Pride - wasn't my intention to mix things up....MS is right - this is my play....next time I will not "bold" the letters....sorry.

Some thoughts:
Clev is very good at home. LB James and Shaque will not make it easy for LA tonight - and - LA is also a better home team. It will be a tight game - therefor I will not play HCP.

+ 10 on Clippers is a lot. I will go for the over tonight. Both teams score a lot of points...210 should be covered!

[StyleQ]

Sorry Pride - wasn't my intention to mix things up....MS is right - this is my play....next time I will not "bold" the letters....sorry.

Some thoughts:
Clev is very good at home. LB James and Shaque will not make it easy for LA tonight - and - LA is also a better home team. It will be a tight game - therefor I will not play HCP.

+ 10 on Clippers is a lot. I will go for the over tonight. Both teams score a lot of points...210 should be covered!

While both teams score a lot of points, you can't forget that they both also played a back to back, and with the Clippers heading to the Mile High City, they make look to slow down the place into a more grind it out game, which is certainly something they are capable of doing, with two big interior presences in Camby and Kaman. Furthermore, Nuggets are comfortable in half court sets, on Iso plays with 'Melo, and the Pick and Roll with Lawson/ Billups and Nene rolling to the basket, for a weak side pass to the corner for the 3, or a Nene foul line jump shot. About 50% of their half court plays revolve around this slow methodical method of offense.

[HenPrivilege]

While both teams score a lot of points, you can't forget that they both also played a back to back, and with the Clippers heading to the Mile High City, they make look to slow down the place into a more grind it out game, which is certainly something they are capable of doing, with two big interior presences in Camby and Kaman. Furthermore, Nuggets are comfortable in half court sets, on Iso plays with 'Melo, and the Pick and Roll with Lawson/ Billups and Nene rolling to the basket, for a weak side pass to the corner for the 3, or a Nene foul line jump shot. About 50% of their half court plays revolve around this slow methodical method of offense.

This guy is sharp. Who you have tonight StyleQ?

[SwisherSweet420]

Clippers +10
Cavs vs Lakers over 193
Tell me what you think Mex

[Dunder]

That would be nice. I need to bounce back, but so far 2 losing nights in a row. Hopefully avoiding my third.

Thank you sir. Good luck with your plays tonight

I have been brave and sold some points on the Lakers/Cavs total.
Over 195.5 @ +132 (1 unit).
GL Mexi.

[AzNDooM]

I have been brave and sold some points on the Lakers/Cavs total.
Over 195.5 @ +132 (1 unit).
GL Mexi.

Dunder, thats brave gl with that. For stats purposes, letting you know that the last 10 games played between Lakers and Cleveland the under has gone 8-10. In addition, Mo Williams is out and I think Kobe still has his finger injury. Both sides rarely score a 100 points when playing each other and shooting fg% is 44.9 and 46.9 respectively when playing each other.

The only attractive thing is the O/U has been set to 192.5 which to me is quite low. It smells like an under but im hoping Mex knows something I dont know and am not going to argue against guy whos 23-9 on PICKS OF THE DAY.
Im just praying that in fourth quarter will be close and tons of fouls happen to get us the extra points needed to cover. ^^

[wacked]

Mex did you put out your over 193 before or after Mo Williams was ruled out? He is their 2nd leading scorer. Just think it's going to be harder for Cleveland to score as much without Mo.

[Dunder]

Dunder, thats brave gl with that. For stats purposes, letting you know that the last 10 games played between Lakers and Cleveland the under has gone 8-10. In addition, Mo Williams is out and I think Kobe still has his finger injury. Both sides rarely score a 100 points when playing each other and shooting fg% is 44.9 and 46.9 respectively when playing each other.

The only attractive thing is the O/U has been set to 192.5 which to me is quite low. It smells like an under but im hoping Mex knows something I dont know and am not going to argue against guy whos 23-9 on PICKS OF THE DAY.
Im just praying that in fourth quarter will be close and tons of fouls happen to get us the extra points needed to cover. ^^

Thanks for the info, I am working on a model which hints that the total here is around 199. Backtesting checks out (no fitting) so I am happy to have a small play. GL

[SHADYLANKY]

Good Luck on OV tonight. I'm not playing anything tonight. Focusing on the 13 games for tomorrow. Had one of my better nights last night. 1/2 pt on the Nugget game from being a perfect night. No complaints though. I did tail you on the Clips. Thanks for helping me decide to go with that one. Didn't agree with Boston but I think you are where I am now with them. Pretty much stay away until KG is back. Let's kill the books tomorrow.

[JohnAnthony]

Thanks for the info, I am working on a model which hints that the total here is around 199. Backtesting checks out (no fitting) so I am happy to have a small play. GL

GL Dunder. Do you have a thread for your system?

[MexicanStallion]

Thanks Gasol

[tltaylor89]

COngrats Mexi

[MexicanStallion]

I am done with this thread. I'll probably be able to bring fade material for the rest of the month if I post anything.

