Good dogs thread

[Gaze73]

Tied Q1 then lost by an insane 59 points. That's why I'm not a fan of DD dogs.

Total 8-8 +1.39

[Gaze73]

Brooklyn +14 at 2.02

Not a fan of double digit dogs but this looks good value.

[Gaze73]

2 duds. Both super hot teams went cold when I touched them ofc.

Total 8-7 +2.39

[Gaze73]

Kings HT ML 2.07

[Gaze73]

Pacers 1Q ML 2.65

[Gaze73]

Total 8-5 +4.39

Nice dog week, making some cushion for the bad times. I was also on wizards to win by the hook so I had two bets in a row won by the hook. And my high confidence system had Pistons too but I didn't post because of the 3:17 H2H stats. I'm starting to think H2H is worthless. Another EU dog won SU despite being 0-20 in H2H.

[Gaze73]

Spurs 1Q +0.5 at 2.09

[ARCHIVADO98]

See, I knew it, stinkin Dallas couldn't cover +5.5 despite winning the first quarter by 15. Q1 Dogs rule. Lost Q4 by 21, typical dog.

Jokic rested with 'illness' and his team kept winning. I think Nuggets are a play-on team all the way until all star break

[Gaze73]

Nice, by the hook. Also won Q1 by 6 and had terrible Q4 like Dallas.

Total 7-5 +3.30

[Gaze73]

Hornets +7.5 1.92

[Gaze73]

See, I knew it, stinkin Dallas couldn't cover +5.5 despite winning the first quarter by 15. Q1 Dogs rule. Lost Q4 by 21, typical dog.

[Gaze73]

Easy 15 pt win.

Total 6-5 +2.38

[Gaze73]

Dallas 1Q ML 2.35, looks like a coinflip to me.

[Gaze73]

Bad dog, tough game. Total 5-5 +1.03

I'm pretty sure you could have backed all of the last 300 favs ATS to make a decent profit.

[Gaze73]

Portland +4.5 at 1.95

[Gaze73]

Look at how Magic, Pelicans, and Kings all won the 1Q.

Yeah, there is some value in 1Q Dogs for sure. I got frustrated the other day when 6 out of 7 dogs won 1Q but only 1 out of 7 covered FT so I'm looking for 1Q spots now. I didn't take Kings because I thought the market had a good reason to make them a huge dog but I guess a big dog with 5 wins in a row is pretty good.

Pelicans +7 at 1.95 W, my high confidence system works even with a team as bad as Pelicans, nice.

Total 5-4 +2.03

[Conqueror]

Look at how Magic, Pelicans, and Kings all won the 1Q.

[Conqueror]

I'll try another Q1 bet - Orlando 2.48 ML

Congrats!

[Gaze73]

Nice, both teams won Q1, now I don't have to watch Orlando screw it up.

Q1 Orlando 2.48 ML W

Total 4-4 +1.08

[Gaze73]

Pelicans +7 at 1.95

I despise this team but my system says they should cover.

[Gaze73]

I'll try another Q1 bet - Orlando 2.48 ML

[Gaze73]

Yikes

Interesting game. They did win HT by 4 and lose FT by 8 so my analysis was half correct. Also I expected a FT loss by 8-10, that's why I didn't take +6 FT, but I didn't want to buy points. But I'm glad my highest confidence bet Portland won.

Pistons ML 2.25 L
Portland +7.5 evs W
Atlanta to win 1Q at 2.3 L

Total 3-4 -0.4

[tecmoslayer]

I'll try a fancy bet, Atlanta to win 1Q at 2.3. I have a feeling they will fall apart later.

Yikes

[Gaze73]

I'll try a fancy bet, Atlanta to win 1Q at 2.3. I have a feeling they will fall apart later.

[Gaze73]

Portland +7.5 evs

[Gaze73]

Pistons ML 2.25

[Gaze73]

Nice, wins by 19 and 23(16 HT) pts, why did the market not like them I don't know. Bulls Failed.

Bulls +5.5 at 1.91 L
Portland ML 2.12 W
Denver HT ML at 2.48 W

+1.6
Total 2-2 +0.6

[Gaze73]

Denver HT ML at 2.48

[Gaze73]

Portland ML 2.12

[Gaze73]

Bulls +5.5 at 1.91

[Gaze73]

Pelican'ts. Looked good with the momentum at HT but no cigar.

0-1

[Gaze73]

New Orleans Pelicans +150