Portland 2-8 ATS without Outlaw

lakerboy · 12-07-09, 02:37 PM

JamesBrown · 12-07-09, 02:42 PM

I also like the Knicks chances tonight...my only NBA play this evening. GL!

lakerboy · 12-07-09, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by JamesBrown

I also like the Knicks chances tonight...my only NBA play this evening. GL!

jdhender · 12-07-09, 03:18 PM

they better come to play tonight !

JamesBrown · 12-07-09, 03:21 PM

Also, 79% on Portland at the moment yet the line goes from +4 to +3.5. I like that.

Diesel79 · 12-07-09, 03:24 PM

Knicks ML

BrownTown · 12-07-09, 03:51 PM

jdhender · 12-07-09, 04:28 PM

playing a small parlay, nice payout, decent shot at hitting. Knicks ML x Spurs ML x Ravens ML

HoulihansTX · 12-07-09, 04:44 PM

Great analysis.

I agree, and Portland should be followed closely on this road trip to see if they lack continuity w/ McMillian not being on the bench for the duration of the trip.

pattymayo · 12-07-09, 05:09 PM

SBRs lines has 68% on Portland. I like the Knicks here too, but who makes up this 68%? Do they not read injury reports .. ?

HoulihansTX · 12-07-09, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

SBRs lines has 68% on Portland. I like the Knicks here too, but who makes up this 68%? Do they not read injury reports .. ?

Cheap price on Portland. I do not blame them, but I have Knicks ML.

JamesBrown · 12-07-09, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

SBRs lines has 68% on Portland. I like the Knicks here too, but who makes up this 68%? Do they not read injury reports .. ?

Bet Tracker now shows 76% on the Blazers...perhaps it's because NYK is on a back to back???

lakerboy · 12-07-09, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

SBRs lines has 68% on Portland. I like the Knicks here too, but who makes up this 68%? Do they not read injury reports .. ?

Those are form 5Dimes consensus only.

lakerboy · 12-07-09, 05:22 PM

Isnt it a A bet?

jdhender · 12-07-09, 05:39 PM

pretty sure it is

Sportslover · 12-07-09, 06:02 PM

I've got New York +10 as part of a 3 team NBA parlay along with Under 224 in the Den vs Phi match and Under 210 in the San vs Uta match.

Capybara · 12-07-09, 06:15 PM

Anyone think the back-to-back games hurts Knick's chances or no?

mundane · 12-07-09, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Anyone think the back-to-back games hurts Knick's chances or no?

no! young studs playing to pad their stats!

pattymayo · 12-07-09, 06:26 PM

I don't think being on a home B2B is that detrimental to any team. No traveling and they played at noon yesterday. Of course the Knicks are 0-5 this year on 0 days rest.. but i'm confident they cover if not win tonight

jdhender · 12-07-09, 06:27 PM

The Knicks are unpredictable as it is, the back to back only adds to that

pokernut9999 · 12-07-09, 06:32 PM

Knicks first half for me .

mundane · 12-07-09, 06:32 PM

im taking knicks coz portland cant find any offensive groove at all! .. and now they dont have their coach!

suicidekings · 12-07-09, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Isnt it a A bet?

Line movement and %s are going to be distorted today on the GSW & POR games, as they are both JM (A) bets.

They're inviting as much Blazer money as possible, cutting the line down to POR -3 (-103), which is equivalent to POR -4 (+110), despite 73% on POR, knowing that the Blazers are depleted, but people will still buy the points anyways. Pushing it down to a pk is dangerous though for them, in case the Blazers pull off a tight win.

Golden State's line is essentially unchanged, but they bumped the line for the extra vig. GSW +7.5 (-113) is being offered, which is roughly equivalent to GSW +7 (-104), the original line, but you buy the points against the new line. So in both games, they're cheating the line in the direction they know that the JM bettors are going to be going, adding a little extra vig to the line. They just can't be as loose with the blazers because there's more uncertainty in that game, and a tighter line.

As it stands, JM buys would be (on Pinnacle):

POR -3 (-103) to POR pk (-185)
GSW +7.5 (-113) to GSW +10.5 (-195)

Think both of these teams are going to win? Not likely. That's a lot of juice for the books tonight.

lakerboy · 12-07-09, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by mundane

im taking knicks coz portland cant find any offensive groove at all! .. and now they dont have their coach!

exactly he will be telling the interimcoach every 2 seconds to call timeout from his iphone- fukkin nate"panic" macmillan

pokernut9999 · 12-07-09, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Knicks first half for me .

Maybe 1st quarter would be better.

pokernut9999 · 12-07-09, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Knicks first half for me .

Winner

pokernut9999 · 12-07-09, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Maybe 1st quarter would be better.

Winner

jjgold · 12-07-09, 09:16 PM

CUscott · 12-07-09, 10:01 PM

Good call, I was on Portland. Wish I read this beforehand

jdhender · 12-07-09, 10:16 PM

knickerbockers

StraitShooter · 12-07-09, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by jdhender

Portland is now 2-8 ATS without Outlaw and clearly struggling.

In my opinion Portland's superior talent off the bench and front court depth were two MAJOR contributors to their early success. With players like Fernandez (world-class competitor), Outlaw (superior athlete, energy, 4th quarter contributor) and Pryzbilla (low-post defense, shot-blocking)coming off the bench you gain a great combination of playmaking ability, energy, scoring and defense. These are the types of players that can that win games and put a team over the top, especially on the ROAD.

Now, in addition Greg Oden is out indefinitely and Fernandez is questionable for tonight. Not a bad spot for a Knicks team getting points at home, who matches up well and is gaining confidence.