Fading Morrison 2K10

[xxdjstriderxx]

Just for fun. Here are the remaining Morrison plays taken from the other thread. I will take all the home teams ATS without buying any points. Most, if not all wagers will be -110. Even if an A or B bet wins, I will continue to fade the away team for the remainder of their road trips. All lines will be from Pinnacle. Just curious to see what we end up with at the end of the season.

November

07- Denver @ Milwaukee
09- Utah @ Boston @ Philadelphia
11- Golden State @ Indiana @ New York @ Milwaukee
13- Toronto @ La Clippers @ Phoenix @ Denver
17- Chicago @ Sacramento @ LA Lakers @ Denver
17- Detroit @ LA Lakers @Portland @ Utah
21- Milwaukee @ Memphis @ San Antonio @ New Orleans
24- New Jersey @ Denver @ Portland @ Sacramento
24- New York @ LA Lakers @ Sacramento @ Denver
29- Philadelphia @ San Antonio @ Dallas @ Oklahoma City
29- Phoenix @ Toronto @ New York @ Cleveland
30- Indiana @ Golden State @ Sacramento @ Utah


December

01- Miami @ Portland @ Denver @ LA Lakers
05- Orlando @ Golden State @ LA Clippers @ Utah
07- Denver @ Philadelphia @ Charlotte @ Detroit
07- Portland @ New York @ Indiana @ Cleveland
09- Golden State @ New Jersey @ Chicago @ Detroit
14- Washington @ LA Clippers @ Sacramento @ Golden State
15- Detroit @ Houston @ New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
15- LA Lakers @ Chicago @ Milwaukee @ New Jersey
16- Utah @ New Jersey @ Atlanta @ Charlotte
20- Cleveland @ Dallas @ Phoenix @ Sacramento
23- Houston @ Orlando @ New Jersey @ Cleveland
26- Philadelphia @ Utah @ Portland @ Sacramento
27- Boston @ LA Clippers @ Golden State @ Phoenix



January

08- Cleveland @ Denver @ Portland @ Golden State
08- Miami @ Phoenix @ LA Clippers @ Utah
10- Milwaukee @ LA Lakers @ Phoenix @ Portland
12- Orlando @ Sacramento @ Denver @ Portland
13- Miami @ Golden State @ Houston @ Oklahoma City
13- Phoenix @ Indiana @ Atlanta @ Charlotte
15- Milwaukee @ Golden State @ Utah @ Houston
15- Sacramento @ Philadelphia @ Washington @ Charlotte
17- Dallas @ Toronto @ Boston @ Washington
18- Chicago @ Golden State @ LA Clippers @ Phoenix
18- Portland @ Washington @ Philadelphia @ Boston
18- New Jersey @ LA Clippers @ Phoenix @ Golden State
20- Sacramento @ Atlanta @ Orlando @ Miami
21- LA Lakers @ Cleveland @ New York @ Toronto
23- Chicago @ Houston @ San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
23- Minnesota @ Milwaukee @ New York @ Cleveland
24- LA Clipers @ Washington @ Boston @ New Jersey
25- Charlotte @ Denver @ Phoenix @ Golden State
26- LA Lakers @ Washington @ Indiana @ Philadelphia
31- LA Clipers @ Cleveland @ Chicago @ Atlanta


February

07- Sacramento @ Toronto @ New York @ Detriot
10- Boston @ New Orleans @ Sacramento @ LA Lakers
17- Atlanta @ LA Clippers @ Phoenix @ Golden State
17- San Antonio @ Indiana @ Philadelphia @ Detriot
19- Indiana @ New Orleans @ Houston @ Dallas
22- Charotte @ LA Clippers @ Utah @ Memphis
23- Detroit @ Sacramento @ LA Clippers @ Denver
23- Philadelphia @ Golden State @ Phoenix @ LA Lakers
23- Portland @ New Jersey @ Toronto @ Chicago


March

02- Golden State @ Miami @ Orlando @ Atlanta
02- Indiana @ LA Lakers @ Portland @ Denver
04- LA Lakers @ Miami @ Charlotte @ Orlando
08- New Jersey @ Memphis @ Dallas @ Oklahoma City
09- LA Clipers @ Orlando @ Miami @ Charlotte
09- Utah @ Chicago @ Detroit @ Milwaukee
09- Toronto @ LA Lakers @ Sacramento @ Golden State
10- New York @ San Antonio @ Memphis @ Dallas
15- Washington @ Utah @ Denver @ Portland
17- Milwaukee @ LA Clippers @ Sacramento @ Denver
17- Oklahoma City @ Charlotte @ Toronto @ Indiana
19- Boston @ Houston @ Dallas @ Utah
23- Denver @ New York @ Boston @ Toronto
24- Sacramento @ New Jersey @ Boston @ Cleveland
24- Utah @ Toronto @ Indiana @ Washington
26- New York @ Phoenix @ Utah @ Portland
30- Phoenix @ Chicago @ New Jersey @ Detriot

[twincities77]

Thank you for doing this, I was contemplating the same thing myself.