[NJrookie]

No !!!!!!!!!!!!!! Dont stop posting Mexican . Well , I cant tell you what to do.

But I always look forward to your picks and hope you keep posting your picks.

[NBAStats]

I am done with this thread. I'll probably be able to bring fade material for the rest of the month if I post anything.

Why would you be done with this thread? You are still ahead by a good margin YTD. I tailed you for the first time on the total in the Cavs game because my full game model hasn't yet shown it can beat full game totals. I fired and lost, but still appreciated that you posted your play.

[eidolon]

mexicanstallion was cursed by sammy, because sammy posted the play as his own...duh

[Z_Wipf]

I am done with this thread. I'll probably be able to bring fade material for the rest of the month if I post anything.

Hah Mex, come on man. Its been 3 days. Look at what you have done this whole month. Just take a night off and relax. Come back strong saturday

[Wind gara]

mex your one of the bests. please dont let one or 2 bad days bum you out. stick it out bro

[AzNDooM]

Bud would be a severe lost if you stopped posting. All good, just having a bad run ATM. But yeah ull get back on that horse again and ride the storm. Still one of the best cappers IMO.

HAHA should of given you your stats before game time, I should of stuck w/ the numbers as it was 8 out 10 in last 10 games in series. Anycase, will try to provide data to help out. Look forward to tommorrows games bud.

[daydrinkn]

Mexi, where'd like 10000 of your points go?? Loaning them out?

[MexicanStallion]

Good Luck on OV tonight. I'm not playing anything tonight. Focusing on the 13 games for tomorrow. Had one of my better nights last night. 1/2 pt on the Nugget game from being a perfect night. No complaints though. I did tail you on the Clips. Thanks for helping me decide to go with that one. Didn't agree with Boston but I think you are where I am now with them. Pretty much stay away until KG is back. Let's kill the books tomorrow.

Well I posted another loser here. Nothing surprising. Congrats on a winning night two days ago and good luck Friday

No !!!!!!!!!!!!!! Dont stop posting Mexican . Well , I cant tell you what to do.

But I always look forward to your picks and hope you keep posting your picks.

I will probably have good fade material for the rest of the month. No worries.

Why would you be done with this thread? You are still ahead by a good margin YTD. I tailed you for the first time on the total in the Cavs game because my full game model hasn't yet shown it can beat full game totals. I fired and lost, but still appreciated that you posted your play.

If I am losing then there is no point other than sharing fade material. Sorry about the loss.

mexicanstallion was cursed by sammy, because sammy posted the play as his own...duh

I don't agree with many of Sammy's plays, but he didn't curse anything. Just picked another loser was all.

Hah Mex, come on man. Its been 3 days. Look at what you have done this whole month. Just take a night off and relax. Come back strong saturday

I haven't even been close the past 3 nights. May was well post fade material to gain something back. Or just everybody find Lakerboy's new thread.

[MexicanStallion]

mex your one of the bests. please dont let one or 2 bad days bum you out. stick it out bro

If you want the best enjoy Lakerboy's thread. I have actually had 3 losing nights in a row. Dropping around 10 units or so?

Bud would be a severe lost if you stopped posting. All good, just having a bad run ATM. But yeah ull get back on that horse again and ride the storm. Still one of the best cappers IMO.

HAHA should of given you your stats before game time, I should of stuck w/ the numbers as it was 8 out 10 in last 10 games in series. Anycase, will try to provide data to help out. Look forward to tommorrows games bud.

Oh well I will fire away good fade material for Friday.

Mexi, where'd like 10000 of your points go?? Loaning them out?

Sitting in the SBR Book and some from loans out right now.

[MexicanStallion]

January 21st
Lakers/Cavaliers Over 193 (-105)
3.15 to win 3.00

January 21st
0-1(-3.15 Units)

NBA 2010
Total: 21-7-1 (+31.09 Units)

Spreads: 12-3-1 (+19.19 Units)
Totals: 9-4 (+11.90 Units)

[tnnt]

you're good guy MS, yah replied to every single thing people post. I hope you get back to your winning way tomorow bro. Best of luck bro.

[MexicanStallion]

January 22nd
Bucks +7.5 (-101)
5.05 to win 5.00
Thunder/Grizzlies Under 204.5 (-105)
4.20 to win 4.00
Lakers -5.5 (-105)
3.15 to win 3.00
Bulls/Suns Under 219.5 (-101)
4.04 to win 4.00
Warriors -7 (-105)
2.10 to win 2.00

[MexicanStallion]

Fade Away

[kato]

i like your card a lot...BOL

[jspectyper]

MS what do you think about Cha/Atl over 190?

[MexicanStallion]

i like your card a lot...BOL

Thank you sir. See what happens tonight. It has been a lousy 3 days of losing.

MS what do you think about Cha/Atl over 190?

If I have no play or lean on the game then I have nothing.