Fifth in the series of reports on the results of the blind plays based on the daily Edgar Line:
Overall trends are unchanged.
When the Edgar Line is off by 5-10% from the midpoint of the closing ML (still using Pinny), plays on the indicated team are VERY strong.
When the Edgar Line is off by 11-20% from the midpoint of the closing ML, the same plays are profitable, though not as strongly so.
When the Edgar Line is off by 21% or more from the midpoint of the closing ML, the same plays are a net loser. Of course this is the range where you are often up against the big 3 -- DAL, PHX, SAN -- and they have very thoroughly and professionally taken care of business so far this year.
Here are the indicated plays for the entire year so far (using $100 units):
AGAINST THE SPREAD
ALL 5%+ PLAYS
233-196
+ $2720
.543 winning pct
BREAKDOWN:
GAP W-L NET-$ WIN PCT
30%+ 9-6 270 .600
26-29% 6-14 -870 .300
23-25% 6-10 -450 .375
20-22% 13-20 -800 .394
17-19% 18-16 120 .529
14-16% 36-25 975 .590
11-13% 35-32 140 .522
8-10% 57-38 1710 .600
5-7% 53-35 1625 .602
Grouped into three main subcategories, it is:
GAP W-L NET-$ WIN PCT
5-10% 110-73 3335 .601
11-20% 89-73 1235 .549
20%+ 34-50 -1850 .405
MONEYLINE
ALL 5%+ PLAYS
158-277
+ $3406
BREAKDOWN:
GAP W-L NET-$
30%+ 5-10 184
26-29% 3-18 -1270
23-25% 5-12 290
20-22% 10-23 140
17-19% 13-22 427
14-16% 22-42 -57
11-13% 22-45 179
8-10% 39-56 1953
5-7% 39-49 1560
Grouped into three main subcategories, it is:
GAP W-L NET-$
5-10% 78-105 3513
11-20% 57-109 549
21%+ 23-63 -656
Next post, the big data dump.
Overall trends are unchanged.
When the Edgar Line is off by 5-10% from the midpoint of the closing ML (still using Pinny), plays on the indicated team are VERY strong.
When the Edgar Line is off by 11-20% from the midpoint of the closing ML, the same plays are profitable, though not as strongly so.
When the Edgar Line is off by 21% or more from the midpoint of the closing ML, the same plays are a net loser. Of course this is the range where you are often up against the big 3 -- DAL, PHX, SAN -- and they have very thoroughly and professionally taken care of business so far this year.
Here are the indicated plays for the entire year so far (using $100 units):
AGAINST THE SPREAD
ALL 5%+ PLAYS
233-196
+ $2720
.543 winning pct
BREAKDOWN:
GAP W-L NET-$ WIN PCT
30%+ 9-6 270 .600
26-29% 6-14 -870 .300
23-25% 6-10 -450 .375
20-22% 13-20 -800 .394
17-19% 18-16 120 .529
14-16% 36-25 975 .590
11-13% 35-32 140 .522
8-10% 57-38 1710 .600
5-7% 53-35 1625 .602
Grouped into three main subcategories, it is:
GAP W-L NET-$ WIN PCT
5-10% 110-73 3335 .601
11-20% 89-73 1235 .549
20%+ 34-50 -1850 .405
MONEYLINE
ALL 5%+ PLAYS
158-277
+ $3406
BREAKDOWN:
GAP W-L NET-$
30%+ 5-10 184
26-29% 3-18 -1270
23-25% 5-12 290
20-22% 10-23 140
17-19% 13-22 427
14-16% 22-42 -57
11-13% 22-45 179
8-10% 39-56 1953
5-7% 39-49 1560
Grouped into three main subcategories, it is:
GAP W-L NET-$
5-10% 78-105 3513
11-20% 57-109 549
21%+ 23-63 -656
Next post, the big data dump.