inspired by that thread on nba playoffs and rest, i thought i'd do a little analysis myself.
since 2001 (inclusive) and not including this year (only because 2019 doesn't show up in database for some reason), underdogs of more than 6 points have been an ATS loser every single year but one.
so in 18 years, there's been one winning season backing significant underdogs.
pretty minor data mining here. i just do 0,3,6,9 point underdogs and playoffs. they all work well. smaller spread gets you far more bets but lesser winning percentage (fading). 9 points = great winning % but not that many games. basically anything works.\
not sure why database hasn't posted results for this year. i am certain there have been big underdogs this playoff season. not sure big udogs have been terrible this year. clips, spurs are 2 live ud's this year.
since 2001 (inclusive) and not including this year (only because 2019 doesn't show up in database for some reason), underdogs of more than 6 points have been an ATS loser every single year but one.
so in 18 years, there's been one winning season backing significant underdogs.
pretty minor data mining here. i just do 0,3,6,9 point underdogs and playoffs. they all work well. smaller spread gets you far more bets but lesser winning percentage (fading). 9 points = great winning % but not that many games. basically anything works.\
not sure why database hasn't posted results for this year. i am certain there have been big underdogs this playoff season. not sure big udogs have been terrible this year. clips, spurs are 2 live ud's this year.