NBA Bets: 11/6

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  • twincities77
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-07-09
    • 716

    #1
    NBA Bets: 11/6
    Big card tonight:

    O/U

    SA/Por: U185
    Mem/LAL: O206
    LAC/GS: O217
    Det/Orl: U191.5
    NJ/Phi: O194


    ATS (all plays had RLM in favor of my bet; or in Mem/LAL case, no line movement despite much more volume on the Lakers)

    NY +8.5 vs. Cle: Cleveland's still without Delonte West, which appears to be more significant than folks may have thought. Cleveland is still one of the most public teams in the NBA, although the current negative publicity does not appear to be affecting the line. This is also Cleveland's third game in four nights. The Knicks come in after losing an embarrassing home game to Indiana several nights ago. They were also 0-4 against Cleveland SU last year; so they'll likely be looking to whip up some revenge and kick Cleveland while they're relatively down.

    Cha +2.5 vs. Atl: Similar spot as the Knicks. Atlanta comes in on their third game in four nights and appear better than their team likely is, based on early projections. Atlanta finishes of a road trip here after travelling across the country for the game. Cha is actually 2-0 at home, despite their apparently anemic offense. Cha was 1-3 last year SU against Atl, with all the games staying close.

    Mia -1 vs. Den: Both teams come in for their third in four nights. The Nuggets have already started to turn heads with their start this year. They are coming off two blowout wins, over injury ravaged and already poor Indiana and New Jersey. Denver comes into this game having won 8 in a row against Miami. On the other side Miami has one of the better defensive squads in the NBA and they're likely to play very motivated at home, particularly to end Denver's undefeated record and their winning streak against the Heat.

    Mem +10 at LAL: Memphis comes in after losing three straight. Memphis also may have the worst defense in the NBA. They were swept in three games last year by the Lakers. They looked to be primed for a bounce back effort against the Lakers tonight with revenge on the mind against a somewhat vulnerable Lakers team. The Lakers come in with an impressive SU record, however continue to fail to cover ATS. They are also coming in for their third game in four nights. They are the most public team in the NBA at the moment, imo, and this spread again is too high. This is particularly true considering both Pau Gasol (very underrated) and Andrew Bynum both appear out for tonight's game. I expect what has become the typical lackluster defensive effort for the Lakers, enough to keep the other team close, but just enough for the Lakers to win. This is part of the reason why I like the Over for this game as well.

    Best of luck all. Fade away as usual.
  • Brakon00
    Restricted User
    • 10-27-09
    • 1536

    #2
    None of your line picks are gonna win bro...sorry.....Im a huge lakers fan and I know the lakers inside and out and I have seen every laker game for the last 8 years...have never missed one.....this memphis team is way overrated!!!! Lakers are gonna win by double digits at home.....they shoulda beat the hawks by 10+ ......lakers bench players let the hawks hit 3 shots in last minute to be down by 8....shoulda been a 12-15 point win...which woulda affected your pick...and u gotta realize this.... I love your o/u pick for under in portland and over in lakers game....those both will win..i got those 2 too.....I'm not too sure about your orlando under pick...191.5 is very low for orlando at home.....orlando has gone over last 3 out of 4 vs. detroit at home..plus orlando i think has had 2 straight overs at home......correct me if im wrong but doesnt orlando score on avg. over 105 at home???? how can u take Under 191.5 in this game?? makes no sense....clue me in on your reason for under 191.5 in orlando game tonight?
    Comment
    • Brakon00
      Restricted User
      • 10-27-09
      • 1536

      #3
      i apoligize..i meant 1 out of your 4 r gonna win...miami pick should win...
      Comment
      • williams22
        Restricted User
        • 09-19-08
        • 6134

        #4
        Delonte is playing and has been for a few games, just FYI.
        Comment
        • twincities77
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-07-09
          • 716

          #5
          Thanks for the info williams, I'll have to check my sources again.
          Comment
          • twincities77
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-07-09
            • 716

            #6
            To Brakon, the reason I played the under is Detroit doesn't have much of an offense (and a decent defense), but more importantly they play really slow paced basketball. Orlando also plays slower than average. Orlando's offense is strong, it's just that I don't expect them to get as many chances to show it as they would against in a faster paced game.
            Comment
            • cmill2290
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-29-09
              • 2

              #7
              I'm with you on the GSW/LAC Over, Charlotte (Going to win straight up against the hawks) and NY covering the points against clevland. The other picks I'm not playing like Mia/Den I feel is a complete toss up... if i had to choose it would be Denver. GL on everything tho
              Comment
              • twincities77
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-07-09
                • 716

                #8
                Thank you cmill, good luck to you as well.
                Comment
                • twincities77
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-07-09
                  • 716

                  #9
                  Bleh, 2-2 ATS (.500 again) and 2-3 O/U; gotta keep working, I feel pretty good about the picks today though. One 1/2 point loss, the NJ/Phi game had a bunch of missed free throws and still chances in the end to cover over.
                  Comment
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