Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

Ace_of_Spades · 10-29-09, 09:53 PM

The Bulls will probably get dumped tomoeeow by the Celtics.

ACoochy · 10-29-09, 09:55 PM

cheers roag, made me sum nice pocket money tailing that play

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 09:56 PM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

The Bulls will probably get dumped tomoeeow by the Celtics.

Actually, I like the Bulls +12 tomorrow after seeing them tonight. I will probably take them in a teaser getting 20 points, no way they lose by 20+ to the Celtics tomorrow night. NO WAY!

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:10 PM

There are some very tough games to cap tomorrow. The books have seen the teams enough to sharpen the lines and it's hard to find value even with a lot of games.

So far for favorites I like Philly and the Cavs to cover their spreads (I think the Cavs win by 18+). I also like the Clippers to cover against Utah.

With all these games, I'm going to play a 5-7 team, 5 pt teaser.

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:12 PM

7 Team/5 Point Teaser

Sixers -2.5
Pacers +4
Kings +16.5
Cavs -6.5
Clippers +14.5
Warriors/Suns over 222
Lakers -3.5

$25 to win $200

haserfauld · 10-29-09, 10:22 PM

this is why roag makes the big bucks!

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:25 PM

Thanks, but I would be remiss if I didn't give credit where credit is due. Most of what I've learned about situational betting has come from Cocknocker and SexyMit. I don't care what people say about them, they know how to bet basketball.

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:32 PM

For those wondering why I didn't take Denver tonight, I have to admit the big line of -8 scared me off. Something didn't seem right and I thought it could be a big trap, but watching this game I regret not playing it (at least here in the 2Q).

Oh well, I'd rather lay off of possible trap games than get sucked in.

milkshakeballa · 10-29-09, 10:36 PM

Hey Roag - where is cockknocker? I rmember when I started last year I alwasy followed his threads.

JAMES34 · 10-29-09, 10:37 PM

Any thoughts on second half of denver game

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by milkshakeballa

Hey Roag - where is cockknocker? I rmember when I started last year I alwasy followed his threads.

He has his own website now, just Google him and SexyMit.

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by JAMES34

Any thoughts on second half of denver game

Not yet. If it's close I'm taking Portland and the under though in a very small parlay.

JAMES34 · 10-29-09, 10:42 PM

Ok thanks let me know for sure at the break appreciate the insight

SexyMit · 10-29-09, 10:47 PM

Bulls ML tonight

Way to go Roag!

haserfauld · 10-29-09, 10:49 PM

the legend himself! good to have you around SM. bulls were definitely the sharp play roag! thanks for the cash

SexyMit · 10-29-09, 10:53 PM

Yes sir they sure were... San Antonio fit into my Signature and I couldn't pass up this one. Let's make that money during Nba boys! Roag has defnately learned somethings, and that is always good for yourself.

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 10:57 PM

Ladies and Gentlemen, if you want a quick, easy lesson in gambling, just read SexyMit's signature and NEVER forget it when you're placing your bets.

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 11:01 PM

Very small 2H "just to have some action" parlay

Blazers -4
under 99.5

$12.80 to win $32.89

JAMES34 · 10-29-09, 11:02 PM

Portland -4.5 and 99 what do you think

milkshakeballa · 10-29-09, 11:05 PM

POR - 4
99.5 O/U

Have fun with this guys. Too hard for me. Going sit this one out and hoe my teaser hits!

GL!

The Donk · 10-29-09, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

7 Team/5 Point Teaser

Sixers -2.5
Pacers +4
Kings +16.5
Cavs -6.5
Clippers +14.5
Warriors/Suns over 222
Lakers -3.5

$25 to win $200

I'm loving this bet, Roag. Looks pretty spot on. The only one that worries me is the over in the Warriors/Suns. I think I'm going to trail but replace that one with Orlando -4.5

betme · 10-29-09, 11:09 PM

im on the under 99.5 as well, gl

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by The Donk

I'm loving this bet, Roag. Looks pretty spot on. The only one that worries me is the over in the Warriors/Suns. I think I'm going to trail but replace that one with Orlando -4.5

I made a lot of money last season with the Suns and Warriors overs. These 2 teams scored 284 in a game last season, in REGULATION!

I also like Orlando -4.5, if Bookmaker offered an 8 team teaser I would have added that one. But I have Orlando in my big teaser so I had to lay off someone.

