Who wants my NBA plays?

[t-wizzle]

Anthony and Billups out

[lakerboy]

Plus Iverson wants a good showing

[TheLock]

This doesn't mean much of anything IMO. Line moved in the correct direction. Plus the number I saw was 52% on cleveland.

What numbers are you looking at?

It was 63% on CLE.

[ricankid]

lets go 76ers..need to make up for the stupid play i made on the cavs/bcats under

[lakerboy]

What numbers are you looking at?

It was 63% on CLE.

YEs on SBR odds but that was from 11am. Other sites had the public on Charlotte.

[Tree Rollins]

What numbers are you looking at?

It was 63% on CLE.

I don't understand why it matters what % of people bet on each team. Do you guys actually use that information to help make your bet?

[TheLock]

I don't understand why it matters what % of people bet on each team. Do you guys actually use that information to help make your bet?

Yes. Definitely yes.

[lakerboy]

I don't understand why it matters what % of people bet on each team. Do you guys actually use that information to help make your bet?

IT is vital to know who is betting on what.

[SaffaCappa]

Im all over the 76ers, GL boys!

[TheLock]

I don't think that's what that guy was implying.


Anyway, I just punched BOBCATS +11.5. I like the line movement and I'm pretty sure LB will be on it also.

Looks like your other two are doing very well. Have to root against you in the Bobcat game. Please, no fvcking OT

[dubv1987]

IT is vital to know who is betting on what.

I'm trying to learn by watching your picks. The site I looked at had 82% of the public on Denver so I figured 76'ers would be the pick.

What are some other main factors to look at when analyzing this game?

For instance, why is this a 3X'er for you. There was pretty much no line movement at all.

Just curious. I appreciate your picks but would like to know the method to your madness. At least some basics anyway.

[lakerboy]

Guys get on the Jets -9.5 .

[masr]

Guys get on the Jets -9.5 .

on it
any opinions on the Laker game tonight?

[ricankid]

LB who's not playing in the bengals game?

[Gio21]

Sorry Lb have to fade you on the jets! Sorry please foregive me But thanks for the 2 winners in basketball and hopefully 3 with phily!

[Tree Rollins]

IT is vital to know who is betting on what.

Knowing the % of people taking a certain team doesn't tell you who is betting on the game, but yeah, it does tell you what they are betting.
But why is that important? Obviously i'm missing something because you are better at picking games then i am.

[Laker_crazy]

Laker boy bro winning streak extended to 8 ...sounds good man...Great call on the Bobs +11...defense did the trick...cheers again...send me a message if you have any thoughts on the totals in the laker mavs game...i like the over but i only do 2 writeups,so i wont make a call on that..!

[ricankid]

from what i see, knowing where everybody is putting there money helps explain line movement and why vegas is setting the line the way they are...could be wrong but that's my read on it

[Gio21]

I think it has to do with betting against the public because the presumption is that the public tends to be wrong more often than right. At least thats what I've heard.

[ricankid]

if 70% of the public is going with team A ..the line will usually reflect it by moving in favor of team B

[Tree Rollins]

TheLock Pm'd me a good explanation, and Ricankid, what you're saying makes sense and i think you're right.
But the way Gio interpreted it is what i disagree with. If you're just looking at the % and saying "ok, i'm going to bet against the public because they're usually wrong". That's what i thought the guys were saying earlier when they were talking about %'s, and that is what doesn't make any sense to me.

[ricankid]

yeah i dont think it is strictly "bet against the public because they're usually wrong"..but rather a combination of the teams playing, which way the public is betting, what the line is, and which way the line is moving

[suicidekings]

Knowing the % of people taking a certain team doesn't tell you who is betting on the game, but yeah, it does tell you what they are betting.
But why is that important? Obviously i'm missing something because you are better at picking games then i am.

The numbers shown reflect the number of wagers placed (not the dollar value of them) so if only 30% of the bets are being placed on one side, the implication is that those bets are on average larger than the bets placed on the 70% side (as the books try to balance the money placed on each side), or that the books are happy with the imbalance in wagers, as they have a lean towards the 30% team covering.

[S.K.M.]

What numbers are you looking at?

It was 63% on CLE.

SBR odds had it at 63%. Other sites had different numbers. I have heard that the % on sbr is from 5 dimes only. Not sure if that is true or not. Regardless, there are a number of different sites offering this information for free. The info is delayed and the sample size is limited. You cannot totally rely on this IMO. Especially by just looking at sbrodds.com. If you want to use these free sites you need to look at atleast a couple of them to see if they match up. To get the most accurate up to date info you have to pay for a subscription.

[NBAmagic]

Laker boy bro winning streak extended to 8 ...sounds good man...Great call on the Bobs +11...defense did the trick...cheers again...send me a message if you have any thoughts on the totals in the laker mavs game...i like the over but i only do 2 writeups,so i wont make a call on that..!

Now your being sarcastic? You know LB was on Cavs HC

[Rixsaw]

Sorry Lb have to fade you on the jets! Sorry please foregive me But thanks for the 2 winners in basketball and hopefully 3 with phily!

You are banished to the darkest room of the facility

[pattymayo]

he was on Cavs but did make the thread saying keep an eye out on Charlotte. Not sure why he ended up switching sides

[Scotlandspunter]

Guys get on the Jets -9.5 .

Im waiting on the undr 33.5 for a double with the Raiders. 24-7 Jets would be nice then!!

[Tree Rollins]

Good looking out fellas. Appreciate your explanations.

[lakerboy]

he was on Cavs but did make the thread saying keep an eye out on Charlotte. Not sure why he ended up switching sides

one of those things you dont do often patty. ruined a perfect card

[lakerboy]

New York Knickerbockers -9.5 (2x)- no one thought that would hit

Cleveland Cavaliers(1x)- faded my own analsysis

Toronto Raptors +3.5(1x)- easiest call of the night


Very small for me boys today. Taking it easy for the nighta fter yesterday. Yes i am fading the cats play.

Lesson learned on fading own plays

[og4667]

its ok lb, still 2-1. I was on bobcats and thought you were too based on your thread earlier. overall great week keep it up. Mavs should cover tonight, artest still out lakers like to squeak by the competition. whats your take?

[newjerseydevils]

Now your being sarcastic? You know LB was on Cavs HC

no he doesnt actually.......i read their conversation on another post.....he thought lb was on bobcats......cut him some slack lol

[S.K.M.]

yeah i dont think it is strictly "bet against the public because they're usually wrong"..but rather a combination of the teams playing, which way the public is betting, what the line is, and which way the line is moving

Yes a combination of a lot of things. I also use instincts and gut feelings. In my opinion LB you are very good at analyzing the lines but you also have great gut instincts.

[The Wiz]

Lesson learned on fading own plays

sent ya a message.