BrandonLaz's 10/28 Plays

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  • BrandonLaz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-18-08
    • 855

    #1
    BrandonLaz's 10/28 Plays
    6 Plays on the card for me today.

    Cleveland -6 (3u) = They killed last year after a loss especially when it was a home loss. I expect tonight to be no different.

    Grizzlies +115 (3u) = When a line is at +2 or less I generally go on the ML. The interesting thing about this game is that 90% of the public is on the Pistons and the line goes into the Pistons favor. You almost have to lay money on the Grizzlies when that happened.


    Suns -3 (3u) = The Clippers are playing b2b and really showed their lack of poise down the stretch. These are not the Suns of old, but they are still better than the Clippers. This game should be a 7+ point win for Phoenix.

    Charlotte +10 (2u) = The Bobcats are a solid team that likes to play defense. Any team that likes to play defense and plays hard through 4 quarters I will take them when given double digit points.

    Miami Heat -5 (1u) = I loved this play, but so does most of the public. It is one to be cautious of for that reason alone. I feel that Beasley will be out to prove he deserves to be the starter and will keep the starters fired up while Haslem coming off the bench will have the same effect.

    Warriors -6.5 (1u) = Houston off b2b games today. I am playing this one lighter than originally planned. Houston rested the starters for most of the second half, and their bench looks to be pretty solid. I still think the Warriors are an improved team and should win this game, but I don't like it as much as I did.
  • ragiche
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-08
    • 3110

    #2
    Nice write picks and write ups.Keep up the good work .
    Comment
    • n1co35
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-13-09
      • 471

      #3
      this card looks solid.

      BOL.
      Comment
      • JIMBOK
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-13-09
        • 48

        #4
        98% is on memphis ML i would lay off that one
        Comment
        • BrandonLaz
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-18-08
          • 855

          #5
          Originally posted by JIMBOK
          98% is on memphis ML i would lay off that one
          yea 90% is on Detroit Spread though. I am not going to take +2 on Memphis as in that situation I have not hit the ML and the team actually covered such a small percentage of the time that it is not even worth it.
          Comment
          • JIMBOK
            SBR Rookie
            • 09-13-09
            • 48

            #6
            im saying lang makes no sense with his Reverse line movement reasoning. only stupid people are taking memphis with the points. so that being said the side percentage and line movement should NOT be a deciding factor when making this bet. In fact when the spread is so low The ML can actually move the spread hence the reverse line move.

            The line move is his only reasoning therefore its not a good play.

            Hope you understand
            Comment
            • BrandonLaz
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-18-08
              • 855

              #7
              That is cool I get you on that one. I do not listen to Lang though or any other service and base it off of my own thinking. Plus the fact that I think Memphis is much better this year than people are giving them credit for and have them on the over on some win totals at multiple books.
              Comment
              • BrandonLaz
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-18-08
                • 855

                #8
                Day 2 of picks has been a rough one. I am adding another play on Denver Nuggets -5 as a good friend of mine convinced me it is a very strong play. I am still not completely convinced so I am only doing a small 1u wager on it.
                Comment
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