[xxdjstriderxx]

11/11/09
Milwaukee +4.5
Boston -11.5
Indiana -5

ytd 0-0-0

[HoulihansTX]

You would have been buried if you started this at the beginning of the season.
The first four hit, then Utah coughed up the cover @ knicks.

Gl and I bet this concept is profitable.

[xxdjstriderxx]

You would have been buried if you started this at the beginning of the season.
The first four hit, then Utah coughed up the cover @ knicks.

Gl and I bet this concept is profitable.

wow really? i know he hit the first couple of A bets but i didnt follow through with the rest of the series, im too lazy to go and backtrack the games i missed but if someone wants to do it, they are more than welcome to and i will update the ytd accordingly

[HoulihansTX]

4 A Bets Hit(Hawks 11/1, Nuggs 11/3, Suns 11/3, Raptors 11/6)
1 A Bet Loss(Jazz 11/9)

Jazz are currently on the B Bet @Boston

Warriors are currently on the A Bet @Pacers

[VegasPlayer]

According to his e-mail last night, Morrison is claiming 5 "A" wins.

[xxdjstriderxx]

thanks for the info guys but i would actually need the w-l record for ALL the listed games. since i would be playing all the home teams ATS.

i think its too confusing to backtrack, so we will just start from what we have now.

[HoulihansTX]

According to his e-mail last night, Morrison is claiming 5 "A" wins.

He must not have watched to Jazz game to the end. -5.5 to -4.5 Favorites, and they won 95-93. So they didnt cover any spread.

He must be like any other tout... a professional liar.

[twincities77]

I have seen a few quotes across these boards that seem to paint Morrison as a liar regarding his system and its record.

[keel44]

It depends what line you got for the Jazz. It opened at -4.5 so buying the 3 points made it -1.5. It would be an A bet winner, but some people used the -6 line which is a loss. You could go opposite now and take the Celtics or eat the loss, but OFFICIALLY it was a winner.

[HoulihansTX]

I have seen a few quotes across these boards that seem to paint Morrison as a liar regarding his system and its record.

The Majority of Touts are. Rare quality amongst them is high character.

I know their are a few out there who have integrity, so dont waste time telling me about it.

[HoulihansTX]

It depends what line you got for the Jazz. It opened at -4.5 so buying the 3 points made it -1.5. It would be an A bet winner, but some people used the -6 line which is a loss. You could go opposite now and take the Celtics or eat the loss, but OFFICIALLY it was a winner.

Ok so you have to buy points? What a crock of shit. This guy is right, but buying points is such a waste of time. Just pick winners.

[lakerboy]

Actually the books are on top of this shit. Last night I told my wife watch the bulls win by 1. We know about the call. From what I calculate the books expect the pacers to win by 9. The celts to win by 15 and the bucks to win by 1. Let's see what happens tonite. I am all over the pacers tonite. It is the best play from the early games.

[netinfo]

"

[xxdjstriderxx]

thanks for the info netinfo! lol i will update the ytd

[xxdjstriderxx]

11/11/09
Milwaukee +4.5
Boston -11.5
Indiana -5

ytd 7-8-0

[hps722]

actually 5-8 to date if you count utah's 0-1 so far on their series.

great idea

[hps722]

some people have played denver as a second series on their 6 game trip. They havent covered either of games 4 or 5

[netinfo]

There is a typo in my calculation, it should be 8-5. Therefore, fading JM ATS ytd should be 5-8

Also, if you are going to add the second series of the Denver road trip against Atlanta, Chicago, and Milwaukee (which is listed in the list as a play, but was not mailed out by JM as a play, and not part of his series record), then the first two games were both losses ATS. Therefore, fading JM ATS ytd should be 7-8.

