The UNDERDOG is now 16-5 ATS in the last 21 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, so why not again?
Yes Tracey McGrady is out with back spasms for Houston, and the Rockets will miss his scoring punch. However we look for them to compensate for that by dominating the boards in this game, and we also expect another solid defensive effort from the Rockets. Houston is averaging 44.1 rebounds per game compared to just 39.7 for the Warriors, and Houston has the far superior defense allowing just 88.3 points per game overall as opposed to a generous 105.8 for Golden State.
Yes the Warriors have been very kind to their supporters this year going 14-8 ATS, but they are still a mediocre 11-11 SU, and find themselves as decided favorites here over a 14-7 Rocket team. Golden State loves to run the floor, but few teams have had success running the fast break against Yao Ming and Company, and the Warriors have been held under 100 points in each of their last four meetings with Houston. If that happens again tonight, not only do we look for the Rockets to continue the ATS success of underdogs in this series, but we also look for them to get out of Oakland with the outright upset.