I did a little bit of digging and found that directly after a SU loss, Denver averaged 107.9 points, compared with their average of 104.3. This is promising for the over, plus the fact the line moved up to 211 for a while despite dropping down again, and the lakers looking a little rusty on their throwing in the last game. I haven't checked the stats but they missed quite a few.
Also, Denver were awful from the free throw line and there are far more than 211 points to be had in this game
The other- Lakers 1Q - is because firstly they own Denver, and still beat them even though they looked very rusty and slow out the blocks.
Secondly i saw that the Lakers were 11-0 in 1Q's before the last game. That adds value to the -2 this time because to lose two on the trot would be more unlikely now......i hope.