So, if you go by what JM emails out, you should should start the fade record at 5-8, and go from there (dropping your Milwaukee play), but if you want to go strictly by what the list has, then include the Milwaukee play, and start right now the record at 7-8.

netinfo

[xxdjstriderxx]

we'll go with the list. cant trust the JM emails. because u know if denver covered against atlanta or chicago he would have mailed it out as a play obv

7-8 it is

[bolekblues]

Buying 3 points all series JM and JM reverse have been wins so far. Also, buying 3 points (actually 2 as well, but not necessarily ATS) produced some hefty profit in 2007-08 (have not yet backtested the last season)

[JT The Chaser]

Guys.... I covered the Utah a bet. I had minus 1 buying three. Got lucky but I still won. Don't hate the system guys just because you were to slow to get the opening line on a fav...

[netinfo]

we'll go with the list. cant trust the JM emails. because u know if denver covered against atlanta or chicago he would have mailed it out as a play obv

Since JM system requires as one of its rules the buying of at least 2 points (typically 3 points is what the system calls for), then Denver did actually cover, as per system rules, against the Chicago game, but it did not cover ATS.

You should go head and start from 7-8, and keep track of the plays on the list, but just so you know, according to system rules, some of those plays might not technically be JM system plays in the future if certain things occur:

1. If the road team has the best road record.
2. If the road team has the worst road record.
3. If the road team has a key injury, that is, a 15+ point per game player.

So, sometimes, JM will not email plays on the list because they don't fit the filters of the system.

netinfo

[Pap45murF]

I faded JM during the baseball season since it's more likely the better team will win 1 of 3 of the series than the team that was wiped last time. Ended up being more profitable than JM, but too minimal payoff and too much waiting around. It's much easier to just do some handicapping homework and pick 55-60% winners than to be holding your breath to see if the team you never would've picked in the first place can save your 5x C bet.

[roguewager]

I have seen on another website an anti-JM NBA thread: Don't buy any pts, chase the home team against JM's road team. There have been a couple B bets, one C bet. Series record is 6-0. Lower juice thru the chase -110 instead of -170 to -190.







l

[netinfo]

I have seen on another website an anti-JM NBA thread: Don't buy any pts, chase the home team against JM's road team. There have been a couple B bets, one C bet. Series record is 6-0. Lower juice thru the chase -110 instead of -170 to -190.

Does this include the first Atlanta series? Atlanta went 3-0 ATS. If one took the L.A. Lakers, Portland, and Sacramento as the home teams against Atlanta the road team, and did so ATS, then one would have had the first series C bet loss. This is risky.

netinfo

[netinfo]

I faded JM during the baseball season since it's more likely the better team will win 1 of 3 of the series than the team that was wiped last time. Ended up being more profitable than JM, but too minimal payoff and too much waiting around. It's much easier to just do some handicapping homework and pick 55-60% winners than to be holding your breath to see if the team you never would've picked in the first place can save your 5x C bet.

JM baseball is a different system, with different rules.

netinfo

[johncrud]

2-0 baby with the fade!!!

actually i might take advantage on the b and c plays.. muhahahah

while people are spending loads of unit on their b and c, i am spending a few on it.

[roguewager]

I did not back check this til now. In the other blog the person had a line of lakers -7 1/2(which he declared a win. I saw a closing line of 8 1/2. I'm not sure of the opening line. Sorry

[netinfo]

I did not back check this til now. In the other blog the person had a line of lakers -7 1/2(which he declared a win. I saw a closing line of 8 1/2. I'm not sure of the opening line. Sorry

Sbrodds.com, for the Nov. 1 game, shows the opening line at -6, so that guy is right that he covered and won if he took it at -7.5.

netinfo

[roguewager]

Sbrodds.com, for the Nov. 1 game, shows the opening line at -6, so that guy is right that he covered and won if he took it at -7.5.

netinfo

I guess its the play favorites early. Although by the end of the last NBA season i was playing JM's picks (underdog or fav) as early as possible since the spreads always went against JM's picks because of so many JM players

[twincities77]

Guys.... I covered the Utah a bet. I had minus 1 buying three. Got lucky but I still won. Don't hate the system guys just because you were to slow to get the opening line on a fav...

I just hate the system because I have a feeling that Mr. Morrison chooses whichever line suits his system (after the fact).

[xxdjstriderxx]

3-0 today

ytd 10-8-0

[Vincepcion]

can someone backtest this? would be interesting