SexyMit · 10-29-09, 11:11 PM

Roag how'd you like Houston the other night against Golden St? Ck being from Cali was wanting his home team to win, but ours prevailed. So who would you take Saturday night Roag? Out of all the games which one would be one that we would bet on? Not sure if lines have come out yet, but there is one we are waiting on since Tuesday the opening season!

SexyMit · 10-29-09, 11:13 PM

I don't know why but a SMALL lean to the over. They barely scored 85 pts but yet the spread is about what it was for the 1st half. You figured they would drop it down a little bit!

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by SexyMit

Roag how'd you like Houston the other night against Golden St? Ck being from Cali was wanting his home team to win, but ours prevailed. So who would you take Saturday night Roag? Out of all the games which one would be one that we would bet on? Not sure if lines have come out yet, but there is one we are waiting on since Tuesday the opening season!

Well, there's only 1 game that has any "situational" significance and that's the Rockets and Blazers. I've been saying all along that the Rockets will overachieve this season. We saw what they can do without Yao at the end of last season, and if you factor out that one bad quarter against Portland the other night, they could be 2-0.

Rockets ML for me!

JAMES34 · 10-29-09, 11:18 PM

Is sbg global a good sportsbook?

RoagBettor · 10-29-09, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by JAMES34

Is sbg global a good sportsbook?

I don't know, but you're on Sportsbookreview.com so everything is here for you to research!

SexyMit · 10-29-09, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Well, there's only 1 game that has any "situational" significance and that's the Rockets and Blazers. I've been saying all along that the Rockets will overachieve this season. We saw what they can do without Yao at the end of last season, and if you factor out that one bad quarter against Portland the other night, they could be 2-0.

Rockets ML for me!

The Donk · 10-29-09, 11:43 PM

Okay, here's my teaser for tomorrow. Thanks to Roag for most of this one. I've decided to stick with the warriors/suns over based on your knowledge that i was unaware of. But on a second look, that Pacers game was looking a little sketchy so I decided to replace that one with Orlando. I would bet my life that O-town will cover 4.5.

Philadelphia -2.5
Sacramento 16.5
Cleveland -6.5
Clippers 14.5
Orlando -4.5
Lakers -3.5
Phoenix/Golden State over 222

Time to start gettin paid baby!

milkshakeballa · 10-29-09, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by The Donk

Okay, here's my teaser for tomorrow. Thanks to Roag for most of this one. I've decided to stick with the warriors/suns over based on your knowledge that i was unaware of. But on a second look, that Pacers game was looking a little sketchy so I decided to replace that one with Orlando. I would bet my life that O-town will cover 4.5.

Philadelphia -2.5
Sacramento 16.5
Cleveland -6.5
Clippers 14.5
Orlando -4.5
Lakers -3.5
Phoenix/Golden State over 222

Time to start gettin paid baby!

GL!

milkshakeballa · 10-30-09, 12:15 AM

Melo is NICE!

This better not go into OT!!!!

Saluki09 · 10-30-09, 01:17 AM

Roag, first of all good job yesterday im impressed with your success so far. That Bulls ML was a great call. On to today, how confident are you in that 7 point teaser. I love that 8 point teaser, I really think Clevland will bounce back, but the Lakers scare me a little with Gasol out. You really think the Lakers cover w/o Gasol?

Saluki09 · 10-30-09, 01:20 AM

Anyone else think the Wizards +11.5 would be a stronger play then the Lakers or Pacers play?

milkshakeballa · 10-30-09, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by milkshakeballa

blanc0:

Was thinking about the same exact bet but went with the U @ 208 for POR/DEN.

The U 202 I think is a decent bet...normally it would be a great bet with Coach Pop's team on the road to slow the game down and lock in defensively...but I think with his new team they can really fill it up..esp. from 3 pt land. So if they get hot I think they can blow right past that 202.

+ check out the trends:

<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. Western Conference. <LI class=morehot>Under is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 vs. NBA Northwest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games following a ATS win.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS win. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
Yes they are all last year but I still think the U here is the safer bet.

Anyways here is my play for 2day guys just a 3 team special.

3 team special
CHI +10.5
DEN +15.5
DEN/POR U 208
1.8 units to win 1.5

GL everyone!

Wow Blanco! Good hit! I would have felt like crap if I got you to change the U on the SA/CHI game to this game and it missed!

Good hits tho!
Up 1.5 units today.

Season totals:
Teasers: 2-0
O/U: 1-1
2 H's: 2-0

Up 5.4 units!

Let's make some $$$ tomorrow boys. BOL!