Anthony and Billups out
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Plus Iverson wants a good showingComment -
lets go 76ers..need to make up for the stupid play i made on the cavs/bcats under
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Im all over the 76ers, GL boys!Comment -
I'm trying to learn by watching your picks. The site I looked at had 82% of the public on Denver so I figured 76'ers would be the pick.
What are some other main factors to look at when analyzing this game?
For instance, why is this a 3X'er for you. There was pretty much no line movement at all.
Just curious. I appreciate your picks but would like to know the method to your madness. At least some basics anyway.
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Guys get on the Jets -9.5 .Comment -
LB who's not playing in the bengals game?Comment -
Sorry Lb have to fade you on the jets! Sorry please foregive me
But thanks for the 2 winners in basketball and hopefully 3 with phily!
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Laker boy bro winning streak extended to 8 ...sounds good man...Great call on the Bobs +11...defense did the trick...cheers again...send me a message if you have any thoughts on the totals in the laker mavs game...i like the over but i only do 2 writeups,so i wont make a call on that..!Comment -
from what i see, knowing where everybody is putting there money helps explain line movement and why vegas is setting the line the way they are...could be wrong but that's my read on itComment -
I think it has to do with betting against the public because the presumption is that the public tends to be wrong more often than right. At least thats what I've heard.Comment -
if 70% of the public is going with team A ..the line will usually reflect it by moving in favor of team BComment -
TheLock Pm'd me a good explanation, and Ricankid, what you're saying makes sense and i think you're right.
But the way Gio interpreted it is what i disagree with. If you're just looking at the % and saying "ok, i'm going to bet against the public because they're usually wrong". That's what i thought the guys were saying earlier when they were talking about %'s, and that is what doesn't make any sense to me.Comment -
yeah i dont think it is strictly "bet against the public because they're usually wrong"..but rather a combination of the teams playing, which way the public is betting, what the line is, and which way the line is movingComment -
The numbers shown reflect the number of wagers placed (not the dollar value of them) so if only 30% of the bets are being placed on one side, the implication is that those bets are on average larger than the bets placed on the 70% side (as the books try to balance the money placed on each side), or that the books are happy with the imbalance in wagers, as they have a lean towards the 30% team covering.Comment -
SBR odds had it at 63%. Other sites had different numbers. I have heard that the % on sbr is from 5 dimes only. Not sure if that is true or not. Regardless, there are a number of different sites offering this information for free. The info is delayed and the sample size is limited. You cannot totally rely on this IMO. Especially by just looking at sbrodds.com. If you want to use these free sites you need to look at atleast a couple of them to see if they match up. To get the most accurate up to date info you have to pay for a subscription.Comment -
he was on Cavs but did make the thread saying keep an eye out on Charlotte. Not sure why he ended up switching sidesComment -
Good looking out fellas. Appreciate your explanations.Comment -
New York Knickerbockers -9.5 (2x)
- no one thought that would hit
Cleveland Cavaliers(1x)- faded my own analsysis
Toronto Raptors +3.5(1x)- easiest call of the night
Very small for me boys today. Taking it easy for the nighta fter yesterday. Yes i am fading the cats play.
Lesson learned on fading own playsComment -
its ok lb, still 2-1. I was on bobcats and thought you were too based on your thread earlier. overall great week keep it up. Mavs should cover tonight, artest still out lakers like to squeak by the competition. whats your take?Comment
