Jay Edgar NBA, Sunday 12.10.06

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  • Jay Edgar
    SBR MVP
    • 03-08-06
    • 1576

    #1
    Jay Edgar NBA, Sunday 12.10.06
    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
    Saturday, 3-6, +1.25u
    (PHI, WAS, NY, IND, BOS, MEM, DEN, MIN, NOK)
    YTD 76-131, +21.34u

    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
    Saturday, 4-5, -1.25u
    YTD 111-96 (.536), +10.20u

    TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAME POWER RATING
    1 SAN, 2 HOU, 3 DAL, 4 PHX, 5 MIN
    6 CHI, 7 DEN, 8 CLE, 9 WAS, 10 LAC

    11 DET, 12 TOR, 13 LAX, 14 SEA, 15 MIA
    16 UTH, 17 IND, 18 ORL, 19 MIL, 20 ATL

    21 SAC, 22 MEM, 23 NY, 24 GS, 25 BOS
    26 NJ, 27 POR, 28 NOK, 29 CHA, 30 PHI

    EDGAR LINES FOR 12.10.06
    (favorite-pointspread/moneyline-dog)
    TOR 5.7/199 over POR
    CHA 1.6/113 over PHX
    SEA 5.9/211 over GS
    SAC 4.5/167 over ATL
    LAX 2.0/121 over SAN

    GL
  • moses millsap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-05
    • 8289

    #2
    I think it could get very ugly for those Blazers tomorrow in that spot without their top player available.
    Comment
    • Jay Edgar
      SBR MVP
      • 03-08-06
      • 1576

      #3
      True, but 9 is still a lot of points. I think it should be about 4-5 with Randolph and 7 without him.

      I'm not much of a tease guy, but a Bobbers/Lakers home dog special might be worth a look.
      Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-10-06, 01:24 AM.
      Comment
      • primo_skillz
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-15-06
        • 706

        #4
        Jay what do you think about the Hawks tonight?
        Comment
        • Razz
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-05
          • 5632

          #5
          Bobcats look good to me.
          Comment
          • moses millsap
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-25-05
            • 8289

            #6
            Originally posted by Razz
            Bobcats look good to me.
            I like them too as long as Brevin suits up for this one.
            Comment
            • Jay Edgar
              SBR MVP
              • 03-08-06
              • 1576

              #7
              Originally posted by primo_skillz
              Jay what do you think about the Hawks tonight?
              Interesting spot -- like them at first glance, especially at 7.5 or 8. In recent years they had one of the biggest home/road discrepancies, but they seem to be over that hump now.

              Might be worth trying to figure out what SAC has been up to in their two days off. Though I am really underwhelmed by Musselman, and so would not be all that worried about it no matter what.
              Comment
              • Jay Edgar
                SBR MVP
                • 03-08-06
                • 1576

                #8
                Razz, did you have the Knicks? I held my nose and laid the 2.5, and at the end I figured they'd land on the 2 that I didn't bother to buy down to.

                By the way, not sure what you thought of him as a Gator, but I love David Lee as pro. Got a chance to sit through three of his summer league games as a rookie, and I haven't taken a cheap shot at Isaiah since.
                Last edited by Jay Edgar; 12-10-06, 01:46 AM.
                Comment
                • lkravovicz
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 83

                  #9
                  i dont understand how one could fancy bobcats against the suns, razz care to clarify for me?

                  i am struggling finding anyhting worthwhile tonight again, turns out blazers +8 wouldve been a great one, but nowhere was it stated that bosh wasnt gonna play. (?)

                  so far looks like i might just make the Formula play for a few* ..
                  Comment
                  • Jay Edgar
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-08-06
                    • 1576

                    #10
                    No Joe Johnson for the Hawks sent the line into a spasm shortly before post. Same with Kobe playing. Fun for scalpers and middlers, but a pain in the ass to try to track closing MLs.

                    For purposes of tracking this stuff, we just ignore injuries -- a play qualifies based on the line, no matter how the line gets there. Not because it's right, but because it's the only rule that can be applied practically.

                    EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more ML differential)
                    ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
                    Sunday, 2-3, +1.77u
                    (POR, CHA, GS, ATL, LAX)
                    YTD 78-134, +23.11u

                    SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
                    Sunday, 3-2, +0.90u
                    YTD 114-98 (.564), +11.10u
                    Comment
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