Just Wondering About Going Against Public Money

[sportsguy4]

Me being a newbie, im sure most of you are already aware of public money and it affecting the lines but what I noticed last night was both games that had over 60% public money on the points spread lost. Im wondering is this a common trend?

If so it looks like Min -1.5, NJ +9, and NO -5 are the best picks, with over 70% on the other teams.

Am I completely wrong by using this type of logic?

[2daBank]

no your not completely wrong. its always part of my process not the above all determining factor. its a helpful tool but its just that a tool.
for example the nj gm there a lot more factors you should look at like the fact when a team comes off a long road trip w/o getting a day off b4 there next home gm is usually a low % bet. something i very rarely go against not that i could play utah in this spot as they have proven to be a terrible road team. i also believe nj has a injury or 2 and you may want to check if harris is suspended for the gm after throwing that punch last night

[sportsguy4]

Thanks for the info, NJ isn't necessarily a play, but I really like the T-Wolves. They started out +1, and are now -1.5 yet 70% is coming in on LAC. To me that seems off, that so much money is coming in on LA, but the line is moving towards Min. T-Wolves might be my play of the night

[2daBank]

i like min as well would have liked them better if they didnt win in utah the other night but they have been playing solid ball for the most part since love returned to the lineup. just hope that instead of being content with the win in utah that they are hungry for more

[Wilforth]

Apart from NO -5, the other 2 are very good bets:

NJ +9
Minn -1.5