Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

[blanc0]

hmm
looks like i can tease the over/under on the same game too
3 team 7 point teaser @ -120
bulls +9.5
nuggets +15
bulls spurs under 202

seems pretty manageable to me
any opinions ?

[haserfauld]

seems like a reasonable bet to me. but i hate o/u...can you tie into a line for tomorrow or does your book not have them yet?

[blanc0]

ow yeah i do i had to scroll down a bit

it's at pinny btw

[milkshakeballa]

blanc0:

Was thinking about the same exact bet but went with the U @ 208 for POR/DEN.

The U 202 I think is a decent bet...normally it would be a great bet with Coach Pop's team on the road to slow the game down and lock in defensively...but I think with his new team they can really fill it up..esp. from 3 pt land. So if they get hot I think they can blow right past that 202.

+ check out the trends:

<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. Western Conference. <LI class=morehot>Under is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 vs. NBA Northwest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games following a ATS win.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS win. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
Yes they are all last year but I still think the U here is the safer bet.



Anyways here is my play for 2day guys just a 3 team special.

3 team special
CHI +10.5
DEN +15.5
DEN/POR U 208
1.8 units to win 1.5


GL everyone!

[travisowain]

no gasol on Friday... I'm starting to have doubts on the Lakers lol... Bynum hasn't been stepping up... the bench isn't that great... so it comes down to Kobe, Artest, and Odom.... but they are the Champs so...

my final tease will prob. be Utah, Orlando, and the Lakers. Clippers lost to the suns at home so Utah in Utah C'mon SON.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slu...e&type=fantasy <--gasol

yea, clip show has surprised me. im a huge jazz fan. took them against nuggs. i think jazz will get 1.5 for sure, but just dont feel good betting against clips

[blanc0]

aight, thx for the info shake
i took the U209 like u told , although i'm not a big believer in trends as they all give info bout the past (which have no effect at all on future events), but i kinda felt the same about the spurs/bulls game, like u told, so u convinced me to go with the denver/portland under

let's cash this one m8

[SportsTerminator]

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slu...e&type=fantasy <--gasol

yea, clip show has surprised me. im a huge jazz fan. took them against nuggs. i think jazz will get 1.5 for sure, but just dont feel good betting against clips

oh you beat me by like 30 minutes lol... but I was reading this from rotoworld...

http://www.rotoworld.com/content/Home_NBA.aspx

"Pau Gasol-F/C-Lakers Oct. 29 - 5:52 pm et

Pau Gasol will not play Friday against the Mavericks as he recovers from a strained right hamstring, which has bothered him the past several weeks.
Asked if the injury would continue to keep Gasol sidelined much longer, Coach Phil Jackson said Gasol might play Sunday against the Hawks. He also added "Hey, we’re not worried about this. We're just taking this real slow. Don't you worry about it, either, OK?" Lamar Odom will start again in Gasol's place. Andrew Bynum should also benefit from increased minutes."

[milkshakeballa]

aight, thx for the info shake
i took the U209 like u told , although i'm not a big believer in trends as they all give info bout the past (which have no effect at all on future events), but i kinda felt the same about the spurs/bulls game, like u told, so u convinced me to go with the denver/portland under

let's cash this one m8

Blanc I am by no means even a GOOD gambler. But I think trends do help. Its by no means a guarantee but I think they do help cap games. just IMO

[SportsTerminator]

no gasol on Friday... I'm starting to have doubts on the Lakers lol... Bynum hasn't been stepping up... the bench isn't that great... so it comes down to Kobe, Artest, and Odom.... but they are the Champs so...

my final tease will prob. be Utah, Orlando, and the Lakers. Clippers lost to the suns at home so Utah in Utah C'mon SON.

It's official... Ill post my thread later.

[SportsTerminator]

And thanks all for the inputs, it helped.

[RoagBettor]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Magic -1.5
Cavs -3.5
Lakers -.5

$240 to win $200

[milkshakeballa]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Magic -1.5
Cavs -3.5
Lakers -.5

$240 to win $200

love it! wish i could play my teasers wit the following day games as well. should be an easy cash!

gl!

[HustleGetPaid]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Magic -1.5
Cavs -3.5
Lakers -.5

$240 to win $200

Will probably tail you on this teaser!!!

[RoagBettor]

Look guys, I believe in jinxes, so please let's wait until the games end before we comment on them.

Thanks!

[milkshakeballa]

Look guys, I believe in jinxes, so please let's wait until the games end before we comment on them.

Thanks!

sorry buddy!

[monkeybiz]

We have a good one going. Good luck, all !

[RoagBettor]

sorry buddy!

I wasn't referring to you or anyone, I was just making a pre-emptive request!

[TrafficUB]

roag, what ya think with spurs 2nd half -2.5, they down 1 right now, so win by 2?

[RoagBettor]

roag, what ya think with spurs 2nd half -2.5, they down 1 right now, so win by 2?

LOL I hope not because I have the Bulls ML!

A -2.5 line for the Spurs leads me to believe the books are holding up a sign that says "Bet The Spurs!" because Joe Public is all over the Spurs and thinks there's no way they can't win the 2H by 3 pts.

[milkshakeballa]

roag, what ya think with spurs 2nd half -2.5, they down 1 right now, so win by 2?

know you asked roag but

imo i wouldnt touch it...rose looks good..noah active...bulls look solid..

[Stealinhome]

3 Team/8 Point Teaser

Magic -1.5
Cavs -3.5
Lakers -.5

$240 to win $200

I am on it!

[SportsTerminator]

know you asked roag but

imo i wouldnt touch it...rose looks good..noah active...bulls look solid..

Let's see how the Bulls do when their on the road and not on national television...

[RoagBettor]

LOL I didn't know Wesley Snipes played for the Bulls! Damn that Salmons could be his twin!

[dannyovercash]

bulls ML tonight
bulls 2nd half + under 96
cle/orl/lakers 8pt tease im on it as well (not as much as you guys put on it, 4 units for me

[milkshakeballa]

Let's see how the Bulls do when their on the road and not on national television...

Ok....but they are at home and IMO Bulls will win 50 games this year health permitting.

Heinrich Miller Gibson off the bench...Deng healthy...

[Stealinhome]

Roag remember "always bet on black"

[RoagBettor]

Chicago Bulls ML +145

$50 to win $72.50

[BamaCBass]

Ha! Last laugh, one might say...Naaaaa, it's all in good fun, but good call Roag!

[monkeybiz]

Hat's off to Bulls & Under bettors ! 6 players in double figures scoring for the Bulls, and a 7th with 9 points.

As a result:

2009/2010 NBA
4-3-0
Up $ 70

[dannyovercash]

hit the ML and hit the second half parlay, very nice start to the weekend ROAG

[RoagBettor]

NBA Regular Season Record

Teasers 3-0 +$350
Straight Bets 1-0 +$72.50

[milkshakeballa]

good hit

[Ace_of_Spades]

Not only will the Bulls cover, they'll win outright. I'll be playing the Bulls ML as my only NBA play tonight.

Roag is a genius.

[williams22]

Congrats Roag, good call. Never expected the Spurs to look so dead. Nor did I expect the Bulls to get so many garbage points. Oh well. Let's go Denver!

[RoagBettor]

This was a classic situational play. I won't go over my analysis again, it's all documented in the thread from earlier today, but I would say it played out pretty much how I said it should.
Congratulations to the Bulls backers.