Jay Edgar NBA, Sunday 03.11.07

[Jay Edgar]

Through Saturday 03.10.07

MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 2-3, +0.29u
(CHA, ATL, NY, MIL, NOK)
YTD 240-421, +45.44u
(since the ASB: 31-76, -20.27u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 3-2, +0.90u
YTD 358-312 (.534) +30.40u
(since the ASB: 50-55 (.476) -7.70u)


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 70
2 UTH 69
3 DAL 69
4 MIA 67
5 CLE 63
6 CHI 60
7 PHI 57
8 MIL 57
9 PHX 55
10 HOU 54
11 SAC 53
12 POR 49
13 DET 49
14 GS 49
15 ORL 48
16 LAC 48
17 SEA 47
18 NY 46
19 TOR 46
20 LAX 44
21 WAS 43
22 NOK 43
23 MEM 42
24 ATL 42
25 BOS 41
26 DEN 40
27 NJ 36
28 MIN 35
29 CHA 35
30 IND 31

EDGAR LINES FOR 03.11.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

TOR 3.6/147 over SEA

LAC 2.9/136 over DET

CHI 1.2/106 over BOS

HOU 3.7/150 over ORL

SAC 6.1/219 over DEN

MIA 6.3/237 over WAS

CLE 9.4/449 over IND

POR 6.8/258 over GS

DAL 1.6/111 over LAX

STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

SEA +176, TOR -124

DET +162, LAC -115

CHI +111, BOS +126

ORL +179, HOU -126

DEN +269, SAC -181

WAS +292, MIA -195

IND +614, CLE -346

GS +321, POR -211

DAL +106, LAX +132

20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)

SEA +362, TOR +145

DET +324, LAC +158

CHI +206, BOS +237

ORL +371, HOU +143

DEN +638, SAC +101

WAS +819, MIA +106

IND ----, CLE -170

GS +995, POR -114

DAL +195, LAX +250

[Jay Edgar]

For Sunday 03.11.07

% TEAM ATS ML
6 IND PUSH -100
6 MIA LOSS 100
6 SEA WIN -100
6 SAC LOSS -170
14 BOS LOSS -100
17 LAC LOSS -100
18 LAX LOSS -100
19 ORL LOSS -100
19 POR WIN 100

Once again:

(a) Best days of this method for ’06-’07 are obviously behind us.

(b) I'm still tracking and charting the plays and results for studying this summer in the name of continuous improvement. But there is no recommendation from here that anyone follow the plays blindly (or even with one eye shut).

(c) Now at a total of +66 units for the year. Which is down from the high of +119 units. And which is back to about where things stood in mid-January.

Through Sunday 03.11.07
MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Sunday, 2-7, -5.70u
(SEA, LAC, BOS, ORL, SAC, MIA, IND, POR, LAX)
YTD 243-447, +39.74u
(since the ASB: 34-82, -25.97u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Sunday, 2-6-1, -4.30u
YTD 360-318 (.531) +26.10u
(since the ASB: 52-61 (.460) -12.05u)